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Open Thread: Campaign Day 5

   

For today’s open thread, I present to you the complete Galaxy poll results (sample size 800, MoE 3.5%).

I’m sure “NFI” doesnt actually stand for “No F*cking Idea” – so if anyone can point out the obvious and let me know what it really means, that would be great thanks! :-D

39 Comments

  1. 1
    J-D
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 9:19 am | Permalink

    NFI = no further information

  2. 2
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 9:21 am | Permalink

    Ta JD! It was just too funny – couldn’t resist. :-D

  3. 3
    dovif
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 9:33 am | Permalink

    Most of the people responded said: I think Labor will win.

    Do you think they will form a majority or minority government

    A: No f**king idea

    I think that is the Qld way

  4. 4
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 9:53 am | Permalink

    There’s two spiffy new widgets in the sidebar. The first tracks a Google News RSS feed on the search “election bligh OR springborg OR queensland”

    The other does the same via a google blog search.

  5. 5
    Aristotle
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 10:02 am | Permalink

    I thought from the outset, that she better be able to convince the electorate that she has a bloody good reason to go early, otherwise she could well lose. Huge margin or not.

    Voters do not like being taken for mugs.  Have they learnt nothing from the NT and WA?

  6. 6
    Mark Bahnisch
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 10:04 am | Permalink

    Nice widgets, Poss.

    I wonder what that MSM election story “amputee up in arms” is all about? ;)

  7. 7
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 10:07 am | Permalink

    Isn’t that a terrible headline!

  8. 8
    Mark Bahnisch
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 10:12 am | Permalink

    Just a tad!

  9. 9
    Diogenes
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 10:33 am | Permalink

    It’s a sad, sad day when the LNP is considered a better Health manager than the Labor Party. I knew Queensland Health was dismal, but they should be hanging their head in shame.

  10. 10
    steve
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 10:53 am | Permalink

    Diogenes the Nationals health policy is so long it could be written on a postage stamp.

    Sack everyone and bring back the corrupt National Party hospital boards.

  11. 11
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 11:01 am | Permalink

    What was the sample size?

  12. 12
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 11:02 am | Permalink

    800 Gary

  13. 13
    steve
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 11:10 am | Permalink

    Diogenes don’t blink or you will miss it!

    http://www.springborg.com/policy/policy-page/lnp-to-give-locals-a-say-in-how-their-hospitals-are-run.html

  14. 14
    steve
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 11:20 am | Permalink

    A press release cut and pasted on the policy page tells me that the further the campaign goes, the more people might be quibbling over National Party lack of policy detail.

  15. 15
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 11:28 am | Permalink

    12 – Thanks Poss.

  16. 16
    steve
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 11:32 am | Permalink

    I will cut and paste it here as the Nationals have a habit of mysteriously deleting anything embarrassing to them.

    LNP to give locals a say in how their hospitals are run

    2 February 2009

    Local health boards will be established under an LNP State Government to give local people a greater say in how their hospitals are run and what services patients are offered.

    Speaking outside a Shadow Cabinet meeting in Bundaberg today, LNP Leader Lawrence Springborg said it was time to put an end to 11 years of Labor’s centralist, bureaucratic management of hospitals and instead give communities more control of their health services.

    "The establishment of local health boards is an important step in breaking down the culture of secrecy and cover-up that has evolved in Queensland Health during the last 11 years of Labor rule," he said.

    "Under the LNP’s plan, local health boards will include doctors, nurses, and community and business leaders. Members of these boards will be clearly accountable to local people, and will have a personal stake in the decisions they are making.

    "The disasters involving Dr Patel and the Bundaberg Hospital would never have happened if a fully accountable local health board had been in place."

    Mr Springborg said private health organisations such as Mater Health Services had boards of directors and introducing local health boards in the public health sector would put power back in the hands of locals rather than bureaucrats.

    He said as a first step, an LNP Government would commission a $1 million study and consult with health professionals and local communities to determine the responsibilities of the local health boards.

    "There has been concern raised about the current regional structure adopted by the Bligh Labor Government and how this has put bureaucratic decision makers further away from their local communities," Mr Springborg said.

    "We need to be getting local communities more, not less involved in their local health services."

    Mr Springborg said the local health boards may have involvement in hiring and firing senior staff, reviewing budgets and providing unsanitised, grass roots feedback.

    "Since hospital boards were scrapped by the Goss Labor Government in the early 1990s, the administration of health has become a bureaucratic nightmare," Mr Springborg said.

    "An LNP Government will ensure local communities are re-empowered to take control of their local health services by re-introducing local health boards with even greater community involvement than ever before."

  17. 17
    steve
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 12:02 pm | Permalink

    This was the response at the time.

    "In 2006 Mr Springborg said hospital boards will be responsible for hiring, firing and budgets.

    "In 2009 he says they might have a say in hiring, firing and budgets...but he'll figure it out for sure by spending $1 million on a study.

    "That is a $1 million waste of money given The Forster Report explicitly considered and rejected the re-establishment of hospital boards.

    "We are in the midst of unprecedented global financial turmoil - now is not the time to risk a party of economic vandals.

    http://www.mysunshinecoast.com.au/articles/article-display/lnp-will-spend-75-million-a-year-on-boards,12904

  18. 18
    steve
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 12:25 pm | Permalink

    The Forster Report is here:

    http://www.health.qld.gov.au/health_sys_review/julyreport/intro.pdf

  19. 19
    steve
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 12:55 pm | Permalink

    5.3 on page 69 and 70 of the final report gives reasons why Hospital Boards are redundant.

    http://www.health.qld.gov.au/health_sys_review/final/ch5.pdf

  20. 20
    Mark Bahnisch
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 2:03 pm | Permalink

    Here’s a bit of classic poll spin!

    Early reality check for Anna Bligh as preferred Queensland premier
    The Australian – ‎1 hour ago‎
    THE latest polling on the Queensland election reveals only half of all voters believe Anna Bligh would be a better premier than Lawrence Springborg.

  21. 21
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 2:12 pm | Permalink

    Mark I was just going to comment on that myself and they provide these numbers as proof.

    But the other results also reveal only 50 per cent of voters automatically prefer Ms Bligh as premier, with 37 per cent preferring Mr Springborg and 13 per cent yet to make up their mind.

    Say what? How is that bad?

  22. 22
    Trubbell at Mill
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 2:27 pm | Permalink

    Poss, all the Galaxy questions are there (I assume) but were they asked in that particular order?

    recalling Sir Humphrey Applebey's famous "Do you support conscription?" poll question monologue

  23. 23
    Trubbell at Mill
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 2:28 pm | Permalink

    Fuck me, that avatar makes me look like Des Houghton.

  24. 24
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 2:36 pm | Permalink

    heh! I couldnt tell you the order they were asked Trubbell.

  25. 25
    ruawake
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 2:59 pm | Permalink

    The AAA rating question is a bit odd, it is in fact two questions.

    Then the options for an answer only relate to the ALP. :(

  26. 26
    Ryan
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 3:33 pm | Permalink

    Conspiracy!

  27. 27
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 3:33 pm | Permalink

    Barnyard helping in Beaudesert:

    http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/articles/2009/02/27/1235237895273.html

    I’m sure that’ll go down real well with the 20% of the electorate that’s voted One Nation in the past and the Cult of Pauline that runs out that way.

    Speaking of Barnaby – is this really him on his way to a Maranoa branch stack?
    http://bit.ly/1aww1G

  28. 28
    Greensborough Growler
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 3:38 pm | Permalink

    Question for you guys;

    If Hansen and other Independents say “pox” to you all and don’t preference either of the Major Parties, how will that effect the outcome of seats?

  29. 29
    ruawake
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 3:39 pm | Permalink

    Conspiracy!

    No a badly framed question, unusual for a reputable pollster like Galaxy.

  30. 30
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 3:53 pm | Permalink

    Greeny – it would start to resemble a first past the post type affair pretty quickly if she gets a decent chunk of the vote and it exhausts at a high rate.

    Labor would probably benefit.

  31. 31
    Greensborough Growler
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 3:59 pm | Permalink

    So, Barnaby’s gratuitous insults about Pauline are likely to be as useful as an ashtray on a motorbike for the LNP campaign.

    I was also wondering whether Independants are more or less likely to split major party candidate votes to create upsets and where these might be.

  32. 32
    kylexx
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 4:52 pm | Permalink

    That Brisbane times article mentions Barnaby was “campaigning for the LNP on Friday”. I didn’t think Federal pollies were allowed to campaign for state elections (not that it ever stops them – but this is in print).

    And Pauline was not the only polly to appear on TV – didn’t the Liberal Jackie Kelly also do a stint on DWTS?

  33. 33
    ruawake
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 4:54 pm | Permalink

    I am sure Mr Springborg is aware of the trap that he may fall into regarding his spending promises, my tally is about $1.7 billion so far this week.

    Ms Bligh has spent very little and has indentified where the funds are coming from.

    A gamble on both sides – but if the LNP cannot identify how they will pay for their promises they are in deep poo.

    On the other hand if the electorate buys the LNP’s explanation on funding the ALP may have shot themselves in the foot.

    This interesting thing is when will the “trap” be sprung – and who gets caught.

  34. 34
    steve
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 4:59 pm | Permalink

    That Brisbane times article mentions Barnaby was “campaigning for the LNP on Friday”.

    It was a cardboard cut out of Barnacle surely, everyone knows the Nationals refuse to work on a Friday – it’s golf day!

  35. 35
    dovif
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 5:05 pm | Permalink

    Possum Labor would probably benefits,

    That depends on the Green vote, if it exhaust (not traditionally) it might be even

    At the moment NLP 43% Labor 42% if everything exhaust

    NLP 50.6 Labor 49.4. Labor would still win because of how NLP vote is locked into certain area. But would be prettu close

  36. 36
    ruawake
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 7:01 pm | Permalink

    Anthony Green has some good comments here:

    http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2009/02/pauline-hanson.html#more

    Pauline could hand Beaudesert to Labor.

  37. 37
    ruawake
    Posted Friday, February 27, 2009 at 7:02 pm | Permalink

    Ooops

    “If you look at the primary votes for Beaudesert based on redistributed results from 2006, National led with 49.2%, Labor 39.4 and Greens 11.4%. Given past voting patterns, you would expect that Hanson would draw more votes from the LNP than Labor, which raises the possibility that Labor would lead on primary votes. This raises the real possibility of Labor winning the seat because of the LNP and Hanson splitting the conservative vote but not swapping prefernces.”

  38. 38
    Bird of paradox
    Posted Saturday, February 28, 2009 at 12:37 am | Permalink

    Interesting thing with that AAA credit rating question: 41% said it made no difference, and 37% didn’t even know about it – only 22% cared either way. So the LNP won’t be able to recycle the old ‘Labor will stuff the economy’ adverts, then.

  39. 39
    Posted Saturday, February 28, 2009 at 1:37 am | Permalink

    ...] (Scott Steel) publishes the complete Galaxy poll data at Pineapple Party Time (the Crikey group blog devoted to the Queensland election). With a low sample size of 800 people, [...

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