Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Newspoll state swings

Time for a new thread. Here’s a chart showing state-level swings to Labor as recorded by Newspoll throughout the campaign. Note that the most recent result seems to indicate a mild Coalition recovery in Victoria being offset by worsening results elsewhere.

620 Comments

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  1. 301
    George
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:03 pm | Permalink

    slartybardfast Says: “That Domain.com thingy is great!… lol”

    I’m made a high res copy of it on our xerox here and saved the page for later – good fun :-)

  2. 302
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:03 pm | Permalink

    Paul K that could be my favourite but that would gross out the Julie who posts on pollbludger lol.

  3. 303
    Julie
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:03 pm | Permalink

    betfair – someone was asking just a bit ago

    alp – 1.24 coalition 4.90
    lindsay – 1.01 alp, 7.00 liberal, anyone else 25

  4. 304
    Pi
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:03 pm | Permalink

    They were just blowing off steam.

  5. 305
    Michael
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:04 pm | Permalink

    Where is this galaxy stuff coming from?

  6. 306
    John of Melbourne
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:04 pm | Permalink

    Unitl I see the Galaxy poll I will be a doubting Thomas

  7. 307
    Dyno
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:05 pm | Permalink

    Toby @297, meaningless platitudes, and short.
    And no tears I suspect, he absolutely knows he is gone already.

  8. 308
    Andrew
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:05 pm | Permalink

    well 60% of SKY viewers think the Lindsay affair will harm the governments chances in the seat. That probably equates to 90% of the community!!!

  9. 309
    Geepee
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:05 pm | Permalink

    I think Howard’s concession speech will be uncharacteristically gracious. He will thank everybody. He will wish the country well.

    Then he will say goodbye.

    Forever.

  10. 310
    Ashley
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:05 pm | Permalink

    Michael — it’s a rumour passed on by Grooski. No idea whether it is true.

  11. 311
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:06 pm | Permalink

    Geepee even if he loses he’ll be liked by more Australians than Paul J Keating.

  12. 312
    Lefty E
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:07 pm | Permalink

    My guess is galaxy will be static at 53; the other will rise a point to 55.

    What Morgan blows out to is anyone’s guess.

  13. 313
    BrissyRod
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:07 pm | Permalink

    lol @ Glen

  14. 314
    George
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:07 pm | Permalink

    Glen Says: “Geepee even if he loses he’ll be liked by more Australians than Paul J Keating.”

    you poor, deluded Liberal voter

  15. 315
    ruawake
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:07 pm | Permalink

    The Galaxy Poll is for Higgins. :-P

  16. 316
    steve
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:08 pm | Permalink

    310 [Geepee even if he loses he’ll be liked by more Australians than Paul J Keating.]

    It’s the first thing I’ll have ever liked about Howard when he loses.

  17. 317
    Michael
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:08 pm | Permalink

    Surely the polls will come out saturday not tomorrow?!?!

  18. 318
    areaman
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:08 pm | Permalink

    Geepee even if he loses he’ll be liked by more Australians than Paul J Keating.

    Everyone loves Keating now, especially the kids, look at the number of PJK fanclubs on facebook.

  19. 319
    ND
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:08 pm | Permalink

    ruawake, does that mean there is no National Galaxy Poll?

  20. 320
    Dinsdale Piranha
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:09 pm | Permalink

    310

    Yes, Glen, and the most popular car in Australia has hitherto been a Holden Commodore. But that doesn’t mean it’s better than a Maserati

  21. 321
    Lose the election please
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:09 pm | Permalink

    Grooski reckons they’re all out overnight.

  22. 322
    John of Melbourne
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:09 pm | Permalink

    ND there is meant to be a National Galaxy Poll

  23. 323
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:09 pm | Permalink

    all Labor party members

  24. 324
    Julie
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:09 pm | Permalink

    Re 301,

    Glen Says:

    November 22nd, 2007 at 4:03 pm
    Paul K that could be my favourite but that would gross out the Julie who posts on pollbludger lol.

    No, not offended :) ……. that song, btw, was big in America when it first came out and I was about 12 as I recall. I have lived with this one for a number of years ;-) … and besides, when you guys all mention my name with no surname I know who you are talking about anyways ;-)

  25. 325
    Ashley
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:09 pm | Permalink

    So long as ACN stays above or equal to 53-47 I will be confident. If any of the polls comes in at 52-48 I will be a bit nervous, because we haven’t had a poll like that since Rudd has been leader have we?

  26. 326
    Dyno
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:09 pm | Permalink

    Geepee @ 308,
    Actually (showing my age a bit here) Howard’s 1987 concession speech was the most gracious I can remember (though I don’t remember them all). I don’t think he’s very likely to disgrace himself on the night.

  27. 327
    Geepee
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:09 pm | Permalink

    Glen

    He’ll lose alright.

    And I disagree about PJK. e is still widely admired by many, me inc.

    Not many people admire, or even like, Howard.

    It’s not even auf wiedersehen. It’s Untergang (or Götterdämmerung)

  28. 328
    Paul K
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:10 pm | Permalink

    301
    Glen Says:
    November 22nd, 2007 at 4:03 pm
    Paul K that could be my favourite but that would gross out the Julie who posts on pollbludger lol.

    Glen,

    So many Julie’s. So little time.

  29. 329
    George
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:10 pm | Permalink

    ruawake Says: “The Galaxy Poll is for Higgins. :-P

    Is this true?

  30. 330
    ruawake
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:10 pm | Permalink

    Madonna King is having a panel discussion on the polls tomorrow at 8:30 am.

    Apparently all the major polls will be out. Antony Green is listed as one of the commentators.

  31. 331
    alpal
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:10 pm | Permalink

    Still reckon the polls will be out Saturday

  32. 332
    Howard Hater
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:11 pm | Permalink

    Ruawake: you’re joking! There’s no way anyone would be polling Higgins.

  33. 333
    Ashley
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:11 pm | Permalink

    ruawake Says: “The Galaxy Poll is for Higgins. :-P

    Is this true?

    No, it’s another short and jocular comment.

  34. 334
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:11 pm | Permalink

    I doubt there’ll be anything tonight. They usually all poll big right up to the last day to get the most accurate reading for bragging rights. Galaxy releasing a national poll today wouldn’t make sense -

  35. 335
    ruawake
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:12 pm | Permalink

    George

    No sorry.

  36. 336
    Howard Hater
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:12 pm | Permalink

    Newspoll and AC Nielsen put out their last minute polls in the Saturday/election day papers, or that’s what they’ve done in previous years.

  37. 337
    Julie
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:12 pm | Permalink

    Rudd’s interview on after the commercial break on Sky …..

  38. 338
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:12 pm | Permalink

    I am not so sure what coverage to watch on Saturday?

    ABC -Gillard and Minchin zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz
    7 – Hockey Kennet, Beattie
    9 – Ray and Oakes

    ?????

  39. 339
    Observer
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:12 pm | Permalink

    Peachy @ 298

    ” b) The Australian Rain Corp is 75% Swiss-owned, and one of the main if not the chief shareholders in this Swiss company is Turnbull. Therefore his grant of $10 million is effectively a payoff to himself ”

    Looks like Turnbull is going the way of the ‘Tirpitz’ – didn’t even get out of the shed for a run.

  40. 340
    Howard Hater
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:13 pm | Permalink

    If it really is 50:50, David Spears will no doubt be crowing about it on Sky.

  41. 341
    alpal
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:13 pm | Permalink

    I assume the Madonna King interview with Green is about the existing polls and the State breakdowns.

  42. 342
    Andos the Great
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:13 pm | Permalink

    Glen @ 310: Will John Howard have a musical written about him? I doubt it.

  43. 343
    John of Melbourne
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:13 pm | Permalink

    Julie let me gues what he’s going to say. whilst moving his right arm all over the place

    When it comes to…

    Working families…

  44. 344
    Ashley
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:13 pm | Permalink

    Very mean of Grooski to lob a rumour grenade into the discussion and then leave. Now I am chained to my computer for the next 12-24 hours. Grrrrrr.

  45. 345
    Lose the election please
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:13 pm | Permalink

    I thought we’d already received confirmation a while ago that some were being released tomorrow. Nothing new.

  46. 346
    Michael
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:14 pm | Permalink

    who the f* is madonna king?

  47. 347
    George
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:14 pm | Permalink

    Andos the Great Says: “Glen @ 310: Will John Howard have a musical written about him? I doubt it.”

    Andos, they already have – it’s called “Springtime for Hitler”

  48. 348
    jasmine
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:14 pm | Permalink

    Howard – Keating

    Man who wasted boom – Man who created boom

    They will be linked forever with Howard the loser who wasted the opportunies Keatings courage created.

    :)

  49. 349
    Nathan
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:14 pm | Permalink

    Hope Rudd cracks a ton on saturday

  50. 350
    Geepee
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:14 pm | Permalink

    Well everybody. I’m off now. Got no work at all done today – my first ever period of posting to this addictive site.

    Love youse all (even you Glen, at least you have the civilising trait of speaking German).

    Two more sleeps!

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