Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

The night before Newspoll: episode two

‘Twas the night before Newspoll, and a new open thread was stirring.

345 Comments

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  1. 301
    Mr Squiggle
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:29 pm | Permalink

    Hi Kina,

    ON any other news night, I might agree with you totally, but…

    This is not just the night before newspoll, it is the night before APEC and background Brand or Product recognition is a pretty low target for a marketer from a press conference from the next PM of Australia

    Tonight, Kevin Rein looked a long way away from the next PM of Australia.

    The footage is going to get repeated again on all the late night news slots——

    There was a brief glimpse of incompetence within the KR camp today, and I hope someone is held accountable before another mistake is made

  2. 302
    Kina
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:29 pm | Permalink

    I was a Liberal party supporter – but can’t be again until they come back to the center.

  3. 303
    OLLIE
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:31 pm | Permalink

    Dont forget the codes Glen @245. And………action.

  4. 304
    Dario
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:31 pm | Permalink

    Newspoll ALP 59/41 according to Lateline

  5. 305
    Trebby
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:31 pm | Permalink

    59-41 Yahoo!!!!!

  6. 306
    Scotty
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:31 pm | Permalink

    Newspoll details:

    2PP
    —-
    ALP 59
    Coalition 41

    Christ Almighty…..

  7. 307
    sondeo
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:31 pm | Permalink

    Newspoll:59-41 ALP

  8. 308
    paul k
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:31 pm | Permalink

    59%. It’s all over.

  9. 309
    TofK
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:32 pm | Permalink

    Goooo Rudd go Rudd go Rudd go Rudd goooooooo RUDD gooooooooo RUDD.

  10. 310
    SirEggo
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:32 pm | Permalink

    Holy Crap

    Just saw it

    59-41 Labor!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    I AM NOT KIDDING

  11. 311
    call the election please
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:32 pm | Permalink

    Mr Squiggle I think most people have switched off of politics completely. I avoid political news like the plague now and I’m mostly interested.

    The 6 months of campaigning is just dreadful. The most common comments I hear are “I wish he’d just call it already”. Therefore I doubt K. Rudd looking a little frazzled in an interview is going to do irreperable damage.

  12. 312
    Albert F
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:32 pm | Permalink

    omg

  13. 313
    cameron
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:32 pm | Permalink

    DANCE DANCE DANCE DANCE DANCE

  14. 314
    Simon
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:32 pm | Permalink

    Wow. 59-41… even if that’s a 3 point outlier it’s huge :O

  15. 315
    Nostradoofus
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:32 pm | Permalink

    Newspoll 59-41 tpp to labour

  16. 316
    SirEggo
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:32 pm | Permalink

    Dang

    6 people beat me!

  17. 317
    canberra boy
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:32 pm | Permalink

    Wow 59 to 41. Not a statistically significant change, but enough to make the govt panic.

  18. 318
    Darryl
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:33 pm | Permalink

    Wow

  19. 319
    Glen
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:33 pm | Permalink

    59….UR KIDDING

  20. 320
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:33 pm | Permalink

    Newspoll is a nightmare for the government – 59 – 41 TPP

  21. 321
    Trebby
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:33 pm | Permalink

    Holy Crap that was completely unexpected

  22. 322
    OLLIE
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:33 pm | Permalink

    Glen you best go to bed mate, even you can’t weasle your way out of 59-41 mate, that is devastating. GOOD NIGHT GLEN and GOODBYE JWH.

  23. 323
    Emac
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:34 pm | Permalink

    Holy god. Probably an outlier, but if it’s not… If this is confirmed by other polls, if this happened at an election, there would not be a functional opposition.

  24. 324
    Timbo
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:34 pm | Permalink

    That must be a Primary vote back up to 50%

  25. 325
    Chris Mayer
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:34 pm | Permalink

    Any predicitions on Shanahan’s headline for 59-41?

    I notice Downer is scraping the absolute bottom of the barrel now. Saying Rudd is going around telling people he has already won the election in a landslide.

  26. 326
    BxTom
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:34 pm | Permalink

    59/41 2pp – OUCH!

  27. 327
    SirEggo
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:35 pm | Permalink

    This is will set this site into meltdown. If 59-41 was the result on election day, how many seats would the ALP win?

    We ain’t seeing an October election now…..

  28. 328
    Fagin
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:35 pm | Permalink

    Take a trip to the nearest strip club Johnny – pronto!

  29. 329
    Oldtimer
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:35 pm | Permalink

    Fantastic!

    Boy, I am enjoying this!

  30. 330
    codger
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:35 pm | Permalink

    5 & 9 the Muslim Jockey Klub or bust now…

  31. 331
    Alex on the Bus
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:35 pm | Permalink

    Hmmm, maybe someone should deliver a pair of brown trousers to Kirabilli House.

  32. 332
    Dario
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:36 pm | Permalink

    PPM 48/37 I think

  33. 333
    Scotty
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:36 pm | Permalink

    2PP 59-41

    And right in the middle of APEC, too. The last Morgan was obviously trailer trash.

    Possum – this might be the immolation point you speak of. When both Galaxy AND Newspoll are well in excess of 55-45, this means history is in the making.

    Will APEC bring these numbers back for the Coalition, or will it make them worse?

    More info….

    PPM 48-37

    No mention of the primary vote

  34. 334
    Lindsay voter
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:36 pm | Permalink

    Yay! 59-41!

  35. 335
    Darryl
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:36 pm | Permalink

    it is statistically significant – a 4% change

  36. 336
    Kina
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:37 pm | Permalink

    No wonder Kerry wore a red tie and made a joke about Michael being an aspirational reporter. It might be an outlier – but what an outlier!

    :]

    Any news about ambulance making a bee-line to any APEC dinners?

  37. 337
    Stewart J
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:38 pm | Permalink

    Everybody take a chill pill and lie down. The election was not tonight. It may or may not be called in the next 6 weeks (I thought it would be, given Turnbull’s decision to delay on the pulpmill). Howard may still hold off and go for a mid-December election. And the campaign will still be brutal.

  38. 338
    BxTom
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:38 pm | Permalink

    C’mon Glen – tell us it’s just another rogue poll, or do we need to adjust it by 15% because of pro Labor bias?

  39. 339
    TofK
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:38 pm | Permalink

    Well, Rudd better scrap the Kevin07 t-shirts. Looks like were going for a January 19th election.

  40. 340
    call the election please
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:38 pm | Permalink

    I think I speak for everyone hear when I plead to Kevin Rudd:

    Don’t stuff it up!

  41. 341
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:39 pm | Permalink

    ALP 59 41 Coal

  42. 342
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:39 pm | Permalink

    Don’t worry, it’s just another rogue poll :)

  43. 343
    Just Me
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:40 pm | Permalink

    Well, my prediction (at #4) was “56-44, and panic stations for the government”. I am happy to concede my prediction was half wrong. He he he.

  44. 344
    Marco
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:40 pm | Permalink

    Im almost in stitches watching all you poll nerds cheer and celebrate one lousy poll of 2000 people. I think alot of you are setting yourself up for a mighty fall.

  45. 345
    Posted Monday, September 3, 2007 at 10:40 pm | Permalink

    I’ve opened a new thread, so I’m closing this one.

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