Comments on: Seats du jour: Leichhardt and Ryan http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/22/seats-du-jour-leichhardt-and-ryan/ Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth Sat, 21 Nov 2009 21:08:36 +1100 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.6 hourly 1 By: Trubbel at Mill http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/22/seats-du-jour-leichhardt-and-ryan/comment-page-1/#comment-96214 Trubbel at Mill Thu, 22 Nov 2007 11:57:15 +0000 http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/741#comment-96214 I'm set too Basil. $200 on Ross Daniels at $5.75 (before the sleepy bookies woke up). WOOHOO!! Used all my free bets on Maxine, and that's also looking mighty fine. ...err, the bets are looking mighty fine, not Maxine. ...err , I mean Maxine looks mighty fine too - hornbaggiest journo in history IMHO!! I’m set too Basil. $200 on Ross Daniels at $5.75 (before the sleepy bookies woke up). WOOHOO!!

Used all my free bets on Maxine, and that’s also looking mighty fine. …err, the bets are looking mighty fine, not Maxine. …err , I mean Maxine looks mighty fine too – hornbaggiest journo in history IMHO!!

]]> By: Basil Fawlty http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/22/seats-du-jour-leichhardt-and-ryan/comment-page-1/#comment-95948 Basil Fawlty Thu, 22 Nov 2007 10:41:21 +0000 http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/741#comment-95948 Oh happy days, I got set on Ryan a fair while ago and now this thread confirms many of my theories! The killing field, yeaaaah. Oh happy days, I got set on Ryan a fair while ago and now this thread confirms many of my theories! The killing field, yeaaaah.

]]> By: Aussieguru01 http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/22/seats-du-jour-leichhardt-and-ryan/comment-page-1/#comment-95000 Aussieguru01 Thu, 22 Nov 2007 06:12:15 +0000 http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/741#comment-95000 I got this letter from Kevin Rudd's office today. I'd thought I share it with you all. In part. When the ballot box close,the after party for the Griffith campaign team will be held @ Suncorp Stadium from 6pm. Please accept my invitation to come to the after party - &,if you like,bring a guest as well. This will be a nationally televised event so I would encourage you to attend & wear your Kevin 07 gear. Kind regards ..... Kevin Rudd. Can't wait :-) I got this letter from Kevin Rudd’s office today. I’d thought I share it with you all. In part.

When the ballot box close,the after party for the Griffith campaign team will be held @ Suncorp Stadium from 6pm. Please accept my invitation to come to the after party – &,if you like,bring a guest as well.

This will be a nationally televised event so I would encourage you to attend & wear your Kevin 07 gear.

Kind regards ….. Kevin Rudd.

Can’t wait :-)

]]> By: Spiros http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/22/seats-du-jour-leichhardt-and-ryan/comment-page-1/#comment-94949 Spiros Thu, 22 Nov 2007 05:59:03 +0000 http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/741#comment-94949 Lukas is correct. Ryan will go to Labor because 1) it contains a lot of doctors wives who love KR and hate JH 2) the freeway 3) Michael Johnson is hated by large slabs of his own party. Lukas is correct. Ryan will go to Labor because 1) it contains a lot of doctors wives who love KR and hate JH 2) the freeway 3) Michael Johnson is hated by large slabs of his own party.

]]> By: Enemy Combatant http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/22/seats-du-jour-leichhardt-and-ryan/comment-page-1/#comment-94947 Enemy Combatant Thu, 22 Nov 2007 05:58:01 +0000 http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/741#comment-94947 Ross Daniels has firmed from 2.95 to 2.40 on CBet in little over a week. So, what's playin' in Ryan? -OUR Local Boys Made Good(Kev 'n' Wayne). Sorry, Mr. Howard, but at the end of the day you really are a cockroach and a pretty disgusting one at that. Only fools and foreigners underestimate the parochialism of us Quuenslanders! -Equine influenza,(some neddy lovers are more honery than a pig-rootin' pony because the throughbred set got all the attention) -SerfChoices, (cheesed off youth and part timers, heaps of 'em. ) Goodna bypass(slashing real estate values), -Bulk Mortgage Stressees/Maxed-Out Plastics, (interest rates) - Long Dormant Wets (Rising Damps) in the aftermath of Salon, Rau, Hicks, Haneef, Ul-Haque, and now, Liberal Party's direct involvement at the highest levels in Leafletgate. Looks to me as if "Hoonster" Johnson has chucked his last political wheelie for a while, 'cos his representative career is about to end in a stunning defeat. Ross Daniels has firmed from 2.95 to 2.40 on CBet in little over a week.

So, what’s playin’ in Ryan?

-OUR Local Boys Made Good(Kev ‘n’ Wayne). Sorry, Mr. Howard, but at the end of the day you really are a cockroach and a pretty disgusting one at that. Only fools and foreigners underestimate the parochialism of us Quuenslanders!
-Equine influenza,(some neddy lovers are more honery than a pig-rootin’ pony because the throughbred set got all the attention)
-SerfChoices, (cheesed off youth and part timers, heaps of ‘em. )
Goodna bypass(slashing real estate values),
-Bulk Mortgage Stressees/Maxed-Out Plastics, (interest rates)
- Long Dormant Wets (Rising Damps) in the aftermath of Salon, Rau, Hicks, Haneef, Ul-Haque, and now, Liberal Party’s direct involvement at the highest levels in Leafletgate.

Looks to me as if “Hoonster” Johnson has chucked his last political wheelie for a while, ‘cos his representative career is about to end in a stunning defeat.

]]> By: Kymbos http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/22/seats-du-jour-leichhardt-and-ryan/comment-page-1/#comment-94854 Kymbos Thu, 22 Nov 2007 05:24:52 +0000 http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/741#comment-94854 Music to my ears, Lukas. Music to my ears, Lukas.

]]> By: Lukas http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/22/seats-du-jour-leichhardt-and-ryan/comment-page-1/#comment-94829 Lukas Thu, 22 Nov 2007 05:16:45 +0000 http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/741#comment-94829 Ryan will go to Labor. Michael Johnson is possibly the second worst MP in Australia (I would have said worst but that was before the Jackie Kellly interview on AM this morning, which will go into the annals of history). The main election story in last week's local paper was about how Johnson had (again) failed to show up for a candidate's forum. This time the journo went looking for him and found him at a local business friend's restaurant for a photo op. When the journo tried to ask him questions as to why he was not at the forum he told her to go away as he was busy holding discussions with constituents. The main election story in this week's local paper was about how he had been spring for speeding after prosletysing about the evils of hoons and speeding. He will experience possibly the largest swing against a sitting member in the country. Ryan will go to Labor.

Michael Johnson is possibly the second worst MP in Australia (I would have said worst but that was before the Jackie Kellly interview on AM this morning, which will go into the annals of history).

The main election story in last week’s local paper was about how Johnson had (again) failed to show up for a candidate’s forum. This time the journo went looking for him and found him at a local business friend’s restaurant for a photo op. When the journo tried to ask him questions as to why he was not at the forum he told her to go away as he was busy holding discussions with constituents.

The main election story in this week’s local paper was about how he had been spring for speeding after prosletysing about the evils of hoons and speeding.

He will experience possibly the largest swing against a sitting member in the country.

]]> By: geoff kricker http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/22/seats-du-jour-leichhardt-and-ryan/comment-page-1/#comment-94824 geoff kricker Thu, 22 Nov 2007 05:15:06 +0000 http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/741#comment-94824 The CM ran an article yesterday saying that "the road" was causing real problems for Johnson and his seat was in real danger. He of course has been involved in many factional battles and a lot of Libs hate his guts. Would not be surprised if Labor capture this seat particulaly with the scandals this week. Leichhardt is very much in play. Ensch was like an independent and had a large personal following. The polling also would not take the large indigenous population into account. If the swing gains momentum, Leichhardt will be a gain for Labor. The CM ran an article yesterday saying that “the road” was causing real problems for Johnson and his seat was in real danger. He of course has been involved in many factional battles and a lot of Libs hate his guts. Would not be surprised if Labor capture this seat particulaly with the scandals this week.
Leichhardt is very much in play. Ensch was like an independent and had a large personal following. The polling also would not take the large indigenous population into account. If the swing gains momentum, Leichhardt will be a gain for Labor.

]]> By: Kymbos http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/22/seats-du-jour-leichhardt-and-ryan/comment-page-1/#comment-94782 Kymbos Thu, 22 Nov 2007 05:06:09 +0000 http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/741#comment-94782 Ryan is the seat I'm most interested in, after Bennelong and Wentworth. Months ago Possum called it for Labor when it was paying $5.40, and I couldn't help throwing $10 on. At the same time, he was making big noises about McPherson, which is more of a long shot but was paying $11 at the time. It's the weirdest thing, betting on elections, but there does seem to be some information gaps in the odds... Ryan is the seat I’m most interested in, after Bennelong and Wentworth. Months ago Possum called it for Labor when it was paying $5.40, and I couldn’t help throwing $10 on. At the same time, he was making big noises about McPherson, which is more of a long shot but was paying $11 at the time.

It’s the weirdest thing, betting on elections, but there does seem to be some information gaps in the odds…

]]> By: Spiros http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2007/11/22/seats-du-jour-leichhardt-and-ryan/comment-page-1/#comment-94734 Spiros Thu, 22 Nov 2007 04:49:00 +0000 http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/741#comment-94734 Labot will win both, easily. Labot will win both, easily.

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