Just one more sleep until the April Fools’ Day by-election for the Queensland state seat of Gaven, which as usual will be covered live on this site shortly after polls close at 6pm local time. The campaign period has been well-served for opinion polls, with today’s effort in the Gold Coast Bulletin adding to an [...]
Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth
Monthly Archives: March 2006
How green was my tally
Wednesday, March 29, 2006 – 3:49 pm
Well, there you have it – a day of joy for the Tasmanian Greens as their most endangered sitting member, Kim Booth, just scrapes over the line in Bass by 136 votes. I might modestly note that it was my own gut feeling that this would be the case, as expressed in this post from [...]
Slicing up the apple: episode two
Wednesday, March 29, 2006 – 2:34 am
It really is a shame that the South Australian election has had to take priority in the past few weeks, because a Tasmanian election is a gift that keeps on giving. For the past nine days, fortunes have continued to wax and wane with each elimination and distribution of surpluses. The process has been of [...]
Service resumes
Tuesday, March 28, 2006 – 4:57 pm
After five weeks, 22 emails, five endless and massively expensive overseas phone calls, a threat of legal action delivered by international registered post and more foul-mouthed abuse than I have ever heaped upon anyone or anything in all my life, my London-based web host (who shall remain nameless for the time being) has finally corrected [...]
Gaven by-election preview
Thursday, March 23, 2006 – 2:55 pm
Voters in the Queensland seat of Gaven will head to the polls next Saturday to replace Labor member Robert Poole, who embarrassed his party when he indulged in a non-business trip to Thailand and informed Premier Peter Beattie he would not be back until June. When Beattie demanded he return immediately, Poole instead chose to [...]
Slicing up the apple
Tuesday, March 21, 2006 – 1:05 am
Better late than never, here is the preliminary summary of the Tasmanian election that was first promised on Saturday evening. Not much remains to be said about Labor’s success in retaining its majority, except that the Poll Bludger bitterly regrets his failure to follow Mumble’s example by taking a big punt on the absurdly favourable [...]
Super Saturday live
Saturday, March 18, 2006 – 3:36 pm
11.28pm. Okay, one last thing – Geoff Lambert notes in comments that Labor’s surplus over the fourth quota for the upper house is going steadily down, which suggests it will be their preferences that decide the final spot. If so, it will go to the Greens rather than the third No Pokies candidate. Keep your [...]
Last orders
Saturday, March 18, 2006 – 3:18 pm
Peter Brent at Mumble tells me that I have tipped Labor to win 29 seats from 47, which I had never bothered to tally up before. Make it 30 – a quarter of an hour from the close of polls, be it noted that I have also thrown in Newland. A Labor insider quoted in [...]
The late mail
Saturday, March 18, 2006 – 4:46 am
It’s way past my bedtime, so readers will have to make what they will of the following last-minute poll results. Tomorrow I will reconsider my South Australian election guide assessments one last time, and most likely make a few adjustments in Labor’s favour.
Firstly, today’s Newspoll for South Australia:
Secondly, today’s Advertiser poll:
Thirdly, yesterday’s Newspoll for Tasmania:
Finally, [...]
Surprised by Roy
Friday, March 17, 2006 – 10:48 am
No Advertiser poll today – presumably they are holding back for tomorrow. Roy Morgan has produced its traditional day-before poll, but it’s hard to take seriously even by their standards. The sample is a mere 420, and the surveys were conducted "on the weekends between February 4/5 and March 11/12". Separate results are provided [...]
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