My colleague the Poll Bludger drew attention this morning to the latest Newspoll on state voting intention in New South Wales, which shows premier Kristina Keneally with strong personal ratings but still trailing badly on voting intention. The Australian‘s coverage, however, is interesting in its own right. Before even telling the reader what the poll [...]
READ MORE
As expected, more or less
I’ve just got back from the tally room in Hobart (pictured), so time for a quick summary: for the full version, you’ll have to subscribe and read Monday’s Crikey. Twenty-two seats are decided: nine each Labor and Liberal, four Greens, and three doubtful. The outgoing House of Assembly was 14-7-4. The Greens are leading the [...]
READ MORE
Seat by seat thru Tasmania: Denison
I’ve left Denison until last, partly because that’s the way I’ve travelled the state, from north to south, but also because it’s possibly the most interesting electorate. Denison is central and suburban Hobart, west of the Derwent, from Austins Ferry in the north to the northern edge of Kingston in the south. It’s the only [...]
READ MOREHow to read Tassie Newspoll
If you read the Australian for the commentary rather than the numbers, you’ll think that today’s Tasmanian Newspoll says that “The most likely result” is “Liberal and Labor stalled on 10 seats each and the Greens rising from four to five seats.” But that’s not quite true. While 10-10-5 is a very likely result, Newspoll [...]
READ MOREThe Oz’s Matt Denholm loses the plot
“With the South Australian election also on a knife-edge, Labor faces the possible loss of two state governments, potentially creating an irresistible momentum for Tony Abbott and the federal Coalition” says Matt Denholm in this morning’s Australian. Not sure what Matt and his editors at The Oz smoke these days, but to draw the conclusion [...]
READ MORE
Seat by seat thru Tasmania: Franklin
Franklin is Hobart’s second electorate, consisting of the suburbs east of the Derwent River (Bellerive, Lindisfarne, Lauderdale), plus the outer southern suburbs (Kingston, Margate), plus the rural and semi-rural territory further south, along the Huon valley and the D’Entrecasteaux channel. Oddly enough, since Lyons has edged south to take the outer northern suburbs, the two [...]
READ MOREQueensland Election 2009 Live
Welcome to Pineapple Party Time’s live coverage of the Queensland election. The PPT crew – Mark Bahnisch, Possum Comitatus and William Bowe – will be live blogging the count in the CoveritLive facility below. We will also be joined by guest Ben Raue, who is both of The Tally Room and at the tally room. [...]
READ MORE
Newspoll 49.9/50.1
Newspoll [pdf] is out [hat tip to Oz in comments on a previous thread]. The poll, taken on Wednesday and Thursday with a weighted sample of 1328, suggests a very evenly poised contest. Labor’s primary is 41.7 to the LNP’s 42.1. The Greens are on 7.4 and Others on 8.3. In the capital, Labor is [...]
READ MOREThe Official Crikey Election Tipping Competition!
OK Sportsfans, here it is – the official Crikey Qld election tipping comp. The winner will not only receive the resentful opprobrium of the losers, not only will they receive bragging rights to belt other wannabe psephologists around the head with until the next election, not only will they receive a lucky dip of products [...]
READ MORECampaign commentary live III
I’ll be on the ABC’s The World Today program on radio at 11am this morning (Brisbane Time) talking to Annie Guest about the leaked polling discussed in this post.
READ MORE
