Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Newspoll state swings

Time for a new thread. Here’s a chart showing state-level swings to Labor as recorded by Newspoll throughout the campaign. Note that the most recent result seems to indicate a mild Coalition recovery in Victoria being offset by worsening results elsewhere.

620 Comments

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  1. 201
    Grooski
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:25 pm | Permalink

    No site John – spoke to ABC radio people this morning.

  2. 202
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:25 pm | Permalink

    :)

  3. 203
    imacca
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:25 pm | Permalink

    As an ALP supporter i really really hope that Julie Bishop is the next leader of the Libs.

  4. 204
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:25 pm | Permalink

    190 Glen I thought Howard was a Thatcher.

  5. 205
    red wombat
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:26 pm | Permalink

    Bishop may have a chance because she isn’t a muslim. Nah she has no hope with the Libs she’s a woman.

  6. 206
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:26 pm | Permalink

    Maybe Kerry Obrien will get mesmorised by those eyes.

  7. 207
    Geepee
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:26 pm | Permalink

    So many German speakers. It’s like Monty Pythons Fliegende Zirkus.

  8. 208
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:26 pm | Permalink

    Chris B Howie is a man though lol.

  9. 209
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:28 pm | Permalink

    208 Glen Isn’t Thatcher?

  10. 210
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:28 pm | Permalink

    204 Yes that is why Cossie is all luvvy duvvy with him/her

  11. 211
    Optimist
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:28 pm | Permalink

    Glen,
    you are getting as boring and desperate as Howard.
    Whining about how the journos don’t ask about policy – boo-hoo – poor widdle boi!
    I didn’t hear you making those complaints when journos were going after Rudd because of his wife’s business. I didn’t hear you complainging when Julia Gillard’s ANCIENT and irrelevant membership of the socialist forum became news – or are you suggesting that those are policy issues.
    I take no issue with your political allegiances – I take issue with the fact that you are a boring, repetitive, whiny hypocrite who knows bugger all about politics, history or public policy. You, Glen are a mindless barracker.

  12. 212
    John of Melbourne
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:28 pm | Permalink

    Cool Grooski. When and where will the poll be released?

  13. 213
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:28 pm | Permalink

    Loved that comment by Howard that just because Kelly and the new candidates partners were implicated in this mess that in or enlightened society there is now way a woman should be held responsible for their partners sins.

    WTF remember Kevin”s wife under attack and having to sell her Australian arm of her business.

    Then their was the attacks on Gillard’s ex partner for allegedly dodgy dealings.

  14. 214
    red wombat
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:29 pm | Permalink

    Howard = Thatcher……..umm hasn’t she got dementia too?

  15. 215
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:30 pm | Permalink

    But Star did the media ask Rudd in questions at the Press Club all of those gaffes and ’smear issues’ no!

    Julie for PM

  16. 216
    BV
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:30 pm | Permalink

    http://aycu39.webshots.com/image/36438/2004995965204485611_rs.jpg

  17. 217
    ShowsOn
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:31 pm | Permalink

    But Star did the media ask Rudd in questions at the Press Club all of those gaffes and ’smear issues’ no!

    Julie for PM

    Rudd’s campaign hasn’t used racial and religious hatred to try to win votes.

  18. 218
    Pancho
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:31 pm | Permalink

    “Julie for PM” – yeah, not for a while boss.

  19. 219
    Toby
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:31 pm | Permalink

    Galaxy reporting 50-50? So LNP have made up 4 points in as many days?

  20. 220
    Optimist
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:31 pm | Permalink

    Glen,
    are you familiar with something called the news cycle?

  21. 221
    George
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:31 pm | Permalink

    Glen, the bigoted message in the leaflet handed out by the Libs is not a “gaffe” or “smear”. It is shear racism and dog whistling to the red-necks.

  22. 222
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:32 pm | Permalink

    Ja

  23. 223
    NB
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:32 pm | Permalink

    Star. Although I hate to admit it I think Howard’s response to the question was correct. We still have a presumption of innocence, and two wrongs don’t make a right either. However, the feds should be going through their houses right now to get t the bottom of the matter.

  24. 224
    John of Melbourne
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:33 pm | Permalink

    Y’all we should be listening to Grooski!

  25. 225
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:33 pm | Permalink

    Toby 219 Glaxy 50/50 was my prediction
    Galaxy is sligthly biased in their method…

  26. 226
    NB
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:33 pm | Permalink

    BV Thats great!

  27. 227
    Wally
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:33 pm | Permalink

    Shame the polls released today/tomorrow won’t reflect today’s Kelly gang calamity

  28. 228
    red wombat
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:34 pm | Permalink

    Will this be investigated as thoroughly by the Feds like the outstanding investigation into the EB from 2004?

  29. 229
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:34 pm | Permalink

    Galaxy = General Wenck or Stiener

  30. 230
    Hemingway
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:35 pm | Permalink

    John of Melbourne,
    I’d like to listen to Grooski, but it’s difficult when people keep asking him questions on a possible Galaxy Poll, and there’s no answer. We don’t have a clue, mate.

  31. 231
    Toby
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:36 pm | Permalink

    225 JHIAC – Ah OK, cool. On 2PP’s I think:

    Newspoll – 54-46
    Morgan – 54-46
    Galaxy – 52-48

  32. 232
    charles
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:36 pm | Permalink

    Whoever the Liberal that tipped off the Labor campaign, I commend them.

    Well that is three right wing nutters kicked out of the Liberal party, at this rate there is hope yet.

  33. 233
    Ashley
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:36 pm | Permalink

    John Hunt — these results haven’t been released yet have they? Is there really a report saying Galaxy is too close to call?

    You’re kidding right???!

  34. 234
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:36 pm | Permalink

    Nb

    As Howard would put it ”Too wongs do not make a white. “

  35. 235
    Julie
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:37 pm | Permalink

    Bushfire Bill,

    How are you going with giving up the smokes? :) :) …… will assume alright and wish you good luck, keep it up :)

  36. 236
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:37 pm | Permalink

    NB 223
    If Haneef had written, authorised and distributed those pamphlets, he would be in an unknown location right now under heavy AFP interrogation…

  37. 237
    Lose the election please
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:37 pm | Permalink

    The final Galaxy won’t be biased. However, I’m not sure whether ‘too close to call’ is based on their seat polling or their national polling.

  38. 238
    NB
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:37 pm | Permalink

    225 JHIAC
    Aaaaaaaaaaarrrrrrrrrrrrrrrgggggggggggghhhhhhhhhhh!!!
    I thought that 50-50 was a real poll. I think I just lost the last of my hair…

  39. 239
    Hemingway
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:37 pm | Permalink

    John Hunt is a Coward,
    Would you be so kind as to tell us if you have any other basis for your prediction other than your feelings that Galaxy are “biased in their method”. If you don’t, I don’t understand why you are predicting.

  40. 240
    NB
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:37 pm | Permalink

    234 Star

    Hahahahahahahahahaha

  41. 241
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:37 pm | Permalink

    Sorry Ashley – false alarm
    it is only my short and jocular prediction

  42. 242
    tdt
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:38 pm | Permalink

    Bitte sprechen Deutsch nicht. Glen, du bist ein twit.

  43. 243
    Ashley
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:38 pm | Permalink

    Galaxy results are apparently showing the election as “too close to call”

    Who said this and where?

  44. 244
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:40 pm | Permalink

    Ernest look at the overall trends and where they have been all year
    Morgan is Labor Bias
    Galaxy is Liberal Bias
    Newspoll ok
    ACN best

  45. 245
    red wombat
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:40 pm | Permalink

    CH7 news tonight “race hate pamphlets”………noooooooooooo

  46. 246
    Lefty E
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:40 pm | Permalink

    Yeah, Im an ACN man too, JHIAC.

  47. 247
    Will
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:41 pm | Permalink

    A poll about if the leaflet would change people’s votes. http://www.news.com.au/poll/1,,26697-5031825,00.html

  48. 248
    gusface
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:41 pm | Permalink

    who is ernest?

  49. 249
    NB
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:41 pm | Permalink

    236 JHIAC

    You are right of course, but the reason I’m so happy to anticipate Howard’s demise is that I want to see a return to a more decent society. Not the sick social puppy we have now.

  50. 250
    charles
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 3:41 pm | Permalink

    Glen Says:
    November 22nd, 2007 at 2:53 pm

    Democrats MySpace page pulled
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2007/11/22/2098036.htm

    HAHAHAHAHAAHH

    Clearly you don’t understand a fair go for all.

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