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Author Archives: Possum Comitatus

Polls Right, Journos Wrong

This is a cross-post from Pollytics.
A few things need to be pointed out today, because, frankly, the MSM is filled to brim with absolute horseshit about the reality of the Qld election polling results.
Firstly, the polls were not wrong. Journalists and the Commentariat were wrong – the polls were not. Let’s look at the last [...]

Election Day Open Thread

Welcome to the election day open thread. What’s the latest word from the hustings? What was the mood like at your polling place? Were the bats of the baseball type or the nerf variety?
We’ll update this page throughout the day as news comes to hand. Also, does anyone know of any streaming live feeds of [...]

The Official Crikey Election Tipping Competition!

OK Sportsfans, here it is – the official Crikey Qld election tipping comp. The winner will not only receive the resentful opprobrium of the losers, not only will they receive bragging rights to belt other wannabe psephologists around the head with until the next election, not only will they receive a lucky dip of products [...]

Vote 1: Dave Zwolenski

Most of you have probably seen or heard about this already, but for those that haven’t – campaigning via brutal honesty.

Galaxy Part 2

Another Galaxy Poll and it’s just like the last 3 – a remarkable consistency for an unremarkable election campaign. It comes off a sample of 800 for an MoE or around the 3.5% mark

There’s no ‘Better Premier’ beauty contest result this morning, but there’s a few other things worth looking at. First up, the question [...]

LNP Costings

Here is the document in its entirety (1.8mb pdf). Its real value doesn’t come from it being a costings document (it’s arguable that it’s not actually a costings document at all), but from it being the complete list of LNP policy proposals from the campaign – of which there are many. The key thing [...]

The Voteshift

It might be time to have a look at how the 2006 polling results went compared to how we’re currently traveling. So first up, let’s run through both the Galaxy and Newspoll series leading up to the September 2006 election and do it again for their results so far in 2009. It’s worth noting that [...]

More Galaxy Polling

Three more polling questions were published from the latest Galaxy this morning in the Courier Mail, with more likely to come tomorrow since the win expectations break down hasn’t been published yet, even though they got a passing mention from John Briggs in the Sunday Mail.
In what can only be described as a profound result, [...]

Wanna Document – Smoking Gun?

Well, we wouldn’t know!
During the leaders debate, Bligh made public an analysis of the savings possible from Springborg’s Yes Minister-esqe economy drive that was produced by Professor John Wanna, a bloke whose work is rather respected when it comes to the intricacies of public administration.
The only problem is that the document is seemingly a little difficult [...]

Bligh vs Borg: The Debate Thread

It starts at 12:30 1:00pm Qld time, but what we need to know is which outfits are broadcasting it?
So if you come across or know about any web feeds, TV or radio coverage of the debate – stick a link in comments.
UPDATE: Debate being streamed here:
http://www.abc.net.au/brisbane/onair/612stream.asx
UPDATE 2:
The ABC has the debate recorded for your tragic [...]