With the post-mortem guide to the 2004 Queensland election now fully resolved, The Poll Bludger is off to Perth for a week to, you know, soak up the electoral ambience. On return he will absorb the outcome of this weekend’s exciting Liberal preselection action and hopefully provide a rundown of the less well publicised turf [...]
Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth
Monthly Archives: February 2004
Awakenings
Monday, February 16, 2004 – 12:00 pm
The Poll Bludger has stirred from his week-long post-election coma and is hard at work (honest) putting his Queensland election guide to bed now that something resembling final results are available. Once done each electorate entry will be appended with a wrap-up noting the outcome, swings and any last minute shenanigans the campaign updates may [...]
Call of the board
Sunday, February 8, 2004 – 12:00 pm
At the close of last night’s count Labor were ahead in 64 seats, the Nationals in 14, Liberal in six, One Nation in one and independents in four. It is universally anticipated that postal votes and the remaining undeclared booth will see off Labor’s eight vote lead in Charters Towers. The National Party have also [...]
I take it all back
Saturday, February 7, 2004 – 3:00 pm
Just kidding. Two hours out from the closure of polls I thought it worth noting that the Sunshine Coast Daily today carries "pre-poll booth exit polls" of 100 respondents each for five electorates on its turf, suggesting Labor-held Kawana and Liberal-held Caloundra will change hands assuming preferences do the job in the former (Labor’s Chris [...]
Poll that matters
Saturday, February 7, 2004 – 12:00 pm
Newspoll hath spoken. Lest we forget, this organisation showed what it was worth at the last Queensland election with a final survey that nailed Labor’s score to within 0.1 per cent and was only 1 per cent out for each of the Coalition parties. With this record any sensible observer would do well to regard [...]
Only one more day o’ pollin’, one more day-o …
Friday, February 6, 2004 – 3:00 pm
Crikey today provided an assessment from Melbourne-based election watcher Charles Richardson, whose reading of the Queensland situation is broadly in line with the Poll Bludger’s except that he takes an ever dimmer view of the Liberal Party’s prospects. Only Clayfield and Barron River are nominated as potential Liberal gains, so no Noosa, Kawana or Indooroopilly. [...]
Fourth thoughts, roughies, more polls
Friday, February 6, 2004 – 12:00 pm
The Courier Mail today provides the final TNS Global poll for the campaign (Newspoll presumably to follow tomorrow) and it has fortified the Poll Bludger in most of his earlier convictions. Once again the results are frustratingly incomplete – we are given a statewide two-party preferred split of 58-42 and told that on the Gold [...]
Second and third thoughts
Wednesday, February 4, 2004 – 12:00 pm
The Poll Bludger has received outstanding intelligence from Queensland observer Peter Krumins which has prompted what will no doubt be the first of many second thoughts about my predictions for the Queensland election outcome. Krumins has also submitted his observations to Peter Brent at Mumble, where they may be read in full.
Firstly, I recognise now [...]
Polls and prophecies
Tuesday, February 3, 2004 – 12:00 pm
The last few days have produced a flurry of localised opinion polling, much of it dubious but all of it pointing so firmly in the same direction that only one conclusion is possible – the Coalition faces another catastrophe of biblical proportions this Saturday. By failing to put themselves within reach of victory next time, [...]
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