Not sure where he heard this, but the more than reliable Possum Comitatus hears tomorrow’s ACNielsen will show 55-45.
UPDATE: Now the Channel Seven News tells us it’s 57-43. Either ACNielsen or Galaxy are going to look at bit silly come Sunday.
| TWO-PARTY | PRIMARY | ||||
| ALP | LNP | ALP | LNP | ||
|
Nov 23
|
57 | 43 | ? | ? | |
|
Nov 16
|
54 | 46 | 47 | 43 | |
|
Nov 2
|
55 | 45 | 48 | 41 | |
|
Oct 19
|
54 | 46 | 48 | 42 | |
|
Oct 6
|
56 | 44 | 47 | 40 | |
|
Sep 8
|
57 | 43 | 49 | 39 | |
|
Aug 11
|
55 | 45 | 46 | 41 | |
|
Jul 14
|
58 | 42 | 49 | 39 | |
|
Jun 16
|
57 | 43 | 48 | 39 | |
|
May 19
|
58 | 42 | 48 | 39 | |
|
April 21
|
58 | 42 | 50 | 37 | |
1,408 Comments
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From todays Australian editorial
“The latest polling, both Galaxy and Newspoll (which was still polling last night), shows the Coalition is coming home strongly and the contest is likely to be tight”
Does this mean they have already got preliminary results from the Newspoll?
AM @ 1247,
TPP I’m pretty sure, not primaries.
the smh article on the poll has more ducks
http://www.smh.com.au/news/federal-election-2007-news/last-figures-show-howard-needs-a-miracle/2007/11/22/1195321949364.html
‘But sources from both main parties believed that the Herald poll more accurately reflected what their internal polling had found.’
game set and match
K Jin. i wish i got in early! i’ve only been here 2 years. grew up in mudgeeraba on the gold coast… then went via london, sydney back to bris.
coalition blown to 4.60 on centrebet
Senate.
Numerous calling tonight to ask me why they should vote Green rather than Nick X.
Given, I had already put the idea into their heads.
Explained. That Nick, whatever, will get in. That Nick has Family First in his preferences. That Nick is ambiguous, Work Choices.
That Australia could do with Greens. Upper House. No stuffing about with Work Choices. Climate Change et al.
That one will temper the other.
Decision, House of Reps, Boothby, Nicole? Despite?
Definitely, notwithstanding.
ESJ – sorry for missing the irony in your free speech on my PB post last evening and sorry too William for unthinkingly straying into the essential tech discussion zone, due to my not keeping up with the rapid fire accumulation of posts. My own post yesterday intended only to give voice to “our” appreciation of the effort and expertise which William has applied to create and sustain this wonderful forum.
Just to expand Blacklight’s quote
“A Galaxy Poll to be printed in News Ltd newspapers today shows the election to be a tight contest, with the two main parties tied on 42.5 per cent of the primary vote and Labor leading by 52 per cent to 48 per cent on a two-party-preferred basis.
But sources from both main parties believed that the Herald poll more accurately reflected what their internal polling had found.”
http://www.smh.com.au/news/federal-election-2007-news/last-figures-show-howard-needs-a-miracle/2007/11/22/1195321949364.html?page=2
A Galaxy Poll to be printed in News Ltd newspapers today shows the election to be a tight contest, with the two main parties tied on 42.5 per cent of the primary vote and Labor leading by 52 per cent to 48 per cent on a two-party-preferred basis.
But sources from both main parties believed that the Herald poll more accurately reflected what their internal polling had found.
Lefty e great minds think alike
TO WILLIAM
on ‘www.aec.gov the following are shown as 2004 election LABOR results on 2 PP:
NSW 48.07
Q’LD 49.00
VIC 42.91
SA 45.64
WA 44.60
TAS 54.19
TOTAL 47.26
I thought Labor got 46.3 2PP in 2004
Are the above STATE 2 PP figures what you guys have ???????????
thanks
Middle man 2 years ago is now early. Yes Not at the start but that was way before most folks. I am sure u are doing very well after 2 years. Now would be the time to double up. Ride the Rudd boom !
Kjin and Aussieguru,I was raised in Cannon Hill,mother and sister still live there.I went school at St Oliver Plunkett(was Blessed when I was a kid)My wife and I bought into Hawthorne(where my parents were born and raised),sold up in ‘94 and we live at Mansfield now.It’s a small world.BTW I’m still a member of the Cannon/Morningside Branch and have been so for over 30years
Howard’s last pitch press conference with Costello tomorrow.
“Compadres, it is imperative that we crush the freedom fighters before the start of the rainy season. And remember, a shiny new donkey for whoever brings me the head of Colonel Montoya. (Costello whispers to him) And by that, I mean, it’s not time for change.”
Dyno,
Happy to debate this at another time.
However, the reason people of all persuasions go in to politics is to affect outcomes. Kernot clearly decided that being a Democrat did not fulfill her personal desire to be a “player”.
She at least had the honesty to get out when she felt she could not do the job of a Democrat leader.
Indeed, J of M!
But arent you disturbed by it?
latest Herald/Nielsen poll shows.
The poll sampled 2071 voters between Monday and Wednesday and its findings are supported by a separate Herald/Nielsen online poll, which sampled 1421 voters over the same period.
Labor leads the primary vote by 48 per cent to 40 per cent, giving it a two-party-preferred lead of 57 per cent to 43 per cent.
http://www.smh.com.au/news/federal-election-2007-news/last-figures-show-howard-needs-a-miracle/2007/11/22/1195321949364.html
I think if Howard is still in power and prices tank. There will be remedies. That is the way the world works.
Bob from Bonner. what is the closet branch for Bulimba? is it the morningside branch?
We are home and hosed,as I’ve said many times on this Forum,over the past couple of weeks,the swing in Qld is massive and growing.I still suspect the swing in Sydney will also be huge and the regions a little less so.
Grattan points out that there are two ACNeilson polls at the same time, one being Online, and both have returned the same value…
http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/its-time-say-voters/2007/11/22/1195321951483.html
Lefty E there is a little bit of left and right in all of us
Glen great quote
I am also from Rudd’s electorate and remember some of the great local campaigns he ran – especially in 2001 his ‘Keep Kevin in Canberra’ posters were seemingly everywhere. Also I doubt that due to the wanna-be affluence of the inner-south of Brisbane seemingly discovering that Bulimba has some nice places to eat and the best cinema in the city really means that the seat is in danger. I think there might be a small swing away from Rudd as I remember hearing during the election last year that Rudd was the only sitting ALP member who had a positive swing. The Liberal candidate here has run a fairly unimpressive campaign (but who could blame him for not having all his heart in it) and even the PM couldn’t remember his name.
Bob from Bonner
I remember when I was a kid, Oliver Plunket was something that was far off, off to the side (as u no very close to cannon Hill) something very outside my experience. Although by grade 4 I played on the weekend tennis on there courts.
Middle man @ 1270
There’s no Morningside Branch,it was folded into Cannon Hill decades ago.But I think there is still a Bulimba Branch.Talk to the local Councillor Shayne Sutton,she’ll steer you right.
Grover i’m surprised by that. I reckon the locals will be glad to make sure their boy gets the top job.
Thanks Bob. I think its time i look in to it.
Geez, we’ll need to call this Griffith Bludger soon.
i was just thinking the same thing!
True J of M.
Im now trying to think of a RW bit of me to back that up. Hmmm.
Will get back to you.
Homer: Union rule 26. “Every employee must win ‘Worker of the Week’ at least once, regardless of gross incompetence, obesity, or rank odor.” Heh heh heh heh
There’s something wrong with that Galaxy poll!
Very small world B from B. MM I’m a 70’s kid too. Work as a safety officer these days but started off as a Builders laborer. Now days its Kids , Family, work & so on.
I love Coorparoo & its great to near &close to everything. An apple does not fall far from its tree!
Glen – I think you should throw your support behind the Inanimate Carbon Rod, it would run a better campaign for your team.
Oliver Plunkett was snobvillie from my view when I was a kid. Yet now it just fits in a small block around in part of molley road.
K jin you’re a young’in then???
I’m 53,been around this part of the southside as long as I can remember and involved with the Party since I was 8(My old man was the Branch President during the split,he saved the Cannon Hill Branch.He had great stories about the Party and some of its colourful characters).
Why Gary? the poll polled 4000 people in marginal electorates.
Glen @ 1265,
Cue The Impossible Dream.
http://au.youtube.com/watch?v=YikMhfKmBrY
galaxy poll 1201 sample, no timeframe given
http://www.news.com.au/couriermail/story/0,23739,22806358-5013650,00.html
acn 2701 sample, mon-weds
I wonder what the sample size from Galaxy was. 2000 for the Neilsen, and 1400 from the Neilsen Online, both saying 57 is pretty hard to argue with.
1200
oops
Glen, Quimny has the best motto on his seal. Coruptus In Extremis
i spent 10 years as a dishpig and ended up in investments. go figure…
Speers Sky News: The ALP has apparently been taken over – “conquered” if you will – by a master race of Union bosses. It’s difficult to tell from this vantage point whether they will consume the captive earth men or merely enslave them. One thing is for certain. There is no stopping them; the ALP will soon be here. And I for one welcome our new Union overlords. I’d like to remind them that as a trusted TV personality, I could be helpful in rounding up others to toil in their underground geothermal caves.
Vote for Howard if you were running for PM he’d vote for you!
The Libs have had there final days of the campaign grossely affected by this lindsay incident which isnt going to go away tommorow. It is most likely going to shore up soft votes, sway some undecided people and even mite be a last minite vote changer. None of the polls will factor that in
Not to mention Quimby’s brilliant election tag-line “Vote Quimby – If you were running for Mayor, he’d vote for you”
thankyou for bringing up the sample sizes – I was wondering about them.
ha Glen. That reminds me of Kent Brockman.
Bob from Bonner we may have colourful folks from some parts in our past But all of a sudden we have really hit the big time.
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