If your money is anywhere near where your mouth is, dude, you’re going to be buying Bollie for the whole bar if you’re right. For the next 4 years.

Although you’d have to find someone to take your bets first– Centrebet has a book on every seat of interest (plus some of no interest, like Shellharbour), and they reckon that Lake Macquarie isn’t even worth taking bets on!

I also reckon Steven Pringle has a chance in Hawkesbury, and that overall the Libs will gain, oh, 4 seats off the Labor Party, not including any lost to independents.

So the only prediction I will make in an overall sense is that the number of independents will increase to nine or ten, with every sitting independent winning, as well as either Gaudry or Tate, along with Blackmore and possibly Pringle.

I wanted to take the time to make some broader predictions, but last minute campaigning has meant my time is running out, so I’ll just make a few.

In the upper house: Fred Nile will get in again, as will 8 Coalition and 9 Labor. The Greens will get two, but I believe (solely on the basis of today’s polls) that we will get two full quotas, so that some votes flow on to Ben Oquist, but not enough to give him a chance of winning, say if we get 9.5-10%. This, however, should be enough to put us in a position to contemplate winning three next time around.

So that leaves one spot. I reckon there’s always a chance Shooters or Democrats, or the 10th Labor might have a chance, but people have made pretty good points about AAFI, and I would pick them to win the seat.

They’ve been around for a while, they’re running in a lot of lower-house seats, and they’re near the start of the ballot paper.

I assume that she has some link with the Campbelltown area, as she ran in Werriwa in 2001, and in the by-elections for Campbelltown (2001), Macquarie Fields (2005) and Werriwa (2005), but she apparently lives in Killara.

Surely you are not being a tad misrepresentative, I understood the state awards still operated until a request to change to them was put or until the agreement that covered the employees expired.

Work Choices is a big issue, which is why so many people are scared about it, which is why Debnam campaign against it.

I noted Antony Green saying ‘10 ALP, 8 Coalition, 2 Green, 1 CDP and an outside chance of an AAFI’. I think its possibly more like 9 ALP, 8 Coalition, 2 Green, 1 CDP, 1 AAFI, and all those other minors an outsider chance of nicking another Coalition seat (and just maybe Chesterfield-Evans nicking the last ALP? – probably not). Government will get 2 CDP to vote with them (as they usually do) on tight issues, and be assured of 4 years more power.