Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Newspoll state swings

Time for a new thread. Here’s a chart showing state-level swings to Labor as recorded by Newspoll throughout the campaign. Note that the most recent result seems to indicate a mild Coalition recovery in Victoria being offset by worsening results elsewhere.

620 Comments

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  1. 601
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:29 pm | Permalink

    SMH Reports Liberal Lindsay Candidate’s husband says: “I was stupid.”

    Candidate says: “I’m with stupid.”

  2. 602
    John Ryan
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:30 pm | Permalink

    It was said by Paul Bonjourno (spelling?) in his report on the Lindsay smear campaign

  3. 603
    Ashley
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:30 pm | Permalink

    Labor would still win on 52-48, despite Nostra’s distress.

    The other thing to note, is that if Galaxy is 52-48 it is likely they have rounded it down. So the actual Galaxy poll result would be somewhere in the range 52-52.49.

  4. 604
    TofK
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:30 pm | Permalink

    Yes nostro, and the coalition’s ‘04 52.7 per cent was just down to the wire wasnt it.

  5. 605
    Hunstundho
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:30 pm | Permalink

    Thank God all of this nervousness over polls will be over by saturday night!!

  6. 606
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:31 pm | Permalink

    SMH Reports Liberal Lindsay Candidate’s husband says: “I was stupid.”

    Candidate says: “I’m with stupid.”

    I love how the candidate and Kelly didn’t know anything about it, but the did know that the people who confronted the pamphlet deliverers were “unionists”… impeccable logic, would certainly hold up in court…

  7. 607
    Lefty E
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:31 pm | Permalink

    At 52-48 the coalition has about an 11% chance of victory, Nostra.
    Try to keep up!

  8. 608
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:31 pm | Permalink

    New thread up.

  9. 609
    Rates Analyst
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:33 pm | Permalink

    Sky news have an intriguing combination of headlines.

    It’s just changed but it used to say:

    “Asbestos campaigner Bernie Banton is thought to have only days to live.”

    “TWO DAYS TO GO”

  10. 610
    Toby
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:33 pm | Permalink

    “Labor 52-48 Galaxy… Neilsen has Labor a lot further ahead”

  11. 611
    Xanthippe
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:34 pm | Permalink

    From Ten News Adelaide: Paul Bongiorno’s piece reports the Galaxy Poll as 52/48.
    Hope that helps.

  12. 612
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:34 pm | Permalink

    Great results for the Libs. Another few results like that and they will be in opposition for 11 years..he..he

  13. 613
    Toby
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:35 pm | Permalink

    Sounds like Bongiorno changed his recording… the “48″ was emphasised on the Adelaide broadcast. He also said that the ACN poll still to come has Labor “a LOT further” ahead.

  14. 614
    Julie
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:36 pm | Permalink

    613,

    thanks toby, the new thread is reporting 52/48 …….

  15. 615
    Derek Corbett
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:36 pm | Permalink

    5.30 ABC News Sydney referred to flyer problem in MENZIES? Helen Zerramis (sp?)

    Can someone at the ABC please check facts.

  16. 616
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:37 pm | Permalink

    Bongiorno can’t add up lol 52-46 WTF???

  17. 617
    Hemingway
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:37 pm | Permalink

    Toby, it was at the end of Paul Bonjiorno’s report. He says it fast.

  18. 618
    Rates Analyst
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:37 pm | Permalink

    And you wonder why we get annoyed at the ABC for midlessly repeating Howard!!!

  19. 619
    Hemingway
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:38 pm | Permalink

    Muchas Gracias, Toby.

  20. 620
    biga
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 5:56 pm | Permalink

    Sportingbet and Centrebet still have Labor $1.22
    and Coalition $4.15; $4.35 respectively

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