tip off

WILLIAM BOWE | July 02, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 269 |

BludgerTrack: 52.0-48.0 to Labor

The BludgerTrack poll aggregate records a slight shift to the Coalition, without offering too much to support the favoured media narrative of the past few weeks.

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WILLIAM BOWE | June 30, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 1,200 |

Morgan: 53.5-46.5 to Labor

A slight move to the Coalition off a low base in this fortnight’s Roy Morgan poll, and Newspoll state breakdowns that confirm a picture of Coalition improvement being driven by New South Wales.

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WILLIAM BOWE | June 26, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 2,093 |

ReachTEL: 52-48 to Labor

Bill Shorten’s personal ratings sink still further in the latest result from ReachTEL, but the Coalition yields only a modest dividend on voting intention.

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WILLIAM BOWE | June 25, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 1,104 |

BludgerTrack: 52.4-47.6 to Labor

The BludgerTrack poll aggregate maintains a mild improving trend for Labor, albeit that it does so on the strength of a single opinion poll for the week.

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WILLIAM BOWE | June 25, 2015 | FEDERAL ELECTION 2016 | 5 |

Seat of the week: Dawson

Despite encompassing a strong area for Labor in Mackay, the central Queensland seat of Dawson has only been won by Labor on a handful of occasions, and is currently held on a reasonably secure margin by Liberal National Party firebrand George Christensen.

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Killing time: part three

A thread for discussion of the final act of the Rudd-Gillard government, to be raked over this evening on ABC Television.

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WILLIAM BOWE | June 23, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 890 |

Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

Essential Research again records no change in voting intention, but finds trust in the news media to have fallen since November.

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WILLIAM BOWE | June 23, 2015 | VICTORIAN POLITICS | 17 |

Newspoll: 58-42 to Labor in Victoria

The first opinion poll since the Victorian election finds the new Labor government with a commanding lead, and a big lift in Daniel Andrews’ personal ratings.

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WILLIAM BOWE | June 18, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 3,875 |

BludgerTrack: 52.1-47.9 to Labor

A slight gain for Labor on the BludgerTrack poll aggregate for the second week in a row, with four pollsters this week producing highly varied results.

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WILLIAM BOWE | June 18, 2015 | FEDERAL ELECTION 2016 | 4 |

Seat of the week: Gellibrand

A trip through an uninterestingly safe Labor seat in Melbourne’s inner west, where Tim Watts succeeded Nicola Roxon as member at the 2013 election.

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