Your correspondent had heretofore enjoyed a monopoly as Poll Bludger content provider, but he is more than happy to surrender it to ABC election analyst Antony Green. Mr Green dropped a line last week looking for a home for his election overview and key seat summaries until ABC Online sees fit to give it one, [...]
Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth
Monthly Archives: May 2004
Phoney war dispatches: calm before the storm edition
Tuesday, May 25, 2004 – 12:00 pm
With the election appearing even more imminent than was realised, the Poll Bludger has abandoned sleep and meal breaks to complete his guide to the federal election, which when unveiled will be a colossal bonanza of fun facts and figures covering each of the 150 House of Representatives seats, plus a complete state-by-state run-down on [...]
Phoney war dispatches: budget polling bonanza
Tuesday, May 18, 2004 – 12:00 pm
Budget week has let loose a torrent of opinion poll results from which you can argue whatever you like, depending on which ones you choose. Roy Morgan and Newspoll both reported a positive response to the budget but bounced in opposite directions on the question of voting intention, while the Sunday Age reported its exclusive [...]
Budget lockdown
Thursday, May 13, 2004 – 12:00 pm
Readers will hardly need the Poll Bludger to inform them that the spending bonanza in Tuesday night’s budget has had pretty much everyone convinced that the federal election will be sooner rather than later. Another item of conventional wisdom is firming by the day: that the poll is unlikely to be held after the US [...]
Phoney war dispatches: episode three
Sunday, May 9, 2004 – 12:00 pm
Welcome to the Poll Bludger’s Mothers’ Day Edition of Phoney War Dispatches.
• Tuesday’s Newspoll had the Coalition and Labor even on 42 per cent, with the Coalition down 1 per cent. The head-scratching that greeted Newspoll’s two-party preferred calculation last time had evidently led them to do something differently, because the Coalition increased 1 per [...]
Phoney war dispatches: episode two
Sunday, May 2, 2004 – 12:00 pm
Despite an eventful week in federal politics, things were somewhat quieter on the electoral front.
• ACNielsen turned in a near replica of last week’s Newspoll with the release of its monthly figures on Wednesday. The poll had Labor and the Coalition each on 42 per cent with Labor’s two-party preferred rating on 53 per cent, [...]
Half-time report
Saturday, May 1, 2004 – 9:00 pm
Results from the Tasmanian upper house elections are in line with the expectations outlined below, although Steve Mav has done better than I predicted in finishing the night a close second in Apsley, presumably having projected his Liberal credentials sufficiently to win over party loyalists. However such has been the spread of support among the [...]
Belated Apsley and Elwick preview
Saturday, May 1, 2004 – 12:00 pm
The Poll Bludger apologises for his failure to come good on his promised preview of today’s Tasmanian Legislative Council elections in a more timely manner, as the good citizens of Apsley and Elwick now have only a few hours to absorb the invaluable insights contained herein before exercising their vote. Better late than never though. [...]
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