Time for a new thread. Here’s a chart showing state-level swings to Labor as recorded by Newspoll throughout the campaign. Note that the most recent result seems to indicate a mild Coalition recovery in Victoria being offset by worsening results elsewhere.
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Surely you can tell which it is meant to be by the context of what they were saying. A 52-48 result would be a pretty significant result for the media, whereas 54-46 would be all-over-red-rover.
No, GB, this is what Ch 10 said
Channel 10 have lost the plot.
They mustve meant that Labor has 52 of the 2PP and 46 of the primary?
areaman @ 389
News has pig-brain “readers” to shepherd.
He said 52/46. ACN worse. The news report was an absolute shocker for the Libs.
52-46 hey?
Trust Ten to be first with the news that counts – not!!!
492
I’m with you Swing Lowe, more likely to be 52-48. I reckon 46 just slipped out because hes been saying it all year.
What was the tpp in the last galaxy before this one?
Michael — it was 53-47
so it’s barely a change then
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ACN worse – so AC Nielsen has 51-49 or 50-50!
All over red rover for Krudd!
53 – 47, excellent. No change then. Landslide territory.
No, Nostro – worse for the Libs!
Margin is bigger in ACN…
I can live with 52 from Galaxy, if true. Means ACN will be 54!
And yes, sorry about that all – but the 50/50 crap was pissing me off.
If he’d meant 52-48 he would have said something like “but Government surging back” or some bullsh-t. I dare say it’s 54-46.
If not, it’s another shameless rouge released by Galaxy, just when the Coalition needs it most. I didn’t think they’d try that stunt so close to the election – but if they do it’ll be great to see them finally discredited on Sunday morning as being further out than Morgan!
Not only is it in MOE, it can be a rounding error here or there, especially taking preferences in to account.
GB, assume it is 52/48 until we hear more…
514 Nostradamus – somehow I think they may have meant worse for the government.
Are the other numbers out yet? Can someone summarize in one concise post the actual numbers released so far? I am confused by the numbers listed so far. They don’t add up properly …..
When was Galaxy taken, how big is it, blah, blah, blah?
Labor won’t mind a 52-48…. staves off talk of a landslide.
Numbers noted by Ch 10:
Galaxy 52/46 – yes I know it doesn’t add up to 100, but that’s what they said.
Also said the Labor lead in ACN was BIGGER, but didn’t say what.
Why doesn’t someone ring Channel Ten and ask them? Be sure to use words of one syllable, though.
Summary:
Galaxy either 52/48 or 54/46, Ten reported it in a confusing way
ACN no-one knows but Ten said worse than Galaxy (for the Govt it seems)
He said ACN was worse for the Liberals
Julie, all we’ve heard is apparently Ten news said 52-46. No one exactly sure whether they meant 52-48 or 54-46 (or 52-46 plus 2% undecided??).
Galaxy polls should be taken with a pinch of cyanide.
524 Ashley – do you ACTUALLY know what the Galaxy poll figures are?
OK, so Ive now been told that Galaxy is ACTUALLY 54-46, not 52-48… and that ACN is worse. This is unconfirmed info. ANyone know?
I didn’t see the news but it could also be 52 2PP, 46 primary.
GB – we’re just repeating the numbers said on Ch 10
52 -48 Hung parliament according to Ozpoll calculator
Are we sure it wasn’t 50 to 46 on primaries?
Just called channel 10 newsroom, they’ve said they’ll correct it later in the bulletin. Wouldn’t tell me what it was though
Bloody Hell
I wish Ch10 knoew how to count to 100
Now we’re just running around in circles….
RA, I don’t know if it’s primaries or TPP, but the numbers said was 52/46 (seems more likely to be TPP though)
Yes, John – well and truly hung
Yes but did she say
“Fifty-two to forty six”
or
“Fifty to forty-six”
Do you see the distinction?
No!! I’m hanging out for someone to tell us. Just saying that Labor wouldn’t mind 52-48 too much because it will stop people thinking about a landslide and voting against them.
Doesn’t matter, anyway.
Just heard researcher reporting on ABC local radio 891 her findings that Liberal Ads most disliked by respondents, for their anti-union and negative, long winded content.
Sloppy reporting on Ten’s behalf, but 52-48 sounds about right, especially if they are also saying that the margin is bigger for Nielsen.
OK – let’s just wait until the correction is issued…
Come on everybody. Could we please get the numbers right.I don’t know weather to jump for joy or jump off a chair?
It was a slip of the tongue by bongornio. Apparently, the primary vote with galaxy is tied between the ALP and coalition, and the final figure is supposed to be 52-48.
541 RA
It was definitely 52-46 and a mistake by the reporter according to CH10
Here’s an idea – let’s wait until we have actual confirmation!
Or we could speculate wildly about different ways of saying different strings of numbers…
Ring Mike Larkin (the overly-friendly idiot weatherman) at Channel Ten and ask him. He would have more clue than anyone in the entire news department IMHBCO.
NB 548 — huh?
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