As foreshadowed earlier this evening by a cunning stuntman in comments, ACNielsen shows Labor’s two-party lead narrowing to 54-46 from 56-44 earlier in the month. Primary vote figures suggest rounding accounts for part of the 2 per cent shift – the Coalition is up from 40 per cent to 42 per cent, but Labor also is up from 47 per cent to a formidable 48 per cent. Here’s a table of ACNielsen’s recent results. In typing the results over the template from my earlier Galaxy table, I was struck by how similar the two series have been.
| TWO-PARTY | PRIMARY | ||||
| ALP | LNP | ALP | LNP | ||
|
Oct 19
|
54 | 46 | 48 | 42 | |
|
Oct 6
|
56 | 44 | 47 | 40 | |
|
Sep 8
|
57 | 43 | 49 | 39 | |
|
Aug 11
|
55 | 45 | 46 | 41 | |
|
Jul 14
|
58 | 42 | 49 | 39 | |
|
Jun 16
|
57 | 43 | 48 | 39 | |
|
May 19
|
58 | 42 | 48 | 39 | |
|
April 21
|
58 | 42 | 50 | 37 | |
832 Comments
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748
Wasn’t funny the first time,Glen…
I’m surprised Rudd isnt so ill from eating his own ear wax Crikey Whitey…
see http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=3aQ8YiIV1AI
Howard wants to give every kid a “wireless”.
Steven / Glen get your mummy and daddy to read you “the hare and the tortoise” before you go bye byes tonight.
738 John
I haven’t been smashed for over 10 years, but I’ll get stuck in if Kevin refers to Peter as a low altitude flyer!
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aaLLP4sc_6Q&mode=related&search=
Of course ‘working families’ and ‘economic conservative’ deserve a sip too.
Working families will destroy you – they’ll both be saying it so much…
Costello is definitely not a very good orator. Thanks Julie re Bailley’s performance… I don’t know how you answered before the question but time zones are intriguing things.
Oh Costello ran out for a “don’t forget about me” interview after Rudd left. He shouldn’t have bothered, had nothing or relevance to say, he was so depressed he couldn’t even manage a decent smirk.
Howard’s hard of hearing, so he probably hears” lapdog”, and wonders why Rudd is subsidising people to have Downer in their home
Howard let The Gimp out did he?
Who’s driving the racing car while he’s attending the media?
#759 That reminds me, where is Dolly these days? Must be hiding him away lol.
I missed Hockey vs Mike Bailey. So Bailey kicked Hockey’s arse? Brilliant!
David Spears cheerleading for the Liberals: a taste of things to come on Sunday night.
Crikey pointed out today that Howard asked the Chaser to pick on people who are alive…ie not him…hope the Chaser takes the free kick on Wednesday
&38
John,
How about adding everytime Glen mentions earwax…..
Speers was blatantly helping Hockey, not that it did him any good though. Rudd needs to be wary of Speers in the debate.
Thanks, Let It End.
#761
I think Minchin the finance minister is struggling with the steering wheel, just barely managing to keep the speeding beast on the track until Smirk gets back to his desk
Does “Tabitha” clock on at six o’clock? Can’t wait to see what she writes.
wombat she’s on the morgan thread
768
Its a team thing. Bless HR Nicholls
I think Tabitha clocks on about the same time as Shanahan’s deadline…
Crikey Whitey,
Costello was live in Melbourne with his spiel. The debate between Hockey and Bailey was pre-recorded in the studios in Sydney. They pre-empted the debate for Costello and then put the debate on in its entirety when Costello was done. Sorry if we misled anyone, they weren’t in the same place
Gotta stop drinking for a moment I thought you wrote “I think Tabitha clocks on about the same time as Shanahan’s dead…
no, no – it can only be words/phrases uttered by Mr. Rudd or Mr. Howard during the Great Debate. Print out a big list of phrases, cut them up seperately, get your mates over… each of you take turns pulling a phrase out of bag – turn on your plasma’s and settle down with a cartoon of stubbies and let the fun begin!
(This is why the person drawing working families will die of alcohol poisoning… on the other hand… that gets me thinking… perhaps if you could make sure that your token liberal invitee (every good party needs a liberal pinata) draws ‘working families’… hey! we could possibly decrease the liberal vote by 1 or 2% within 90 minutes!)
SMH poll.
74/26 in favout of Rudd’s plan.
Vote now and often.
http://www.smh.com.au/polls/politics/form.html
Okay, who’d prefer eating their ear wax to reading through 691 posts…
So Labor’s tax policy was always going to be directed at education/families. Clever, in that it can be sold as giving incentive to all families to ensure equity and modernity in access to computers, internet and school books.
Most of it will end up as middle class/upper middle welfare (upgrade your home computer, buy another laptop for everyone with kids).
The remainder will go over as ‘me-tooism’
The Labor staffers must be spending more time rigging the polls than eating their own ear wax like their Saint Rudd!
Shouldnt you all be out door knocking after Labor’s shocker week 1?
Gecko I am just about to start drinking, so will make even less sense shortly
Ta, Julie. Costello was just on PM, droning on incomprehensibly about the plan. Can’t report, fell asleep. Just caught the word’s, working mums.
Maybe Hockey rang Costello and told him Bailey had won, so Costello obliged by calling a presser, hoping the debate would be bumped
Interesting SMH poll. Who would tick not good enough?
Go figure its a Socialist Morning Herald Poll so no wonder it favours Krudd!
Hey Glen, gotta question for you…
What do you think of Edward and Tabitha… as people… and as fellow travellers?
Cos it is Friday afternoon.
http://www.roadtosurfdom.com/2007/10/19/what-have-the-unions-ever-done-for-us/
Looks like the Lib staffers overloaded the News Ltd poll. It seems to have been taken down.
Glen, you should tell your mates not to be so enthusiastic. I watched as the not in favour vote picked up 40 points in about 30 minuted.
Costello’s day just went from bad to ugly
……
“Analysts expect another chunky rise in Australian inflation for the third quarter and it’s a close call whether that will be enough to trigger the first ever rate rise during an election campaign, a Reuters poll showed.
The consumer price index (CPI) is due out next Wednesday, October 24, and is crucial for the outlook for rates. Since the start of 2006 there have been four “high” readings for CPI and each was followed by a tightening from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).”
http://www.theage.com.au/news/business/inflation-rates-as-pms-nightmare/2007/10/19/1192301035483.html
“Most of it will end up as middle class/upper middle welfare (upgrade your home computer, buy another laptop for everyone with kids).”
By definition, very few middle class, and no upper middle families are on the Family Tax Benefit (Part A).
Rudd eats earwax.
Christ can the Liberal smears get any lower?
This poll on the ABC doesn’t seem to be getting much attention by the Lib staffers and Young Libs yet.
The results so far seem to be right on the money but will get corrupted as time goes on.
http://www.abc.net.au/unleashed/poll/vote/
785
Very funny.
Julie,
That means there will be two weeks of will they rise/won’t they rise talk until the Reserve Bank makes a decision on November 7.
Could create uncertainty amongst the mortgage belt and who do you blame?
Sorry, News Ltd poll still operating, coming off Rudd Robinhood link now.
http://www.news.com.au/poll/1,,5007133-5031332,00.html
779 I’m calling Warringah for Zochling – I think Glen’s got a couple of hours head start on you.
Hey, I’ve got an idea for us singles. Who are always called upon.
A subsidy to compensate for the cost of taking the young rellies out and about, or picking them up from school, babysitting, or funding their parents.
Or, in my case, damages. One little beast crashed my brand new electric bike into a pole last week. What about a subsidy for electric bikes, anyway? Wanted it for among other things, green means.
792,
GG – it bloody serves Costello and Howard right for not calling the election in September as soon as APEC was over and having the election on 20th of 27th of October. They have diced with death here (their own jobs) and they are going down in flames
7,000+ votes in 3 hours? It has to be toad poo.
Libs need to get on song with their message
“Government frontbencher Tony Abbott has referred to Australian unions as no more important than local football clubs only a few hours after Prime Minister John Howard hosed down controversy over similar comments by his Workplace Relations Minister.”
http://www.smh.com.au/news/federalelection2007workplace/abbott-dismisses-unions/2007/10/19/1192300996446.html
Laurie Oakes’ political report on channel 9 news tonight was a horror negative piece of reporting. Rudd is being accused of me-too-ism and not being able to deliver his own tax package.
If anybody wants to organise a riot over media bias, I’M IN.
Glen,
The earwax joke was funny one time but over and over? Now you’re acting like a teenager. Next you’ll be telling us that Howard has never picked his nose or wiped his own backside.
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