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WILLIAM BOWE | September 03, 2015 | FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS | 212 |

Canning by-election: September 19

A progressively updated post reporting on the campaign for the Canning by-election. LATEST UPDATE (3/9): Two more privately commissioned ReachTEL polls confirm the pollsters’ previous results in showing the Liberals with a lead of 51-49.

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WILLIAM BOWE | September 03, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 59 |

BludgerTrack: 53.2-46.8 to Labor

No change whatsoever in this week’s reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate, the most interesting feature of which for the moment is that the Palmer United vote is finally edging back upwards.

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WILLIAM BOWE | September 03, 2015 | FEDERAL ELECTION 2016 | |

Seat of the week: Moore

Moore is a safe Liberal seat in Perth’s northern coastal suburban corridor, where current member Ian Goodenough replaced noted party moderate Mal Washer on his retirement in 2013.

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WILLIAM BOWE | September 02, 2015 | NSW POLITICS | 12 |

Morgan state polling: late August 2015

No surprises in the latest monthly Morgan state polls, with incumbents in New South Wales and Victoria enjoying strong leads in the wake of recent election victories, and tighter races in the other mainland states.

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WILLIAM BOWE | September 01, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 794 |

Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

A return to the norm after a somewhat surprising result last week from Essential Research, which also finds the Liberal Party perceived as much further to the right than Labor is to the left, and the ABC’s Q&A program to be a lot more popular than Tony Abbott.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 28, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 2,496 |

ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

A new poll from ReachTEL is their third in a month to show Labor with a two-party lead of 53-47.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 27, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 1,385 |

BludgerTrack: 53.1-46.9 to Labor

Further improvement for Bill Shorten in this week’s aggregated poll readings, but some of the gloss has come off the sizeable lead Labor opened up last week on voting intention.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 27, 2015 | FEDERAL ELECTION 2016 | 1 |

Seat of the week: Tangney

Following last week’s publication of draft redistribution boundaries, Seat of the Week watchers can brace themselves for an avalanche of action from Western Australia. First stop: Dennis Jensen’s safe Liberal seat of Tangney in southern Perth.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 24, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 1,188 |

Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

Little change in voting intention, but Bill Shorten bounces back from his low base and takes the lead as preferred prime ministers.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 23, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 1,060 |

Galaxy: 51-49 to federal Labor in Queensland

A Queensland-only federal poll by Galaxy lands well in line with the broader trend in pointing to a formidable swing of 8% to Labor.

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