tip off

WILLIAM BOWE | March 01, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 141 |

Fairfax-Ipsos: 51-49 to Labor

Ipsos delivers the government its best poll result since early November – and unlike Newspoll, it has Tony Abbott’s personal ratings up as well.

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WILLIAM BOWE | February 27, 2015 | NSW ELECTION 2015 | 41 |

Newspoll: 54-46 to Coalition in NSW

Two new polls strengthen the view that Mike Baird’s government will enjoy a fairly comfortable victory next month – provided assumptions about preferences prove correct.

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WILLIAM BOWE | February 26, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 2,311 |

BludgerTrack: 53.9-46.1 to Labor

After not just one but three polls all pointing in the same direction, the BludgerTrack poll aggregate tacks sharply back to the Coalition, while continuing to credit Labor with a crushing lead.

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WILLIAM BOWE | February 23, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 968 |

Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor

Newspoll strays from the pack with an unexpectedly moderate lead for Labor, although Tony Abbott’s personal ratings remain diabolical.

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WILLIAM BOWE | February 23, 2015 | NSW POLITICS | 52 |

Galaxy: 53-47 to Coalition in NSW

Galaxy produces a headline figure for New South Wales which presumably flatters the Coalition, offering bad news for Mike Baird – and, perhaps, worse news for Tony Abbott.

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WILLIAM BOWE | February 19, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 2,364 |

BludgerTrack: 55.9-44.1 to Labor

The regular weekly reading of the BludgerTrack poll aggregate adds nothing of substance to last week’s result.

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WILLIAM BOWE | February 17, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 714 |

Essential Research: 54-46 to Labor

Spill motion or no spill motion, Essential Research remains stuck where it’s been for three weeks. But it also finds little unconditional support Tony Abbott remaining as prime minister, and few expecting him to do so.

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WILLIAM BOWE | February 12, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 2,925 |

BludgerTrack: 56.1-43.9 to Labor

This week’s poll aggregate records the government in an ongoing downward spiral in the days before Monday’s spill motion.

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WILLIAM BOWE | February 10, 2015 | QUEENSLAND ELECTION 2015 | 179 |

Queensland election endgame

An account of the electoral and constitutional situation in Queensland, most of it cribbed from Professor Graeme Orr.

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WILLIAM BOWE | February 09, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | |

Morgan: 57.5-42.5 to Labor

Polling conducted over the past two weekends finds the Abbott government not unexpectedly going from very bad to worse.

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