Comments on: Queensland election live

By: Elbow Room

Elbow Room — Mon, 11 Sep 2006 07:55:58 +0000

On the topic of the Greens vs Family First, it didn’t get discussed at the time but at the South Australian election, out of the 45 electorates where they competed against each other, Family First won the battle 25 to 20.

Four years ealier at the 2002 SA election the result was 10-5 in the greens favour.

It’ll be interesting to see if this happens in QLD come 2009.

The senate battle next year between the two little fellas for the balance of power will also be worth following.

By: Mark Bahnisch

Mark Bahnisch — Sun, 10 Sep 2006 09:18:27 +0000

But they expect to hold Cleveland and Indooroopilly.

By: Mark Bahnisch

Mark Bahnisch — Sun, 10 Sep 2006 09:17:58 +0000

Gone.

By: Adam Carr

Adam Carr — Sun, 10 Sep 2006 08:32:24 +0000

What are they saying about Clayfield?

By: Mark Bahnisch

Mark Bahnisch — Sun, 10 Sep 2006 03:23:03 +0000

The ALP folks I spoke to last night didn’t rate their chances in Bundaberg highly.

By: Antony Green

Antony Green — Sun, 10 Sep 2006 02:07:27 +0000

A couple of people have asked why the ABC computer is giving Bundaberg to Labor when the NATs currently have 50.5% of the two-party vote.

Well, first, the ABC computer isn’t giving it away. The seat is still in doubt. But at the 2004 election, Labor’s two party vote was 54.5% in the booths, but 55.3% after all the postal, absent and pre-poll votes were counted.

If the same swing occurs in the declaration votes this time as occured in the booth votes, then Labor has a chance of winning the seat.

Of course, the swing may be different, but comparing like with like is the best way to do these comparisons.

The ABC computer is saying the seat is still in doubt, which is exactly where it should remain when you factor in the declaration vote result in 2004.

By: Reginald Ross

Reginald Ross — Sun, 10 Sep 2006 00:29:53 +0000

Family First did well for their first outing..
Darling Downs 14.6 , Mt Isa 11.7 and Cunningham 10.1 were their best performers.
Their percentage for the 26 seats they competed in was 6.93%.

By: B.S. Fairman

B.S. Fairman — Sun, 10 Sep 2006 00:29:40 +0000

If the merger of Libs and Nats had happened, how much different does one think the result would have been? Would it have been merely about 5 seat gain or was there ever any chance that the they might have won?

By: bmwofoz

bmwofoz — Sun, 10 Sep 2006 00:18:11 +0000

This result is outstanding for the ALP, considering the headlines and predictions of a backlash against the Govt.

The Greens did very well, but are still mainly a protest party, as some have said what can the Greens do in Victoria, that Election will be different to the QLD one for reasons which will be covered come November

By: Andrew Owens

Andrew Owens — Sat, 09 Sep 2006 23:04:03 +0000

An amusing stuff-up by the ABC – several online stories this morning are reporting two-term Labor MP Kerry Shine’s retention of Toowoomba North as a gain from the Nationals, even though in the same story they pretty much say that the Nationals candidate was a local councillor and not the incumbent.