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WILLIAM BOWE | August 28, 2015 | FEDERAL BY-ELECTIONS | 188 |

Canning by-election: September 19

A progressively updated post reporting on the campaign for the Canning by-election. LATEST UPDATE (28/8): Another ReachTEL poll produces another tight result, with the Liberals leading 51-49 – but again, the primary votes suggest a much easier Liberal win.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 28, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 2,303 |

ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

A new poll from ReachTEL is their third in a month to show Labor with a two-party lead of 53-47.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 27, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 1,385 |

BludgerTrack: 53.1-46.9 to Labor

Further improvement for Bill Shorten in this week’s aggregated poll readings, but some of the gloss has come off the sizeable lead Labor opened up last week on voting intention.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 27, 2015 | FEDERAL ELECTION 2016 | 1 |

Seat of the week: Tangney

Following last week’s publication of draft redistribution boundaries, Seat of the Week watchers can brace themselves for an avalanche of action from Western Australia. First stop: Dennis Jensen’s safe Liberal seat of Tangney in southern Perth.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 24, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 1,188 |

Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor

Little change in voting intention, but Bill Shorten bounces back from his low base and takes the lead as preferred prime ministers.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 23, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 1,060 |

Galaxy: 51-49 to federal Labor in Queensland

A Queensland-only federal poll by Galaxy lands well in line with the broader trend in pointing to a formidable swing of 8% to Labor.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 22, 2015 | QUEENSLAND POLITICS | 9 |

Galaxy: 52-48 to Labor in Queensland

Despite its early growing pains, Galaxy finds Annastacia Palaszczuk’s government maintaining its modest ascendancy in Queensland.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 21, 2015 | FEDERAL REDISTRIBUTIONS | 42 |

WA federally redistributed

Draft boundaries for the redistribution that grants Western Australia an extra House of Representatives propose the new electorate of Burt for Perth’s southern suburbs, which has a notional Liberal margin of about 5%.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 20, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 1,628 |

BludgerTrack: 53.8-46.2 to Labor

The latest weekly poll aggregate readings follows Ipsos in finding a lift in Bill Shorten’s personal stocks, but a soft result for Labor in Essential Research’s cancels out the effect on voting intention.

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WILLIAM BOWE | August 20, 2015 | TASMANIAN POLITICS | 7 |

EMRS: Liberal 40, Labor 29, Greens 21 in Tasmania

A new Tasmanian state poll has the Liberal primary vote at its lowest level in over five years, but still has Labor failing to break 30%.

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