tip off

BludgerTrack: 51.6-48.4 to Labor

A flurry of post-budget opinion polls adds up to a solid increase in the Coalition’s standing, with Tony Abbott’s personal standing now rivalling his least-bad results since his short-lived post-election honeymoon.

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Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor; Fairfax-Ipsos: 50-50

Shortly after its second budget, and for the first time since its first budget, the Coalition gets a poll showing it level with Labor – although Newspoll still has Labor comfortably in front.

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WILLIAM BOWE | May 16, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 978 |

Galaxy: 52-48 to Labor

The second post-budget poll supports the impression of the first in suggesting that nothing much has changed.

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ReachTEL: 53-47 to Labor

Reaction to the government’s second budget has been mediocre at best, according to the first of what promises to be a flurry of new opinion polls.

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WILLIAM BOWE | May 14, 2015 | FEDERAL POLITICS 2013- | 371 |

BludgerTrack: 52.2-47.8 to Labor

Very little doing on the polling front in the week before the budget, except for one further piece of evidence that Tony Abbott’s personal standing is on the mend.

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WILLIAM BOWE | May 14, 2015 | FEDERAL ELECTION 2016 | 4 |

Seat of the week: La Trobe

The outer eastern Melbourne seat of La Trobe generally leans slightly to the Liberals, but fell to Labor at their Victorian high-water mark of 2010.

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Essential Research: 52-48 to Labor

A budget-eve poll finds the Coalition gaining slightly on voting intention, and Tony Abbott recovering the lead as preferred prime minister.

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WILLIAM BOWE | May 07, 2015 | BRITISH POLITICS | 501 |

A rough guide to the British election

A region-by-region beginners’ guide of what to look for in today’s/tomorrow’s British election.

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BludgerTrack: 51.7-48.3 to Labor

Aggregation of poll results continues to record a slow improvement in the Coalition’s position on voting intention, and a much quicker one for Tony Abbott relative to Bill Shorten on leadership ratings.

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WILLIAM BOWE | May 07, 2015 | FEDERAL ELECTION 2016 | 1 |

Seat of the week: Oxley

Labor up-and-comer Milton Dick stands to succeed retiring member Bernie Ripoll at the next election in a Brisbane seat that has long been safe for Labor, outside of the memorable interruption of Pauline Hanson from 1996 to 1998.

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