Comments on: Advertiser poll: 52-48 to Liberal in Boothby

By: Ian

Ian — Fri, 23 Nov 2007 03:32:41 +0000

Small Boothby poll conducted by Adelaide university:

http://www.abc.net.au/adelaide/stories/s2099106.htm

By: Ian

Ian — Thu, 22 Nov 2007 21:42:05 +0000

re me @ 159 – of course I meant Marion Arts and Cultural Centre.

By: Ian

Ian — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 22:00:22 +0000

Is Nicole going to Burnside Town Hall on Friday morning?

Therapy – I can’t make it either – and I hope lots of like-minded folk can, it would be great if there is plenty of support for Nicole in the crowd.

Any strength in the suggestion in this week’s Messenger that Cornes and Handshin were simply to distract Liberal resources from the marginals – and that winning either seat is a bonus ? (ref the Southern Times Messenger – Christian Kerr’s column quoting an un-named Labour MP).

Personal disclosure: Kerr is the reason I don’t subscribe to Crikey.

By: Crikey Whitey

Crikey Whitey — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 15:23:05 +0000

No chance of attending, Therapy.

Could be fun, though. Especially given that Mattndave have given Nicole such a hard time.

Said, others What has Southcott ever done?

Al in Boothby. Did you deliver?

By: I C Moore

I C Moore — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 14:14:57 +0000

Hi PM aka ALPCG quite right southcott is hopeless, he once famously turned his nose up at Trish Draper as a digrace to the party- what a goose

By: ALP Campaign Genius

ALP Campaign Genius — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 13:48:03 +0000

Re Boothby, Phil Robins says: “the last redistribution slightly improved Labor’s position.”

I know you Phil and I know you’re a Labor legend and rarely wrong. You are on this one, however.

The last redistribution in SA (2003) gave Boothby 1600 voters from Hindmarsh and 3600 from Adelaide (the small part of the seat that is north of Cross Rd). The AEC calculated that these changes improved the Liberal two-party-preferred vote, though only by 0.02%.

The 1999 redistribution also gave Southcott a small boost of 0.16% thanks to 6700 voters coming from Mayo (in the Happy Valley area).

In 2004, the Lib 2PP in Boothby was 55.37% while the Lib 2PP in all of SA was 54.36%. When Southcott was first elected in 1996, the Lib 2PP in Boothby was 61.60% while the Lib 2PP in all of SA was 57.26%.

While he’s been an MP, Southcott’s gap over the state-wide Liberal 2PP vote has dropped from 4.34% to 1.01%. And, as shown, redistributions have had nothing to do with it.

People may be entitled to ask whether Nicole Cornes should be the Member for Boothby. But they should also ask what they’ve got there now. A half-effective MP (with more than a decade to build his recognition) would not see his numbers dwindle like this. Had Southcott been half-effective, Labor would never have targetted Boothby.

By: Therapy

Therapy — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 10:55:12 +0000

As a Boothby voter, I really hope she gets up too, but many people see her as a trophy wife, not as an independent woman and have already made up their minds about her. Southcott has sent out three letters in three days. He’s getting a bit desperate. Nicole’s junk mail was very well produced, positive, and highlighted her individuality. I’m going to the 891 mornings in the marginals on friday. Anyone else?

By: Ian

Ian — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 03:16:39 +0000

Barry @ 153 – I hope you’re telling everyone you know – and a few you don’t.

Go Nicole !

(William – trust you’ll indulge such blatant support as we get within spitting distance of Saturday)

By: barry

barry — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 02:59:35 +0000

Andrew Southcott spent three months on a taxpayer funded trip to New York in 04 and it cost $60,000 US! How on earth this has not been raised I dont know…

Yes Al, he is lazy and useless, Cornes will be much better local MP. She will be the talk of the town election night and Sarurday morning I have a great feeling there will be a few red faces amongst her doubters. Shes a tough formiddable woman not the way the media portray her at all. Rare honesty too for a pollie.

By: The Finnigans

The Finnigans — Wed, 21 Nov 2007 00:55:54 +0000

#150, my point exactly.