Talk of a Bennelong poll from the Daily Telegraph prompted much excited chatter yesterday, but it turns out to be a semi-qualitative “study” with a sample of 200. John Howard has 87 backers against 86 for Maxine McKew, with “only one in five swinging or first-time voters” backing Howard. The Townsville Bulletin brings us a poll of 209 respondents in Herbert, conducted by consultants AEC Group. It shows Labor’s candidate George Colbran and Liberal incumbent Peter Lindsay each on 41 per cent of the primary vote, with Colbran leading 53-47 on two-party preferred – a swing of 9 per cent. A similar poll published in early September produced the same result.
Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth
Bennelong and Herbert “polls”
Copyright © 2008 Private Media Pty Ltd, Publishers of Crikey.com.au. All Rights Reserved.
Independent news, blogs and commentary on politics, media and business.
Editor: Jonathan Green.
Publishers: Eric Beecher, Diana Gribble.
Level 7, 22 William St, Melbourne, 3000. Ph: 1800 985 502 Fax: (03) 8623 9975
714 Comments
Pages: « 1 … 2 3 [4] 5 6 … 15 » Show All
OT but curious – I just looked up Antony Green’s election site to check on the senate lists. Faulkner’s name does not appear on any of the lists. What does this mean?
I think Malcolm Fraser now lives on the Mornington Peninsula, SW of Melb. About 60-90m minutes out of Melbourne. That would probably be in the electorate of Flinders.
He was formerly the member for Wannon, in south-west Victoria, and the family property is Nareen, near Hamilton.
Laborvoter @ 135
Because we may have varying opinions of whether there is or is not a shift in the ADF vote does not make my opinion a ‘crock’. Your apparent lack of respect for divergent opinions reflects behaviour more often associated with our friends on the conservative side of politics. However, given your vast experience of the ADF I will defer to your opinion wrt Herbert. Best.
Sorry Mornington Pensinsula is SE of Melbourne. It’s where Harold Holt went for the big swim.
ABC live streaming
http://abc.net.au/streaming/networktv.asx
Uh oh here we go, Costello’s on.
Especially in Coorparoo!
Re 142,
I have just had a good look at the AEC electorate map and based upon the information I remember, I would say Calwell or Lalor would be the electorate as they are the electorates to the NW once you leave the metropolitan area.
Oops! I looked up Victoria. He’s on the NSW list. He struck me as a Victorian all these years, not a NSW Right fug.
I see the “GO FOR GROWTH” slogan is back in favour.
#151 Presumably Faulker is not up for re-election this term. Senate terms are twice the HOR terms, so he’ll be on the ballot paper at the next federal election (presuming he stands again).
Julie – it’s most endearing
Boring!!!!!
#159 Pritam, you’ve answered your own question. Half the Senate is elected each election. That’s why there are still deomcrats in teh Senate, even though they got bugegrall votes last election.
163 – what’s boring? People who leave one-word comments with excessive exclamation marks?
should read “buggerall” of course. I’m typing too fast. Can’t keep up with this modern world.
163 – or is Costello boring? Because I agree.
Am I seeing things or do a bunch of people in the audience have life-jackets on?
I’ll summarise the themes of Costello’s speech:
1) Fear
2) Uncertainty
3) Doubt
the Tories are boring.
Was that GOUGH in the Audience??! WTF?!
Okay, finally got my free $100 bet credited – it must’ve been on some sort of manual approval, and duly put it on Maxine. There’s something funny going on with the Howard odds, given every available indicator, Maxine and John should be nearly equal… would it be possible to use the tax deductible political donations to put bets on? who regulates that?
Anyway, also put my $30 on that fellow from Herbert, the McDonalds man! He’s a good chance, regional towns love this sorta fella!
168 davidoff – lifejackets or self-administering poison capsules?
This seems to be a low passion election and this might assist Coalition MPs who are popular locally (or who face weaker Labor candidates) holding on, Hinkler & Boothby perhaps. But for every marginal the Coalition holds there will be one above the swing that goes.
169,
typical of Costello and the Libs … fear, fear, fear; they have only a one track message
….. has vindicated my decision to avoid the tv this afternoon. cricket is one wicket away from victory anyways, so am following on the cric info score window 
Costello’s speech would do a lot for the blue rinse lamington and scone makers that form the base of the Liberal Party, but I have no idea what it has to do with winning a federal election.
gee that was a thigh slapper Costello-’economic conservatives under the beds’.LMAO-Not
Costello got the positive stuff out of the way early, and now he’s just ramping up all the fear. It’s horrendous!
he’s not a great orator, is he? i’m nodding off. maybe he’s trying to hypnotise us.
smirky thinks he’s doing stand up comedy. well he is a joke after all.
This is so wrong. Costello is so boring he’s making me do some work.
Not really exciting stuff …
The faces and expressions of guests and speakers are more of those at a funeral or wake than a campaign launch. Says it all really doesn’t it?
DLP:
The Greens are are not a lunatic far left fringe – they are ideologically now like of the social democratic left – its just that what is radical is orthodox and both Labor and LIberal are of the right. The paradims have moved so much further to the Right, and if you have largely stayed the same….
You may want to go and see http://www.politicalcompass.org ………see Aust election 2007….making the Greens policies out to be extreme to dismiss them when what’s Radical Right is orthodox is not helpful…
If Ruddy won’t visit Bennelong what is to stop the soon-to-be deputy PM along with some of the other great ladies on the Labor front bench, Tanya Plibersek, Penny Wong, Nicola Roxon blitzing Bennelong? All are intelligent and articulate ladies and certainly do not look like “union bosses”
listening on radio… Costello sounds pompous! Living in the past. Yesterday’s news mate, its yesterdays news.
“Your vote will have consequences….” nice fear work.
I sure hope they mention their Orangutan scheme! I hear the Orangutan vote will decide the election this year!
Hahhahah Costello just said he was part of a government “that abolished supperannuation for over 60s”. I think he meant they abolished TAX on supperannuation for over 60s.
It’s actually quite bizarre. Here is Costello talking to the Liberal faithful, doing his very best to maintain all the delusions over economic management and unions. The libs cheer it like fanatics… and there you have it: the parallel universe. They live in la-la land… this is the new era of the LOONY right.
This Tory hubris might play out well infront of the adoring minions but Im not sure about voter land. Yes it was the reforms of yesterday that have got us where we are-the Hawke/Keating reforms you lucky jammy Tories.
Why won’t someone challenge Costello on the 70% union bosses claim??
It’s been proven to be BS!
@132
The government has zero net debt. It otherwise has some $50+ Billion of debt on its books.
http://www.crikey.com.au/Politics/20070509-Cossies-debt-free-furphy.html
Bird – true – but they’re not quite in the tradition of the liberal democrats in the UK. Perhaps we need a party like that here.
he really yells when he wants to make a point.so annoying.
Can some one put a Hitler mo & swastika to complete the picture!
And here come the clowns – Mr mark Vaile
I’m listening to the campaign launch on News Radio and this is completely bizarre! So, weird!
Who IS this dickhead compere?! He’s bloody irritating! (I better turn it off when the rodent comes on…)
99.2 Clark to Muralitharan, OUT, all over! Australia win by an innings and 40 runs! Murali backs away to a yorker-length delivery on the stumps, misses his shot, and the stumps are splayed!
M Muralitharan b Clark 4 (8b 0×4 0×6) SR: 50.00
I sure hope they bring out Alexander Downer! He’s a good vote-buyer, right?
*cough*
Pages: « 1 … 2 3 [4] 5 6 … 15 » Show All