Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Taverner: Labor leads among mortgage holders

The Sunday Fairfax papers (see here and here) carry a Taverner poll covering mortgage holders only from Sydney and Melbourne, showing a 57-43 lead to Labor. There was apparently a similar poll published during the 2004 campaign which had the Coalition leading 54-46 among this group, but I can’t find any record of it. Seats in which this looks like bad news for the Coalition include La Trobe, McMillan, Corangamite, Deakin and McEwen in and around Melbourne, and Lindsay, Parramatta, Dobell, Robertson and Macarthur in the Sydney area.

617 Comments

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  1. 601
    Grog
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 7:08 pm | Permalink

    is the next newspoll Monday or Tuesday – or will it hold off till the end of the week?

  2. 602
    Just Me
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 7:10 pm | Permalink

    http://www.news.com.au/couriermail/story/0,20797,22778780-953,00.html

    “I’m not suggesting that God is either Liberal or Labor,” Mr Howard said.”

    Yes you very clearly are.

  3. 603
    Burgey
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 7:31 pm | Permalink

    597 – it’s the non-wedge thing I think – “Labor tries to tell people what to do by legislating against choice” – dross of course.

  4. 604
    Paul Hodgson
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 7:32 pm | Permalink

    ESJ #562:

    I’ll take you on for a $100 donation to PB so long as you promise to shut up until William confirms you’ve paid the $100. 53.00-47.00 ALP TPP = draw (and we both give William $20. ALP 53.01% TPP and you pay William $100.

  5. 605
    Edward StJohn
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 7:54 pm | Permalink

    604 – not the terms I offered. declined.

  6. 606
    libsrok
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 8:21 pm | Permalink

    esj. are you declining my bet?

  7. 607
    mad cow
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 8:27 pm | Permalink

    anyone keeping an eye on the ads tonight?

  8. 608
    Observer
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 8:42 pm | Permalink

    So now Rattus Rattus has tried to wedge God ……. remember Nietzsche !

  9. 609
    Kirribilli Removals
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 9:35 pm | Permalink

    Gott ist tot, and so’s the rodent.

    Or maybe Nietzsche’s lovely aphorism is more appropriate:

    When you stare into the abyss, the abyss also stares into you.

    …one for the rodent, don’t you think?

  10. 610
    Observer
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 9:37 pm | Permalink

    ooooohhhhh – yeeeehhhhh!

  11. 611
    will from Gippsland
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 9:58 pm | Permalink

    Channel 10 Melb. showing many amny lib ads……..interest rates, unemployment of the young under Labor etc.
    Where the hell are the ALP ads?

  12. 612
    will from Gippsland
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 9:58 pm | Permalink

    Channel 10 Melb. showing many many lib ads……..interest rates, unemployment of the young under Labor etc.
    Where the hell are the ALP ads?

  13. 613
    Gaffhook
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 10:16 pm | Permalink

    Kev 07 missed a good opportunity on Rove.When asked who he would turn gay for he should have said:

    If something bad happened with global warming and there were three people left,
    myself-Amanda Vanstone and Avuncular Joe then i would have to shag Joe.

  14. 614
    Daniel B
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 10:58 pm | Permalink

    So now Rattus Rattus has tried to wedge God

    Next election, Peter will offer him a tax cut.

  15. 615
    Ice444
    Posted Sunday, November 18, 2007 at 11:44 pm | Permalink

    588
    Flash Says:
    November 18th, 2007 at 6:36 pm

    Working on the premise that most about these parts are Kevin07 types, when it comes to election night would you prefer:

    A: Early indications from the tally room that the Coalition, against all odds, is going to be returned to government. Followed by a virtual concession by one of the Labor commentators. Followed by shocks results from WA which seal a narrow Labor victory.

    or

    B: A clear victory by Labor by 15 seats, called early and clean by Anthony Green about 8.10pm, without any roller-coaster ride to add excitement and “memorability” to the night.

    A would be fun as the govt supporters would be out of control and then when the w.a results roll in, they would shit a brick.

    However B would be even funner as there would not be any need for the w.a results and the conservative commentators may shut up (finally).

  16. 616
    Paul Kavanagh
    Posted Monday, November 19, 2007 at 12:18 am | Permalink

    Re: comment 23:

    Jason Koutsoukis is a gutsy journalist prepared to give credit where it’s due, even when it’s not a fashionable subject, and he fairly acknowledge poor performance – two examples;
    1. Feature article which exposed poor performing Labor Party MPs during the 2006 ALP preselections.
    2. Recent feature detailing the merits of the Democrats, in comparison with other Senators, notably the Greens.

    Also, Jason acknowledges his (rare) mistakes and changed perspectives – an unusual phenonenon in Australian journalism.

    Along with the excellent George Meglogenis and the outstanding Nick Xenophon, Greek-Australians are becoming prominant in Oz politiics, and that’s a good thing !

  17. 617
    Posted Friday, December 14, 2007 at 11:14 pm | Permalink

    mortgage lender rate los lender mortgage

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