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	<title>Comments on: ACNielsen: 52-48 to Labor in Wentworth</title>
	<atom:link href="http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/19/acnielsen-52-48-to-labor-in-wentworth/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/19/acnielsen-52-48-to-labor-in-wentworth/</link>
	<description>Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth</description>
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		<title>By: William Bowe</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/19/acnielsen-52-48-to-labor-in-wentworth/comment-page-17/#comment-87727</link>
		<dc:creator>William Bowe</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2007 06:27:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/724#comment-87727</guid>
		<description>Over to the new thread, everybody.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Over to the new thread, everybody.</p>
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		<title>By: BV</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/19/acnielsen-52-48-to-labor-in-wentworth/comment-page-17/#comment-87726</link>
		<dc:creator>BV</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2007 06:27:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/724#comment-87726</guid>
		<description>[What does MSM mean?]

&quot;Malcolm Supports Malcolm&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>What does MSM mean?</p></blockquote>
<p>&#8220;Malcolm Supports Malcolm&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: Lefty E</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/19/acnielsen-52-48-to-labor-in-wentworth/comment-page-17/#comment-87725</link>
		<dc:creator>Lefty E</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2007 06:27:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/724#comment-87725</guid>
		<description>Or &#039;mainstream&#039;. This is no time for me to star some weird pomo feminist critique!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Or &#8216;mainstream&#8217;. This is no time for me to star some weird pomo feminist critique!</p>
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		<title>By: Gary Bruce</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/19/acnielsen-52-48-to-labor-in-wentworth/comment-page-17/#comment-87724</link>
		<dc:creator>Gary Bruce</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2007 06:27:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/724#comment-87724</guid>
		<description>826 Edward StJohn - Edward, it is news to me that I&#039;m angry. Anger is not one of those emotions that I readily experience. Jim is an old sparring partner back in the &quot;Bolt days&quot;. Now I wouldn&#039;t give you two cents for it. Might suit your tastes though Edward.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>826 Edward StJohn &#8211; Edward, it is news to me that I&#8217;m angry. Anger is not one of those emotions that I readily experience. Jim is an old sparring partner back in the &#8220;Bolt days&#8221;. Now I wouldn&#8217;t give you two cents for it. Might suit your tastes though Edward.</p>
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		<title>By: Lefty E</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/19/acnielsen-52-48-to-labor-in-wentworth/comment-page-17/#comment-87723</link>
		<dc:creator>Lefty E</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2007 06:26:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/724#comment-87723</guid>
		<description>manstream media.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>manstream media.</p>
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		<title>By: John of Melbourne</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/19/acnielsen-52-48-to-labor-in-wentworth/comment-page-17/#comment-87722</link>
		<dc:creator>John of Melbourne</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2007 06:26:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/724#comment-87722</guid>
		<description>What does MSM mean?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What does MSM mean?</p>
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		<title>By: Lefty E</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/19/acnielsen-52-48-to-labor-in-wentworth/comment-page-17/#comment-87721</link>
		<dc:creator>Lefty E</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2007 06:25:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/724#comment-87721</guid>
		<description>Yeah, thats what I love about this site. Keeping it real! Id be lost if i was following the MSM on all this.

Here&#039;s my summary of fairly low risk assessments:

- NSW and QLD will deliver a bag of seats, probably 10 minimum.
- SA and Tas will certainly deliver 4, and most likely 5.
- WA is unlikely to provide a net gain to the coalition.
- That leaves the ALP needing one or two extra seats, with plenty of likely candidates in Vic, NT, and extras in NSW, QLD, SA
- LNP could still win, but its highly unlikely. Will take an implosion from Rudd and a lot of plain, dumb, and improbably consistent luck in marginals.
- better than 50/50 chance Howard wont be PM even if they do, having lost Bennelong
- chances of a hostile senate past July next are rather slim.
- the real toss-up is whether a landslide is on, or just a safe 4-5 seat margin.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yeah, thats what I love about this site. Keeping it real! Id be lost if i was following the MSM on all this.</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s my summary of fairly low risk assessments:</p>
<p>- NSW and QLD will deliver a bag of seats, probably 10 minimum.<br />
- SA and Tas will certainly deliver 4, and most likely 5.<br />
- WA is unlikely to provide a net gain to the coalition.<br />
- That leaves the ALP needing one or two extra seats, with plenty of likely candidates in Vic, NT, and extras in NSW, QLD, SA<br />
- LNP could still win, but its highly unlikely. Will take an implosion from Rudd and a lot of plain, dumb, and improbably consistent luck in marginals.<br />
- better than 50/50 chance Howard wont be PM even if they do, having lost Bennelong<br />
- chances of a hostile senate past July next are rather slim.<br />
- the real toss-up is whether a landslide is on, or just a safe 4-5 seat margin.</p>
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		<title>By: PJK for President</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/19/acnielsen-52-48-to-labor-in-wentworth/comment-page-17/#comment-87720</link>
		<dc:creator>PJK for President</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2007 06:24:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/724#comment-87720</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;All the evidence is that the WA marginals are not swinging, or even swinging to Lib.&lt;/blockquote&gt;
Labor will win Hasluck and hold Cowan and Swan.  Stirling is 50/50 and I have $200 on SASman..WA is not going to let us down.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>All the evidence is that the WA marginals are not swinging, or even swinging to Lib.</p></blockquote>
<p>Labor will win Hasluck and hold Cowan and Swan.  Stirling is 50/50 and I have $200 on SASman..WA is not going to let us down.</p>
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		<title>By: blindoptimist</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/19/acnielsen-52-48-to-labor-in-wentworth/comment-page-17/#comment-87719</link>
		<dc:creator>blindoptimist</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2007 06:24:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/724#comment-87719</guid>
		<description>820
Ashley Says: 
November 19th, 2007 at 5:17 pm 

Costello could be PM in a week
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22783284-5013947,00.html
&quot; LOL. Fat chance of that, but I like the speculation.&quot;

And it does reinforce the message that a vote for the Liberals is a vote for an unstable leadership in the new parliament.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>820<br />
Ashley Says:<br />
November 19th, 2007 at 5:17 pm </p>
<p>Costello could be PM in a week<br />
<a href="http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22783284-5013947,00.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,22783284-5013947,00.html</a><br />
&#8221; LOL. Fat chance of that, but I like the speculation.&#8221;</p>
<p>And it does reinforce the message that a vote for the Liberals is a vote for an unstable leadership in the new parliament.</p>
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		<title>By: Frank Calabrese</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/19/acnielsen-52-48-to-labor-in-wentworth/comment-page-17/#comment-87718</link>
		<dc:creator>Frank Calabrese</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Nov 2007 06:21:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/724#comment-87718</guid>
		<description>[The West Australian and Sunday Times, which love John Howard will always continue to push the line thet JWH is the best thing since sliced bread.]

Oh and add 6PR to the mix as well, who btw only scored some 85 in the last radio ratings.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>The West Australian and Sunday Times, which love John Howard will always continue to push the line thet JWH is the best thing since sliced bread.</p></blockquote>
<p>Oh and add 6PR to the mix as well, who btw only scored some 85 in the last radio ratings.</p>
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