Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

ACNielsen: 57-43

Not sure where he heard this, but the more than reliable Possum Comitatus hears tomorrow’s ACNielsen will show 55-45.

UPDATE: Now the Channel Seven News tells us it’s 57-43. Either ACNielsen or Galaxy are going to look at bit silly come Sunday.

TWO-PARTY PRIMARY
ALP LNP ALP LNP
Nov 23
57 43 ? ?
Nov 16
54 46 47 43
Nov 2
55 45 48 41
Oct 19
54 46 48 42
Oct 6
56 44 47 40
Sep 8
57 43 49 39
Aug 11
55 45 46 41
Jul 14
58 42 49 39
Jun 16
57 43 48 39
May 19
58 42 48 39
April 21
58 42 50 37

1,408 Comments

Pages: « 1 [2] 3 4 529 » Show All

  1. 51
    Justin
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:02 pm | Permalink

    what if acn is worse.. for labor

  2. 52
    Refried Noodle
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:03 pm | Permalink

    ACN 57-43

    Channel 7

    No joke!

  3. 53
    Hemingway
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:03 pm | Permalink

    Channel 7 just said ACN is 57 to 43 to Labor

  4. 54
    Michael
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:03 pm | Permalink

    keep us up to date on the way the news shows are spinning things

  5. 55
    Ashley
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:03 pm | Permalink

    Justin — Paul B on Ten News said ACN was *a lot* better for Labor.

  6. 56
    Big Blind Door Knocker
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:03 pm | Permalink

    Think about it guys, the latest newspoll was only completed about 72 hours before this one. What do you think has made the big difference?

    Have the Libs done anything different other than stuff up in the last 72 hours?

    Who knows why they might be clawing back votes. Who knows if they really are.

  7. 57
    Michael Proud
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:04 pm | Permalink

    channel seven says 57-43 for ACN

  8. 58
    blacklight
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:04 pm | Permalink

    rofl

  9. 59
    Spiros
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:04 pm | Permalink

    Yeah, good one RN

  10. 60
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:04 pm | Permalink

    ACN 57-43

    Channel 7

    No joke!

    Come on.

  11. 61
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:04 pm | Permalink

    Last time Galaxy and Morgan were the most accurate in their final primary vote polls, but Galaxy got the preferences right and Morgan didn’t.

  12. 62
    Ashley
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:04 pm | Permalink

    That is hilarious!

  13. 63
    KT
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:04 pm | Permalink

    :lol:

    Best final polls ever

  14. 64
    Misty
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:04 pm | Permalink

    WTF?

  15. 65
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:04 pm | Permalink

    42 Lose the election please Says:
    November 22nd, 2007 at 6:00 pm
    People dismiss Galaxy because they’re afraid it could be right. My feeling is it’ll be closer to Galaxy than ACN on the night.

    And you dismiss ACN 55-45 because you are afraid it could be right….sad…very sad..for a Labor supporter…or not?

  16. 66
    RGee
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:04 pm | Permalink

    Hahahhaha.. hilarious.

  17. 67
    thewetmale
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:04 pm | Permalink

    Mark Reily on 7 has just reported Nielson at 57 – 43

  18. 68
    Arbie Jay
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:05 pm | Permalink

    57-43 on 7 news

  19. 69
    Refried Noodle
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:05 pm | Permalink

    Mark Riley said
    “Labor lead lengthening to 12 points – 57-43, ::pause:: to 14 points rather, 57-43″

    He said in just then on Channel 7 Sydney news

  20. 70
    Hemingway
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:05 pm | Permalink

    Definitely, not joke. It was 7’s political reporter, and he said a 14% difference of 57 to 43 for Labor.

    Bewdy!

  21. 71
    Ashley
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:05 pm | Permalink

    OK, can anyone confirm 57-43, no sh*t?

  22. 72
    Julie
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:05 pm | Permalink

    Laurie leaked no poll results :( …. time to put my 6yo in the shower and get a little work done before next round of news at 7pm :)

  23. 73
    Hemingway
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:05 pm | Permalink

    Also 7 has a former Kelly staffer saying Kelly used bogus pamphlets in 2001.

  24. 74
    Ashley
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:06 pm | Permalink

    One of these pollsters could be out of a job after the election…

  25. 75
    Julie
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:06 pm | Permalink

    man … alright, 57/43 …… so it was leaked but not to 9 … thanks :) :)

  26. 76
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:06 pm | Permalink

    So do we expect one more each of Newspoll and Morgan and that’s it?

    If so, the final Newspoll will hopefully tell us what the actual situation is.

    If that ACN figure’s for real, I wonder if it overlapped with the start of RaceHateGate?

  27. 77
    Asanque
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:06 pm | Permalink

    Get on ALP at 11-1 over 56% TPP at Sportingbet :)

  28. 78
    Hemingway
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:07 pm | Permalink

    Obviously, The Daily Tele doesn’t believe their Galaxy poll either—front page editorial tomorrow recommending vote for Labor!

  29. 79
    Ricky
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:07 pm | Permalink

    57/43 on Prime News in Canberra.

    That’s a 14 point gap.

    Absolutely stunning.

    This combined with the pamphletgate affair = Liberal annihlation.

  30. 80
    Big Blind Door Knocker
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:07 pm | Permalink

    over 56%+ doesnt happen in this country- the electoral system is very balanced- major crisis would be needed for that and we dont have one.

    Happy to be proven wrong of course.

  31. 81
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:08 pm | Permalink

    Headline amended.

  32. 82
    Drop by
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:08 pm | Permalink

    Who cares what Galaxy said and who’s afraid. Take a look at the betting markets. The smart money is in and when one side blows out as far as the Coalition have there is no coming back.I would back the money over someones “feelings” anyday.

  33. 83
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:08 pm | Permalink

    57/43 I don’t believe it. If it’s true we have won.

    Comparing ACN with Galaxy is like comparing a Rolls with a go-cart.

  34. 84
    Ashley
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:08 pm | Permalink

    I think we can now be pretty sure that the ALP’s vote is going to be somewhere above 52%. ie. ALP win.

    But by how much? Hard to go past a result in the 53-54 range.

  35. 85
    Grog
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:08 pm | Permalink

    The nine news in Sydney led with the Lindsay disgrace. Channel 7 did 2 stories on it. And then followed by revealing The Daily T will devote tomorrow’s front page to endorsing Rudd.

    This will be a rout.

  36. 86
    Justin
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:08 pm | Permalink

    i can’t handle this much longer
    http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2007/calculator/?swing=national&national=9.5&nsw=0&vic=0&qld=0&wa=0&sa=0&tas=0&act=0&nt=0&retiringfactor=1.5

  37. 87
    PoliticalHeadkicker
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:09 pm | Permalink

    57-43 would be manna from heaven. too good to be true

    I’m off to Antony’s calc to punch those numbers in ……

  38. 88
    Nostradamus
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:09 pm | Permalink

    So was the ACN taken before Lindsaygate or after?

    I’ll believe it when I see it in the papers though.

  39. 89
    alpal
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:09 pm | Permalink

    Same ACN as June and September. It will lead the SMH and Age. The punters will then follow the herd. We all want to say we voted for the winning team.

  40. 90
    frank frederic
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:09 pm | Permalink

    there are 2 threads opened at the moment, I don’t wanna miss either of them. But it’s a pain to follow 2 threads at the same time :(

  41. 91
    JFC
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:09 pm | Permalink

    Calling the pamphlet episode ‘bogan-gate’ makes me cringe, and is part of a twisted Australian class consciousness that has helped keep Howard in power for all these years.

    Are the voters of Lindsay just dumb racist bogans, (that should blame themselves for being targetted by the government) or decent people, pissed off at being further manipulated by that same venal government?

    I suppose we will find out the percentages of each after saturday.

  42. 92
    Misty
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:09 pm | Permalink

    Wooooooooooooooooooot.

    Was AC Neilsen taken half today I wonder, thereby incorporating Lindsaygate?

  43. 93
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:10 pm | Permalink

    This is before pamphletgate…lol

  44. 94
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:10 pm | Permalink

    aaaa ha, Nostral.

  45. 95
    blacklight
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:10 pm | Permalink

    so newspoll?

    54.5 ie right in between

    hehehehehehe

  46. 96
    PoliticalHeadkicker
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:11 pm | Permalink

    try this

    http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2007/calculator/?swing=national&national=9.7&nsw=0&vic=0&qld=0&wa=0&sa=0&tas=0&act=0&nt=0&retiringfactor=1.5

  47. 97
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:11 pm | Permalink

    Wilianm says – “Either ACNielsen or Galaxy are going to look at bit silly come Sunday.” Or both William if it is somewhere in the middle.

  48. 98
    SeanofPerth
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:11 pm | Permalink

    Lol im just trying to imagine the look of tabithas face right now! lol

    57!

    Crazy!

  49. 99
    Spiros
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:11 pm | Permalink

    Either Galaxy or Nielsen are going to look like the biggest idiots this side of the Lindsay Liberals.

    Or, the true fugure might be 54.5:45:5 – which is what the polls have been saying all year, and the tonight’s two polls are either edge of MOE.

  50. 100
    Ashley
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 6:11 pm | Permalink

    Hands up who has got absolutely no work done this afternoon whatsoever?

    raises hand

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