Comments on: Newspoll marginals survey

By: EconoMan

EconoMan — Mon, 05 Nov 2007 01:06:54 +0000

I also note Mumble’s criticisms of Shanahan. In particular, ‘best case’ for Coalition = poll result minus error margin on Labor’s vote (8 seats). ‘Worst case’ for Coalition = poll result.

Amusing to read Shanahan and Lebovic’s analyses side by side. Could they be more different?

By: Mark

Mark — Sun, 04 Nov 2007 11:03:45 +0000

I notice that on Insiders today George M made no reference to this poll. Instead he referred to the Newspoll data published in the Tuesday Australian.

By: Annoyed

Annoyed — Sun, 04 Nov 2007 04:12:34 +0000

The Australian very carefully did *not* tell us which seats were polled (Victoria aside). This to be published on Monday.

On the assumption that both Bennelong and Wentworth were included in NSW, this would go some way to explaining the apparent tightening of primary votes.

By: The Chinster

The Chinster — Sat, 03 Nov 2007 20:21:25 +0000

My spies in Boothby tell me that Nicole Cornes is doing just fine, thank you. She connecting with people one-on-one – away from the media frenzy – and the more people meet her, the more they are talking up her candidacy to their friends and family.

She’s not gone by a long way.

By: Don Wigan

Don Wigan — Sat, 03 Nov 2007 18:28:56 +0000

Starting from scratch again, eh? Them’s the breaks. Without knowing the technical details, I wonder if it crashed from so many people trying to access the site to check the legitimacy of Shanas claims?

It’s now the most famous beat-up since his claim that a one point rise in Howard’s personal approval showed he was on the way back. I still love Mumble’s headline from that piece: Great news for Howard. Labor to win in Landslide. It is only fitting that William and Mumble put this one to bed as they have.

To all the Nervous Nellies out there: nothing to worry about here, nor with Garrett. Apart from the Hockey link, wasn’t Steve Price the man who gave oxygen to the Latham Orgies video at the last election. True, Garrett should’ve known better than even to respond to Price, but it’s really only us tragics, insiders and psephs that give a toss about those things. They pass by the average punter mostly. Even when noticed, it is usually a WTF and then on with life.

Garrett is a real positive for the ALP, make no mistake. Why do you think so many candidates are trying to draw him along. If the Libs continue to go after him, it’ll go exactly the same way as Burkegate, Get Gillard, Swan’s the Weakest Link, and other fizzers. Garrett at the national level and Cornes at the local level may cause insiders to squirm but they more than compensate with their ability to appeal to the uncommitted.

By: kina

kina — Sat, 03 Nov 2007 16:51:56 +0000

Well Sportingbet decider’s weight of betting has just moved to 74% ALP 26%LNP