Election watchers with access to Sky News are advised to make a date at 9:30pm next Monday for The Gallery, a campaign chat show with a panel consisting of press gallery denizens Malcolm Farr, Glenn Milne, David Speers and Helen McCabe. Among the guests on last night’s debut was Sol Lebovic of Newspoll, who discussed [...]

The Coalition has bounced back from a horror result a fortnight ago in today’s Newspoll, taken over the weekend. Their primary vote is up from 39 to 43 per cent with Labor down from 42 to 40, though Labor maintain a 52-48 lead on two-party preferred (down from 54-46). Dennis Shanahan does a much better [...]

The Poll Bludger has meticulously sifted through his House of Representatives election guide to determine the likely outcome in each of the 150 seats, which will no doubt be revised many times between now and October 9. It is certainly to be hoped so, because the current assessment is for the nightmare scenario of a [...]

As anyone who has heard a news report in the last 24 hours will be aware, speculation is rife that John Howard will call an election tomorrow for October 9. While this would mean an unusually long election campaign, the theory is that he will be willing to risk it out of desperation to head [...]

The Fairfax papers yesterday published a state-by-state voting breakdown from the past three monthly polls conducted by ACNielsen, a similar exercise to Newspoll’s quarterly geographic and demographic surveys but with smaller samples. Labor’s two-party preferred vote in the ACNielsen results for June to August compares with Newspoll’s results for April to June as follows:

Election ‘01
Newspoll
ACNielsen

National
49.0
51
53

NSW
47.9
50
53

Vic
52.2
55
53

Qld
45.3
50
52

WA
48.4
50
49.5

SA
45.9
49
49.5

Capitals
51.4
53
55.5

Regions
45.5
49
47

Newcomer [...]