Tomorrow’s Sunday Mail carries the third and possibly final Galaxy poll of the campaign, and like the second (published a fortnight ago) it shows the Liberal National Party leading Labor 51-49 on two-party preferred.

• Both parties are down a point on the primary vote: the LNP to 43 per cent and Labor to 40 per cent. The Greens are up one to 9 per cent, which Darrell Giles of the Sunday Mail reckons makes them “likely to win Indooroopilly”.

• Anna Bligh has increased her lead as preferred premier from 48-37 to 50-36, and is considered more honest (36-33) and more likely to keep her promises (43-34) than Springborg, who is thought more boring (55-21) and arrogant (44-33). However, Springborg leads on “will stand up to Canberra” 46-44.

• Bligh is thought to have performed better during the campaign by 48 per cent against 35 per cent for Springborg.

• 58 per cent of respondents expect Labor to win, compared with 64 per cent a fortnight ago.

The poll was conducted on Wednesday and Thursday, from a sample of 800. Disappointingly, there are no geographic breakdowns, though recent experience suggests we will get more detail from the poll over the coming days.

UPDATE (Possum)

Sorry about the lateness of the charts – had a bit of a sleep in (if it’s any consolation, I really enjoyed it).

UPDATE 16/3 (William)

Today the Courier-Mail’s drip-feed of Galaxy results brings us the following:

(The) result could alter dramatically by the end of the week with 31 per cent adamant their decision was not locked in. The LNP had the highest number of locked-in supporters at 77 per cent, compared with Labor’s 69 per cent. The result will further disturb Labor which already has lost 5.9 per cent of its support base and could lose majority government if the LNP picks up a further 1.7 per cent of the vote.

However, the respected pollster also found Labor voters were more likely to support the party itself while the majority of LNP supporters just couldn’t cop the alternative. Galaxy found that while 48 per cent of Labor voters were backing Ms Bligh because they liked the party, 44 per cent just opposed the LNP. The LNP’s vote was dominated by the 55 per cent who opposed Labor, compared with just 41 per cent who actually supported the party.

The poll also found uranium mining deeply divided Queenslanders regardless of which party they supported, with 42 per cent in favour and 39 per cent opposed. Ms Bligh has maintained she will keep a ban on uranium, while Mr Springborg has vowed to allow mining of the controversial mineral. But almost one in three Labor supporters back uranium mining, while one in four LNP supporters were opposed.