Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

McNair: 50-50 in North Sydney

Monday, November 19, 2007 – 8:07 pm, by William Bowe

Laurie Oakes reports on the Channel Nine News that a McNair opinion poll has Joe Hockey and Labor’s Mike Bailey locked on 50-50 in North Sydney.

UPDATE: Sky News reveals the sample was 400.

UPDATE 2: Unsourced talk of primary vote figures of 44 per cent for Hockey and 41 per cent for Bailey.

Comments (260) | Permalink

260 Comments

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  1. 251
    Leinad
    Posted Monday, November 19, 2007 at 10:22 pm | Permalink

    Howard has narrowed the gap on Preferred PM! Noes!

  2. 252
    Megan
    Posted Monday, November 19, 2007 at 10:23 pm | Permalink

    Re: Nth Sydney….surely the GETUP campaign against Hockey would also help Mike Bailey, just as the ‘Not Happy John’ campaign was effective in reducing Howard’s margin in Bennelong last election?

  3. 253
    Stephen Hill
    Posted Monday, November 19, 2007 at 10:25 pm | Permalink

    Newspoll 54-46 ALP
    Primary Labor 46 down 2, Liberal up 1

  4. 254
    maccatas
    Posted Monday, November 19, 2007 at 10:56 pm | Permalink

    Bob Brown on LL. Didn’t waste a second. Masterly!!!!!

  5. 255
    Steve of Wakefield
    Posted Monday, November 19, 2007 at 11:12 pm | Permalink

    ShowsOn, he doesn’t give a specific prediction but he does say, “Barring something amazing in this last week, or a marginal seats miracle, Labor will win, and win comfortably.” Hope this helps :)

  6. 256
    I C Moore
    Posted Tuesday, November 20, 2007 at 12:59 am | Permalink

    Is that the fat lady I hear singing

  7. 257
    dogford
    Posted Tuesday, November 20, 2007 at 1:11 am | Permalink

    North Sydney is my dream result. A bit of money has gone on this one recently. I got $7 on Bailey, now it’s in to around $4.

  8. 258
    Karma Policeman
    Posted Tuesday, November 20, 2007 at 2:46 am | Permalink

    The Armenians in the US seem to be heavily Republican. As in Australia, they tend to vote as a bloc and are *very* politically organized. I wonder why…

  9. 259
    Karma Policeman
    Posted Tuesday, November 20, 2007 at 2:46 am | Permalink

    On another subject, does anyone know where I could find a live internet feed of the election?

  10. 260
    The Elect Vessel
    Posted Tuesday, November 20, 2007 at 7:48 am | Permalink

    Armenians are the archetypal small bizos, just behind the Jews. Armenians have also held a prominent place in Singapore and HK, punching above their weight.

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