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WILLIAM BOWE | October 23, 2014 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 738 |

BludgerTrack: 51.1-48.9 to Labor

Weak polling for the Coalition from Newspoll and Essential Research reverses the recent poll trend, and puts Labor back into a winning position on the BludgerTrack seat projection.

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WILLIAM BOWE | October 20, 2014 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 1,268 |

Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Newspoll runs against the recent trend in recording a bounce in Labor’s lead. Other big news: Fairfax set to return to the polling game following Nielsen’s recent shutdown.

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WILLIAM BOWE | October 20, 2014 | FEDERAL ELECTION 2016 | 370 |

Seat of the week: Gippsland

For as long as there has been a federal parliament, there has been a seat of Gippsland, and for as long as there has been a National/Country Party, the seat has been theirs. The present incumbent is Darren Chester, who succeeded Peter McGauran at a by-election in 2008.

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WILLIAM BOWE | October 18, 2014 | WA BY-ELECTIONS | 21 |

Vasse by-election live

Live coverage of Western Australia’s Vasse by-election, where the Nationals are vaguely hopeful of poaching Troy Buswell’s old seat from the Liberals.

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WILLIAM BOWE | October 18, 2014 | NT BY-ELECTIONS | 8 |

Casuarina by-election live

The first of our two by-elections today is for the Northern Territory seat of Casuarina, which is being vacated by the retirement of Labor’s Kon Vatskalis.

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WILLIAM BOWE | October 16, 2014 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 1,183 |

BludgerTrack: 50.1-49.9 to Labor

Very little to report from the world of poll aggregation this week, with Newspoll hanging back another week for next week’s resumption of parliament.

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WILLIAM BOWE | October 14, 2014 | WA BY-ELECTIONS | 13 |

Vasse by-election: October 18

A brief introduction to Saturday’s by-election to fill the vacancy caused by Troy Buswell’s resignation from the WA state seat of Vasse, which looms as a contest between the Liberals and the Nationals.

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WILLIAM BOWE | October 14, 2014 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 708 |

Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

Only minor changes on voting intention in Essential Research this week, but monthly personal ratings add to an impression of solid improvement for Tony Abbott.

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WILLIAM BOWE | October 12, 2014 | WESTERN AUSTRALIAN POLITICS | 12 |

Newspoll: 50-50 in Western Australia

The latest quarterly Newspoll result from WA finds no change on the previous result, with the two parties at level pegging on two-party preferred, and a slight worsening of Colin Barnett’s already poor personal ratings.

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WILLIAM BOWE | October 12, 2014 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 1,285 |

Seat of the week: Flinders

Presently held for the Liberals by Environment Minister Greg Hunt, the Mornington Peninsula and Phillip Island seat of Flinders was famously lost by Prime Minister Stanley Bruce in 1929, but Labor has only managed to win it on two further occasions since.

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