Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Newspoll state swings

Time for a new thread. Here’s a chart showing state-level swings to Labor as recorded by Newspoll throughout the campaign. Note that the most recent result seems to indicate a mild Coalition recovery in Victoria being offset by worsening results elsewhere.

620 Comments

Pages: « 17 8 [9] 10 1113 » Show All

  1. 401
    Julie
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:30 pm | Permalink

    392,

    Combined with the Sunday Telegraph, it is worth its weight in gold to Mike Bailey :)

  2. 402
    slackboy
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:31 pm | Permalink

    Chris B @ 387
    Actually the next poll has every chance of being as wrong as all those from the last 12 months. Only Saturday night can tell us what people are thinking.

  3. 403
    Blacklight
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:32 pm | Permalink

    bv

    here here

  4. 404
    Tory Crimes
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:32 pm | Permalink

    Probably already noted but Laura Tingle on News Radio confirmed it was the Tory rent-a-crowd cheering on Ratty and booing journos with the temerity to ask questions suitable questions and not the News Corp table.

  5. 405
    Julie
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:33 pm | Permalink

    Spears will have his interview with Rudd at 5pm, time just announced on screen …

  6. 406
    red wombat
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:33 pm | Permalink

    This pamphletgate could turn a few newspapers.

  7. 407
    NB
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:34 pm | Permalink

    William can I humbly suggest opening a new thread? This 50-50 prank is getting out of hand.

  8. 408
    Misty
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:34 pm | Permalink

    So if all the polls come out tomorrow when can we expect news of the results?

    Will we hear some tonight on Agenda/Lateline?

  9. 409
    Dyno
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:34 pm | Permalink

    Betfair odds have narrowed slightly (ie towards Govt) in the last ten minutes.
    Could be anything, but interesting in the light of this Galaxy rumour.

  10. 410
    areaman
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:35 pm | Permalink

    This pamphletgate could turn a few newspapers.

    Hopefully the wusses at fairfax… I’m looking at you Andrew Jaspan.

  11. 411
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:35 pm | Permalink

    50-50 from Galaxy

  12. 412
    NB
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:35 pm | Permalink

    409

    Glen, you are an evil man.

  13. 413
    Dyno
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:35 pm | Permalink

    Glen, do you know that about 50-50, or are you just torturing everyone?

  14. 414
    Lefty E
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:35 pm | Permalink

    If the Galaxy does have it “too close to call”; then Galaxy is wrong.

    My guess is it doesnt, and we’re getting odd rumours: probably still 53.

  15. 415
    Howard Hater
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:36 pm | Permalink

    Predictions for other newspapers tomorrow.

    I think the SMH in Sydney will sit on the fence and not pick a side, like they did in 2004
    The Government Gazette: another plug for Howard, although reluctantly, and only because Rudd wouldn’t retain AWAs.

  16. 416
    ruawake
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:36 pm | Permalink

    50-50 from Galaxy in Menzies ;) ;) ;)

  17. 417
    Asanque
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:36 pm | Permalink

    409 Glen

    Galaxy were polling in Mitchell when they got 50/50. :P

  18. 418
    NB
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:36 pm | Permalink

    Dyno.

    It was someones opinion, no basis in fact.

  19. 419
    Misty
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:36 pm | Permalink

    Perhaps a 53 from ACN and Newspoll and a 51 from Galaxy. I could imagine that.

  20. 420
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:36 pm | Permalink

    That’s the rumour isn’t it Dyno?

    and if the markets firm further this would suggest it is a possibility :)

  21. 421
    Dyno
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:36 pm | Permalink

    Further to me @ 407, can a rumour on PB move Betfair?

  22. 422
    areaman
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:36 pm | Permalink

    Glen, do you have any new information to base that on?

  23. 423
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:37 pm | Permalink

    396 BV For the last time there is at present no Galaxy poll. It was a joke.

    400 slackboy Yes that’s right, but for commercial reasons, it is very very important to get this one right. Maybe bragging rights for the next election, would be another term to use.

  24. 424
    Lefty E
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:37 pm | Permalink

    Holy shit! Just got word ACN is 57-43!!

    Just scaring Glen. I have no idea :)

  25. 425
    alpal
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:37 pm | Permalink

    At the very worst Galaxy will be 53. It will be 54plus on the night

  26. 426
    Misty
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:37 pm | Permalink

    Dyno @ 419, I wouldn’t be surprised!

  27. 427
    Howard Hater
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:37 pm | Permalink

    Glen, the thread over at ozelections2007 board quoting the supposed Galaxy poll figures was just deleted by the moderators.

  28. 428
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:37 pm | Permalink

    so its not true?

  29. 429
    Lefty E
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:37 pm | Permalink

    Sorry about that bludgers…. As you were…. Statement of regret etc.

  30. 430
    NB
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:37 pm | Permalink

    Good one Lefty E

  31. 431
    Lose the election please
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:38 pm | Permalink

    Chris B, Grooski indicated earlier there is a Galaxy and the result will be too close to call. Since then she/he has not posted any further. I have no reason to doubt that.

    Perhaps Rudd has been trying to warn us all not to get our hopes up? I dunno…

  32. 432
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:38 pm | Permalink

    maybe its a bennelong poll?

  33. 433
    Howard Hater
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:38 pm | Permalink

    Until there’s something to back up the claim, we have to regard it as just rumour or someone’s idea of a joke.

  34. 434
    Howard Hater
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:39 pm | Permalink

    Breaking news!
    New Galaxy Poll

    60 ALP
    40 COALITION

    If only it were true LOL

  35. 435
    Glen
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:40 pm | Permalink

    so who started the skuttlebut?

  36. 436
    Dario
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:40 pm | Permalink

    DT is backing Rudd??? Wtf is going on? Next there’ll be dogs and cats getting married and talking rabbits!!! ARRRGHHHHHHHHHHHHHH!!!!

  37. 437
    Big Blind Dave
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:40 pm | Permalink

    Just rang Galaxy and they said there is a 50/50 chance that Glen is a cross dresser

  38. 438
    Rob
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:41 pm | Permalink

    The polls have been rock solid all year 55:45. At most they will tighten to 54:46. Stop stressing everyone :)

  39. 439
    Misty
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:41 pm | Permalink

    Narrow polls tonight/tomorrow would probably be a good thing in some ways for the ALP.

    There’s a bit of complacency going around in the electorate. It would be good to stir some people into action, particularly off the back of this race pamphlet saga.

    There was always the chance that Howard would get a sympathy vote if it looked like Rudd was going to waltz it in.

  40. 440
    DLP
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:41 pm | Permalink

    Hi all,

    Just catching up onthis thread.

    Interesting link from Domain.com. I think it is a Deceased Estate up for sales.

    http://www.domain.com.au/Public/PropertyDetails.aspx?adid=2006832414

  41. 441
    barney
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:41 pm | Permalink

    Ice 44 said
    I think at 6.30 p.m aedt when the libs have lost all 5 of the act seats

    That’ll be some trick seeing as there’s only 4 seats (2 H of R, 2 sen)

  42. 442
    Andos the Great
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:41 pm | Permalink

    Kirribilli ‘for sale’

    http://www.theage.com.au/news/federalelection2007/kirribilli-for-sale/2007/11/22/1195321932510.html

    It’s made the news!

  43. 443
    Toby
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:42 pm | Permalink

    ALL THE TALK OF “50-50 GALAXY” IS GARBAGE. If youre going to say what you think will happen, please state this. Dont just post “galaxy 50-50″.

  44. 444
    Will
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:42 pm | Permalink

    Lefty E: Are you sorry but not apologising or what?

  45. 445
    Ashley
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:42 pm | Permalink

    Bloody Grooski. He/she started the ‘too close to call’ thing and then left immediately after.

  46. 446
    gusface
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:43 pm | Permalink

    DLP

    bit worried about the smell though

    11yrs of rattus shite sure is going to leave a pong :)

  47. 447
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:43 pm | Permalink

    437 Misty

    “There’s a bit of complacency going around in the electorate.” You have got to be kidding, one word Lindsaygate.

  48. 448
    Dyno
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:44 pm | Permalink

    Labor on Betfair now solidly dug in at $1.26. Would take more than $10k to move the price in either direction.
    Coalition $4.70. It’s a thinner market, though, so the price could move more readily.

  49. 449
    Howard Hater
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:45 pm | Permalink

    It wouldn’t shock me however if Galaxy is 51:49 and the rest of them are 55:45.
    David Briggs isn’t to be trusted!

  50. 450
    Big Blind Door Knocker
    Posted Thursday, November 22, 2007 at 4:45 pm | Permalink

    This election will be a referendum on Glens inability to handle the truth

Pages: « 17 8 [9] 10 1113 » Show All