Thursday, August 31, 2006 – 1:00 pm
Some good news at last for the Nationals: Elisa Roberts’ off-again, on-again, off-again, on-again campaign for re-election as independent member for Gympie is now off again. Roberts’ withdrawal comes too late for her name to be removed from the ballot paper, so she will face no obstacle if she feels like changing her mind again. [...]
Thursday, August 31, 2006 – 1:35 am
It’s a shame yesterday’s Newspoll results are so difficult to take seriously, because the agency has gone a few extra yards with its survey results. Included is a question regarding respondents’ strength of commitment to their chosen party, which is run alongside comparable results from the previous two elections. If hopeful Coalition supporters go looking [...]
Wednesday, August 30, 2006 – 2:23 am
Whatever else might be said about Australia’s opinion polling agencies, they cannot be faulted for having sent mixed messages during the current Queensland election campaign. If today’s Newspoll figures are to be believed, the trend towards Labor has turned exponential: their primary vote has gone from 45 per cent to 52 per cent in one [...]
Tuesday, August 29, 2006 – 1:21 pm
The Northern Territory Health and Justice Minister, Peter Toyne, has announced he is retiring from parliament due to ill health. This means a by-election will be held in his electorate of Stuart, assuming more than one candidate nominates. This is not a foregone conclusion – Stuart is a remote electorate in the west of the [...]
Monday, August 28, 2006 – 2:24 am
With polling day less than a fortnight away, a journalists’ thoughts turn to preference recommendations. Today we have Greg Roberts and Michael McKinnon reporting in The Australian that the Greens will not recommend a preference to Labor in "key marginal Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast and southern Brisbane seats". This is apparently significant because "a similar [...]
Sunday, August 27, 2006 – 10:40 am
A poll of 749 voters in yesterday’s Gold Coast Bulletin shows the Liberals struggling to hold two of their three Gold Coast seats: Currumbin, where Labor is reportedly becoming increasingly hopeful, and Robina, which is being vacated by ousted Liberal leader Bob Quinn. However, the online article says only that the Liberals hold primary vote [...]
Friday, August 25, 2006 – 10:51 pm
Polling agencies move in mysterious ways, as demonstrated by their insistence on letting respondents choose out of the Nationals and Liberals in Queensland state election surveys. Given that there will be no three-cornered contests at the election, voters will in fact have to make do with one or the other depending on where the live. [...]
Friday, August 25, 2006 – 12:56 am
In today’s Courier-Mail, Jamie Walker and Steven Wardill provide the first intelligence to emerge about the parties’ marginal seat strategies. Labor is reportedly pouring resources into Hinchinbrook and Burdekin, two north Queensland seats held by the Nationals. Despite the retirement of sitting member Marc Rowell, the former seems very hard to credit – the margin [...]
Thursday, August 24, 2006 – 9:23 pm
After an incident-packed first week of the Queensland election campaign, week two has been agreeably uneventful. I shall have to fall back on two things that caught my attention in the papers recently.
• Renee Viellaris from the Courier-Mail reports: "The Coalition will adopt the previously successful Labor strategy of ‘just vote one’ on its how-to-vote [...]
Tuesday, August 22, 2006 – 8:04 pm
Nominations for the Queensland election closed today, and a list of candidates in ballot paper order is now available from the Electoral Commission of Queensland. The Poll Bludger election guide entries have been updated accordingly. The ballot paper draw is always an eagerly anticipated event as it determines the destination of the donkey vote, reckoned [...]