Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Advertiser Boothby poll

Adelaide’s Advertiser newspaper today carries a slightly curious poll of voting intention in Boothby, held for the Liberals by Andrew Southcott on a margin of 5.4 per cent. Conducted by phone from a sample of 649, it shows Southcott leading Labor candidate Nicole Cornes by an improbable 49 per cent to 32 per cent after distribution of the undecided. No two-party result is provided, but commenter Matthew Sykes has transcribed the paper’s large volume of generally unilluminating data from the poll throughout the previous comments thread. No doubt the Advertiser’s pollsters do their best, but my mind is drawn back to the final week of the state election campaign last March, when it ran a poll showing the Liberals neck-and-neck in Norwood and set to retain Hartley. Labor went on to win the seats with respective margins of 4.2 per cent and 4.6 per cent.

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516 Comments

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  1. 501
    Dr Good
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:22 pm | Permalink

    Morgan coming out

    ALP Primary vote at 54% !!!!!!

    Highest Ever under Rudd

    http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2007/4217/

  2. 502
    James J
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:22 pm | Permalink

    looks like it’ll be a phone poll.

  3. 503
    Glen
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:23 pm | Permalink

    Ruawake that still leaves open ads below 250,000 once again looks good but you look at it closer and it fails and who decides what rules the AG will use to determine what is in and whats out…

    Pauline once again you have lost an argument for resorting to low based politics by name calling it doesnt serve your side of politics and demeans all those who agree with you i would cease your baseless attacks on me because it ads nothing to political debate and wastes Williams bandwidth.

  4. 504
    Julie
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:23 pm | Permalink

    497
    Possum Comitatus Says:
    September 28th, 2007 at 12:20 pm
    Morgan has the ALP primary at 54%

    are you sure? it is early and the site is crashing on me, I can’t confirm this. what does that make the 2pp?

  5. 505
    Let It End
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:25 pm | Permalink

    Glen give it up, you have lost any semblance of credibility you ever had with that childish argument

  6. 506
    barbara
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:25 pm | Permalink

    omg I thought you meant 54% for TPP and I was stressed!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Thanks goodness I re-read it, I feel much better, lol, what is TPP?

  7. 507
    Blacklight
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:25 pm | Permalink

    just from the title

    “ALP Primary Vote (54%) At Highest Level Under Rudd”

    usally get that first

    http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2007/4217/

  8. 508
    Lord D
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:27 pm | Permalink

    The headline says:

    ALP Primary Vote (54%) At Highest Level Under Rudd

    That’s all we have for now, but details will soon follow.

  9. 509
    Derek Corbett
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:30 pm | Permalink

    TPP= Two Party Preferred.

    Yes, Glen, pack it in. You’ll burst a poopher valve.

  10. 510
    Glen
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:32 pm | Permalink

    I guess my prediction about the Nat vote being on .5% was correct…lol!

  11. 511
    Blacklight
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:33 pm | Permalink

    tpp prolly something silly like 61:39

  12. 512
    Lindsay voter
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:35 pm | Permalink

    Wow!!! Incredible but it has made my day. Bet it won’t be reported.

  13. 513
    Lord D
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:35 pm | Permalink

    Glen, I applaud you for your courage in coming here and commenting on bad polls. If it was Labor in this position, I’d stay very far away from blogs.

  14. 514
    Glen
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:36 pm | Permalink

    No it wont because it is probably rogue LV…i hardly think it will rate a mention aside from the fact it shows a trend of the ALP above the 55-45 mark…

  15. 515
    John Withheld
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:36 pm | Permalink

    @ 497 David Charles Says:

    #485 John Withheld [Because why would your enemies lie about you?]
    Because those on the ‘other side’ like Ridout are adversaries to Gillard’s policy positions but they are not necessarily enemies unless personal hatreds come into play.

    I am intrigued by your original statement and so I will rephrase my question.

    Why would you expect a person’s adversaries to NOT misrepresent or mischaracterise that person?

  16. 516
    Posted Friday, September 28, 2007 at 12:37 pm | Permalink

    New thread open, so can we please take it over there.

    William Bowe
    http://www.pollbludger.com

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