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This is the third telephone poll Morgan has done since mid october and all of them have the ALP primary at 44 to 45%. The much larger face to face polls on the other hand have consistently shown Labor’s primary at 47%+. Morgan himself has said in the past that his telephone polls tend to understate the ALP vote and this seems to be further evidence of that.
So all in all, I believe there is reason for optimism from these figures, even if Morgan is not our favourite pollster.
LOL – News.com.au’s – ‘Woman knocked out at Howard walkabout’
The Libs last bastion of hope is economic management. It is a myth that has been perpetuated throughout all the past elections. Now Howard is destroying this myth with his policies. If the Libs lose this election, its hard to see them coming back in the foreseeable future.
Haiku time!
morgan start the trend
widening from now to end
john cry kevin smile
dome arigato!
I wonder if roy is bring out the f2f today as well
Scaper:
Could this be the mysterious ‘project’?
Been out letterboxing –
not a Sophie Mirrabella to be seem.
(A Blessed relief .)
But Green triangles starting to pop up…
Not to mention, most Liberal policies are aimed at the over 55’s, which is the Liberals main area of support. The youngsters and next generation are firmly against Howard, and it will take the Liberals decades to recover.
Howard’s legacy – the destruction of the Liberal party.
WTF is this?
… a 29-year-old man was spoken to by police after he declined to shake the Prime Minister’s hand.
The man, identified only as Alex, put his hand out as Mr Howard approached him but then whipped his hand away.
“I’m not a fan,” he said later.
Alex was spoken to by police before being allowed to leave.
Woman knocked out at Howard walkabout
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22729946-12377,00.html
I thought the PM may be heading this way today and was hoping it would be later this arvo when I’m in the Plaza.
We must live in a police state.
ALP still lead
Make me proud, fellow Aussies
Evict the rodent
Nice #454. I’ve got another:
Howard’s on the wane
Rudd will win in two weeks time
I smell Liberal blood.
CRIMES ACT 1914 – SECT 24AA
Treachery
(1) A person shall not:
(a) do any act or thing with intent:
(i) to overthrow the Constitution of the Commonwealth by revolution or sabotage; or
(ii) to overthrow by force or violence the established government of the Commonwealth, of a State or of a proclaimed country; or
(b) refuse to shake a prime minister’s hand.
The Morgan 2PP phone poll that distributes preferences acording to 2004 tflow shows1.5% swing to Labor, the poll that allocates preferences according to the stated intention show no shift.
Sigh, within MOE
I hope there is TV vision of this lady crying at the shopping plaza with Howard close by. Pure gold for Rudd.
BTW i noticed that the labor strategist Hawker (of hawker britton) used the phrase ‘non-core apology’ on Sky News Agenda this morning. Maybe the parties are watching Pollbludger a bit closer than we think!
There is no votes in a woman falling over for god’s sake. The poor woman fell over and hurt herself.
Rudd had a cold yesterday, probably why he was a bit off the pace last night and this morning. Don’t panic.
Wow. 470 posts about nothing…
Daniel B – yep, that’s a seinfeld election campaign for you
… and people thought Facebook was costing the economy productivity!
Why on earth was that guy questioned by police for not shaking Howard’s hand?
Have the police become Howard’s campaign managers?
Michael 468,
the vision/story will just play into the current view that everything is in disarray on the coalition campaign, therefore votes will be affected
Nothing on ABC news bulletin about Howard pressgang incident.
Lindsay Voter, the rest of that news report was even funnier:
“Earlier, a 29-year-old man was spoken to by police after he declined to shake the Prime Minister’s hand.
The man, identified only as Alex, put his hand out as Mr Howard approached him but then whipped his hand away.
“I’m not a fan,” he said later.
Alex was spoken to by police before being allowed to leave. ”
On the woman knockout – it’s John Howard’s “Latham handshake”
Am I to take it that Johnny knocked the woman over? Or did she just fall over on her own?
Possibly got knocked over by a security guard.
If you spy a rat
Ensure that you shake his paw
Or straight to gaol.
I believe she was knocked by the ensuing frenzy of the Rodent’s presence at the shops, therefore, as far as I’m concerned, he caused it.
“Why on earth was that guy questioned by police for not shaking Howard’s hand?
Have the police become Howard’s campaign managers?”
ShowsOn, beautiful, isn’t it – makes Howard look like a dictator. Gold!
Surely if Howard knocked her over he would’ve said “sorry”. I don’t mean he would’ve apologised, he just would’ve said “sorry”.
Was Howard wearing a blue singlet when it happened
The limerick’s an art form complex
Good scansion is better than sex
Please meter your verses
of John Howard curses
And don’t f#ck them up with lines that don’t fit, okay?
See if Labor HQ was switched on, they would be demanding Howard respond to the News Ltd report that police questioned someone for no other reason than he didn’t want to shake Howard’s hand.
This is another opportunity to make Howard look desperate, and make him spend time responding to things that he hopes people ignore.
The interesting take from RN was Kroger saying “its whether the swing is in safe Lib and Lab seats and the marginals can just hold on” To me that can be read that the swing is on and the only hope left is that it will not be where it counts. Normally Kroger just spins everything as pos for the libs and makes no concessions
The woman in question was a UNION BOSS. So no apology required.
Good news from Morgan. May be a Nielson online tomorrow, otherwise have to wait until Mon night for Newspoll.
Morgan was doing face to face polling in Deception Bay last weekend so maybe that will come out later this afternoon.
Yes Michael not only did he knock her over, he refused to say sorry or apologise and then he went and kicked her dog! What a rotter.
ShowsOn, 482 was a brilliant response,
Yes it feeds into his sorrygate stance perfectly – he is sorry that it happened, but he won’t apologise for it happening, as he didn’t personal knock her.
ShowsOn he probably said something that wasn’t reported
Well it is good that Kroger has finally moved on, and now accepts that there is a swing.
god it is a slow news day… the abc are still leading with the latham stuff
ShowsOn, there is literally an ARMY of people on this blog (and others) that the Labor party could take advantage of – we are all very switched on here and could react instantly to help with their campaign efforts. Agree with you on this opportunity (and many others). I hope Labor staffers are reading….
And so what if he did? Do you live in Melbourne, Victoria, or is Melbourne also a city in Burma?
you know Morgan is irrelevant when we here at PB are bored out of our minds and his polls are almost completely ignored lol.
i really think ACN has been the only credible poll throughout the campaign.
492 [ShowsOn he probably said something that wasn’t reported]
Like when is the next poll out loser?
Oh FFS! This site is rabid today. A woman falling over is not going to win a single vote, however labor plays it.
The 29y/o who refused to shake howard’s hand – well, it’s humerous, and no doubt the chaser will play it next week – but nothing labor does will convert it into more votes.
Apropos of nothing (v. much a slow news day comment) can anyone tell me why the Rattus is anti-capital punishment? Its always kinda surprised me. He’s otherwise so quick to push all the right-wing, populist, moral-panic, be-afraid buttons.
Of course, his views only apply to white Australian, but even so..what’s he doing holding a gasp-progressive view?
Mind you, Hyacinth, of course, is very much kill-kill-bring-back-the-noose. It’s like there was too much evil in him and she had to take up some of the slack.
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