Welcome to Pineapple Party Time’s live coverage of the Queensland election. The PPT crew – Mark Bahnisch, Possum Comitatus and William Bowe – will be live blogging the count in the CoveritLive facility below. We will also be joined by guest Ben Raue, who is both of The Tally Room and at the tally room.
Please not that the facility is not open to all comers – readers are invited to discuss the count in the comments section on this post. While the facility to leave a comment is included on CoveritLive, please do not use it as your comment will not get cleared. Polls will close at 6pm and results should start to come in from 6.30pm, so expect the activity level to build up from those times accordingly.
Update: [by Mark] William and I will also be doing intermittent audio updates via Skype and livestreaming at The Sunday Talk throughout the evening.
Those outside Queensland or away from a tv who are interested in following the ABC’s coverage can access a livestream at Antony Green’s election page.
Update: [by Mark] William and I will be chatting to Matthew Kopelke at The Sunday Talk on the hour and at half past the hour respectively, with me kicking off at 6.30pm Queensland Time. You can listen here.
809 Comments
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ABC NEWS in Sydney were doing their best to predict a Springborg victory, despite this exit poll.
those not in Qld can get livestream ABC 1 just go to ABc election site and follow the links.
Goanna!!
Sorry, someona had to say it first…
)
I’m watching the A-PAC feed and it appears a tad odd for both Interviews I have seen are both LNP candidates in ALP held seats, while I’m not concerned but it seems unusual to speak with people who are not sitting MPs
dont worry mexican they will be sitting MPs after tonight
Lockyer:
LNP 11
ALP 10
Greens 2
This is going to the wire!
I suppose someone better state the obvious – if that Auspoll was right, this wont be a close race and will be called by 8:30. Adjusting for marginal vs safe swing behaviour within a uniform swing, the swing in the marginals was only 2%, meaning if we blow that up to 3% as a uniform and give it a standard deviation of 4% it means that Labor is most likely to win 53 seats. If we blow that uniform swing out to 4% – twice the swing in the 22 most marginally held Labor seats, the most likely result is still 51 Labor seats!
In comparison, all Channel 7 News was interested in was Pauline!
Glen!! I agree with you but it just seems odd.
Don’t laugh ShowsOn the member for Lockyer almost got rolled in 2006 due to the Your Rights at work campaign. It will be interesting to see how he winds up at the end of the night.
Possum @ 57, the obvious conclusion to draw from that is that the exit poll is wrong, not that the four polls before it were all wrong.
Oh oh, Brett Mason on Sky is already defending the Borg Leadership. They all know this is over.
Mulgrave:
LNP 53
ALP 33
Independent 10
Greens 5
I wonder if this means we’ll see LNP go nationa-wide?
Or it could be the 22 most marginal seats in SE Qld or in Brisbane or something? Guess we’ll find out in a minute
Nicklin
Independent (Wellington) 49
LNP 43
Greens 16
ALP 11
Regarding Daylight saving – I lived on the Gold Coast and yes it was frustrating trying to co-ordinate anything with Tweed Heads, and it was very difficult for many people wrt jobs, school, childcare etc
But – the variation in day length is less the closer you are to the equator – in Darwin (10 degrees south) if I remember the days only varied from about 11.5 to 12.75 hours so it was a non-issue. This would be much the same for North Queensland. I think DST originated in England, and it was 2 hours in winter and 1 in summer, so that there would be some daylight after school. I thnk it is most suited to the Southern states – just go to Kununurra in summer and you will see what an effect it has when you are much further east and north of Perth and yet are going on their DST!
The same exit polls nailed the Federal Election result Westernwarrior.
They might be wrong, however, if we follow the polling timeline it might be correct. Galaxy had the result relatively strongish for the LNP early in the week, Newspoll picked up a mid week movement but that Newspoll was finished on Wednesday. If that same LNP contraction pattern happened over Thursday, Friday and Saturday morning it would be consistent with the Auspoll.
They did say that their coverage would start at 6:30.
Both the radio and video ABC feeds are timing out . . . grrrrrr.
Possum,
You going out on a limb and predicting a Labor victory?
Hey.
Out of the state and just preparing myself to head into Melbourne central to get – marginally – out of my head. As I will be surrounded by people who will give me whole-hearted shrugs when I mention ‘the election’ (”Election: You’re a bit late mate, Kev romped it in”), I’m hoping some kind soul can give me a text-ual yay or nay if it’s called later in the evening.
In faith and hope: 0414 767478
Yours, trusting.
ABC1 TV Queensland:
http://www.abc.net.au/streaming/abc-video2.asx
ABC Local Radio Queensland:
http://www.abc.net.au/brisbane/onair/612stream.asx
Both streams are for Windows Media Player.
Greeny, if the Auspoll is right it will be a pretty easy victory
ABC1 stream too choppy for me, but the radio is fine. I like the “crystal set” nature of a live stream… 21st century technology bringing a 20th century experience!
labor will win or i will kiss glens bum
The first booth for Beaudesert is in with Pauline polling 46%
Now that is what I call a radio voice! I’m in love!
no thanks
ABC election page has some latest results under their page. Swings to LNP in some Labor seats.
SWING OF 12% WOOOO good so far
Glen – take the opportunity while you can mate! It’s not very often you get your arse kissed on the lefty blogs
Nah if we win that will be enough fun for one night
Early swing to Labor in Clayfield. 1 booth in from Pinkenba.
Everyone should read this about how Antony calculates swings:
http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2009/03/predicting-elec.html
76, they had better then, that is a site none of us would like to see ……
We will all pray for Anna and you Tom
Better yet Glen take a look at the early 2PP results in Gympie on the front page
http://www.abc.net.au/elections/qld/2009/guide/latest.htm
Hey, hello from far away. Why am I still up at 3:35am monitoring this??
Watching Red just dandy via VLC media player…
Umm, so we don’t really know what’s going on yet.
Barnaby Joyce predicts a hung parliament.
Oh goody the hammer man is on the ABC panel.
Was there any reporting of the “mood on the ground” at poling booths today? They always say that lots of voters out early means people are voting for change. That has been true of the times I manned booths.
Glen, I wouldn’t get too cocky yet!
Early results from Burleigh: 7% swing to ALP.
Beaudesert:
LNP 239
Pauline Hanson 159
ALP 76
Keith Gee 45
Greens 18
Evening all. Been a while since I looked in.
For the record my (entirely uninformed) prediction is an ALP win with high 40’s seats (lets say 49)
I have good form – I was one of those that predicated the Obama victory.
Anyone up for a Barnaby drinking game?
Everytime he invents a new word it’s down the hatch!
Should all be blotto by half past seven
Drinking games, that’s a great idea
Beaudesert and Condamine have the biggest swings so far.
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