Possum Comitatus informs us of a Taverner poll to be published in tomorrow’s Sun-Herald which will show Labor leading 59-41 in New South Wales and Victoria, and of a Galaxy poll to be published on Monday bringing the Coalition bad news from marginal seats. Taverner conducted electorate-level polling from New South Wales during the 2004 campaign, which proved fairly accurate.
UPDATE: Sun-Herald coverage now available, complete with the remarkable finding that Labor leads 73-27 among 18-29 year olds. No indication of sample size that I can see. While you’re there, have a look at their nifty graphic showing the size of Labor’s majorities as indicated by monthly ACNielsen polling results since June.
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JWH just left Yarralumla
Quivering with excitement………
I hope it’s Nov 24 or Dec 1. On Nov 17, I’ve got the second day of a two day cricket game. Nov 24 I have a one-dayer, as well as Dec 1.
In the words of a recent Big Brother contestant “Game on B*tch”.
Sorry, correction, JWH is still at Yarralumla
My bad. Sorry
I’ve got a bottle of tequila on 17 Nov. Time will tell.
I’m getting married on the 24th – if the Duck (Howard, that is) diddles me out of an election night party I’ll be spitting chips.
One of the criticisms of Rudd seems to be his small target, don’t scare the horses approach to getting elected by saying as few contentious things as possible.
They equate this with him being all fluff and no substance, but when playing against JH it has to be the only route you can take.
If and when Labor is elected, I believe they will enact the things they have talked about quietly in the background – real steps about global warming, all those social justice ideas that have been out in the cold for 11 years, a republic, etc etc.
But I realize you can’t talk about this from opposition, one wrong step with a big idea and next thing you know some minor aspect of it or some mis-phrased statement and the news cycle is on you and the Govt. is lining up to hammer you over your ‘inexperience’ or ‘recklessness’
# 242 – Possum, what I really love is how Sky News keeps replaying the car going through the gates. I’m waiting to see it in slow motion.
255
how about with matrix style special effects ?
Now JWH has left…..
When is the press conference?
Snakeboy – don’t encourage them!
What’s Rudd doing right now?
I’m sure he is preparing his election calling reply speech. I remember Latham’s, it was a shocker. I knew right there and then they were in for a hiding. I hope Rudd takes the initiative and goes straight to the front in dictating the agenda.
Go 07.
He most probably thought he would blind them all Possum,as we all know thats where the sun shines from.
Shiftaling, if the election’s held on the day of your wedding, every anniversary you and your partner have will have an extra significance–the day Howardism died.
Just make sure that there are a few TVs at the reception, then it’ll be both a reception and an election party!
GG to Howard….”It was nice knowing you, i..i..i mean bye”
I wonder whether he’s going to tell us the elections about trust again.
The trap is baited and tightly sprung. All we await now is for the rodent to activate it.
I suspect we’ll get either Nov24 or Dec1. Nov17 will clash with the 2nd test against Sri Lanka (in Hobart) and you know he wants to be seen at the cricket, not the least losing a whole bunch of Tasmanian votes who are pissed off at having to queue to vote before going to the game.
That also leaves more time for a potential interest rate rise.
aABC radio reports Howard’s back in his office. Announcement expected shortly after 12:00.
Nelson ( i think) was just on ABC News radio and was re-inforcing the old “High Rates under Labor mean you’ll lose your house”.
I was thinking looking at the TV this morning that it would have been fun if the ACT Cross Country Club had scheduled a race at Dunrossil Drive for this morning. (There’s an annual race, two laps, up and down the side of the Government House driveway – it’s a better course than it sounds. 4.2km, with Martin Dent’s course record being a bit under 12 minutes).
loandra @ 261
My fiance would kill me if I turned it into Don’t Party lol
He better get it done with by 12.30
That’s when the footy starts…
Gotta get your priorities right!
sorry I meant lomandra
oh dear the waiting is getting to me, how long before the press conference???? i dont believe it till he says it publically, he might have just called in for morning tea to fool us!
ABC reckons its a bit after 12.00
Well, well, an increasingly petulant member for Mayo. What a surprise. It’s probably too much to ask that he be turfed out in the upcoming poll. Or is it?
I would expect Labor needs a 2PP of near 60 in SA to have enough of a base to win Mayo. Then again, Downer has been clutching onto Howard’s coattails for so long, it’s possible he could go down with him, although I’d say its very unlikely.
Now the real pork barrelling starts. Will Australians resist the bunch of dollars Howards going to throw at them to get re-elected?
235 jasmine_Anadyr If thats the best they can do as a theme theyre in a lot of trouble.
hmmm
kemosabe speak with forked tongue
beware the talk in pubs and clubs
the only issue will be worstchoices mk1 and mk2
oh and the usual rascist dog whistles
Nostra @274, i shall gratefully accept any pork thrown my way and still vote for Rudd.
Scotty@273, we can only pray– what a gem that would be hearing Downer concede his seat, nearly as good as hearing the dear leaders concession speech– priceless.
Bob Brown got in before JWH on Sky News….
Howard press conference at midday
Press Conference at 12
Confirmed on Sky News
Labor need a net gain of 17 seats for a majority; they have 59 seats after Harry Quick resigned from the party in Tasmania where they now hold only two seats out of five.
So the Australian is correct.
It is startlingly clever of Rudd to make the slogan “Kevin 07″ sound synonymous with “Election 07″. The notion that Howard has met his match is an understatement of massive proportions.
THANK YOU WORKCHOICES!
# 281 – Hey Notstro, remember saying you’d be really worried if Labor was still polling 57 TPP by the end of July? God, you must be shi**ing yourself by now.
Nostrils, Labor will win 30-40 seats so 16 or 17 is irrelevant.
Wooohhhhhooo!!!!
I am the ghost of Mark Latham and
Kevin Rudd is just about to stuff up his response to John Howards calling of the election
Just like I did 3 years ago
The past will haunt you Kevin
WWWWWOOOOOOHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!!!
(Dave’s question I think)
Possibly “Overthrow the Government Gazette” (or the “Henny Penny Gazette”?) but what will be interesting is when Shananagan and his ilk reinvent themselves as pro Rudd when after a short period the sky doesn’t fall down.
Many await the GG’s Road to Damascus conversion, on top of a voter conversion which will unleash a tidal wave of vindication in Howard’s political nemesis, which I would express thus:
Apart from a caretaker role during the campaign, I take some comfort in the fact that by calling the election today Howard has no more decisions to make as Prime Minister. His last act in that capacity thank goodness, (or I’m probably off to New Zealand.)
The Ghost Of Mark Latham
Did you get permission from The Chaser to rip them off?
sssh
the old grey mare is about to speak
Election date confirmed as November 24. Paging William and Adam…..
I’ve been waiting eight months to type this on this website:
LET’S GET IT ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Excitable, aren’t I?
24 Nov
24th
24 November confirmed
There’s a great doco on Bears on National Geographic channel….in case anyone is interested.
The BIG finger to Howard – Why dont he just F-F-f- ffade away!
Leadership and experience is the theme.
According to the Prime Minister “I firmly believe that the country’s best years can lie ahead of us”
I agree -all the more reason to vote Labor
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