A progressively updated post reporting on the campaign for the Canning by-election. LATEST UPDATE (3/9): Two more privately commissioned ReachTEL polls confirm the pollsters’ previous results in showing the Liberals with a lead of 51-49.
No surprises in the latest monthly Morgan state polls, with incumbents in New South Wales and Victoria enjoying strong leads in the wake of recent election victories, and tighter races in the other mainland states.
A return to the norm after a somewhat surprising result last week from Essential Research, which also finds the Liberal Party perceived as much further to the right than Labor is to the left, and the ABC’s Q&A program to be a lot more popular than Tony Abbott.
Following last week’s publication of draft redistribution boundaries, Seat of the Week watchers can brace themselves for an avalanche of action from Western Australia. First stop: Dennis Jensen’s safe Liberal seat of Tangney in southern Perth.
William Bowe is a doctoral candidate with the University of Western Australia’s Discipline of Political Science and International Relations. He has been running the electoral studies blog The Poll Bludger since January 2004, independently until September 2008 and thereafter with Crikey.