Sky News reports tomorrow’s Newspoll at 52-48. The Australian reports a sample size of 2614, but no primary votes. Normally you wouldn’t doubt the result with four polls telling you 52-48, 52-48, 54.5-45.5 and 57-43, but surely there’s some significance to the fact that the two closest polls of the year have come in the day before polling day.




1,500 Comments
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Why does Trioli always dress as if she’s just come from a funeral?
K Jin, I haven’t changes since the start of the campaign – 87 seats to Labor
This is one of the worst Latelines ever. No real analysis. Just propaganda, especially from Kroger.
bxtom the actual declaration is just a formality some days later, I believe – the reality is what Antony calls on the night
Oh man, just had a massive argument with my folks (Business owning coalition supporters) – Quote of the argument – You wouldn’t remember how bad it was back then under labor, your too young. Infuriating. They’re great parents, but they come from the group of people who would gladly be responsible for Liberals being in power until the heat death of the universe if they had there way.
Bob, Stop blathering on about Iraq!!
83-88 seats, K Jin.
I was confident it would be 88 seats at one stage, but the Galaxy/News Limited polls have spooked me.
#1139 – She is a funeral
paul K @ 1141, again, don’t fret – NO swinging voters or undecideds watch LL – too high-brow for them (too many multi-syllable words)
Because she comes from Melbourne
ShowsOn 1139
From a Lib wake.
just got home a coupla hours ago, been catching up…
what a lot of nervous nellies!
me too
Just gotta get out there tomorrow and slay ‘em at the booth, folks.
# 1137
hugorune Said
What a moron Kroger is
Agree with that !
95 seats.
Outlier (liar?) polls only helping Labor.
Folk won’t flirt with trying to stop large Ruddslide.
Ye of little faith? Don’t you think Labor also WANTED narrow final polls hmm?
I would rather sit and listen to Piers Ackerman than Kroger. Ackerman may be a hack, but he’s got nothing on Kroger. Slimeball is the word.
1139 – she’s going to one tomorrow!!!
Kroger’s saying it’s 3 now onthe basis of his theory that it was 4 when these polls were taken, and it will have narrowed a bit more since.
I’m going to bed, and predicting 95 seats to the ALP, 53 LNP, 2 IND. And I hope it’s much more. Happy election everyone!
It’s a goodnight from me and a goodnight from him
Kroger didn’t address one point raised by Carr – he was simply spruiking pure, non-factual, Coalition tripe – and when Carr said something that challenged him, Kroger simply personally insulted Carr. What a goose.
There are some Liberal people I disagree with, but I don’t actually hate them.
Kroger, now, I’ve decided that I loathe him.
Got to disagree. ALL Ackerman thinks about is the Heiner affair.
I think Andrew Bolt is a much more entertaining / credible conservative commentator. Particularly during this campaign.
I was originally down for 81 seats. I now think it’s going to be 93. And I don’t mean for the Coalition.
Kroger makes me feel glad I don’t vote Liberal: what an arsehole!
Trioli is a cow, my union does not “extract” fees from me. I joined voluntarily, and i joined because of workchoices.
I loved the look on Bob Carr’s face when Kroger said he had failed to fix the transport system.
What a hoot!
I would rather sleep with Bolt than listen to Kroger.
Isn’t Kroger soul brother to Smirk?
And I’m not even gay.
ESJ are there seriously problems with the transport system in NSW? I’ve never experienced one. What’s it in comparison to? Other world cities?
OK I’m extremely confident – my tip is Labor 95 -100 seats.
I also believe Bowhunter (Sandown Race 5) is a good each way bet tomorrow.
Edward StJohn Says: “I loved the look on Bob Carr’s face when Kroger said he had failed to fix the transport system.”
Yep, that’s what I’m voting for, trains to run on time… yeah, that’s the really BIG secret issue of 2007 and the next decade…….
What has Kroger ever fixed, other than a few Vic Lib pre-selection ballots?
Virginia was complaining yesterday on ABC radio in Sydney because no Liberal supporters turned up to her outside broadcast on the Central Coast: partisan bitch! And then she spent the next 3 hours looking for any anti Rudd person she could find to interview.
Yes. He’s gutless just like Tip.
George 1147
I am in QLD so cannot yet c Lateline(Whole election I have had a prophets foresight because of Poll bludger) but I am sure a lot of people who talk even in LOL or big words would not watch Lateline on a friday night. Indeed to my credit I thought it finished up on a Thursday each week, like the 7.30 report until this blog. I will be watching though. I will switch over from sky’s Key seats channel that is like background lift music.
91 seats to Labor.
That’s just because the ABC is paranoid about being accused of bias.
Bob was all fired up tonight. Bet he misses campaigning.
84-64-2. Haven’t really changed my prediction since I first made it…
Yes LTEP there is.
Labor ramped up medium to heavy density living and didnt spend 5c on trains as a result people cram into underfunded trains whose aircon breaks down and occassionally break down themselves at peak hour.
Wasn’t that Mac’s DLP slogan. Vote Mac back and get the trains running on time. The catholics next door voted for him.
Did you notice the edit chop on LL when Carr started to talk about Lindsay.I wonder what he said?
I’ll be conservative and predict 79 seats for Labor – nothing wrong with a 10 seat majority. Heck, I’ll take a Labor minority government propped up by Windsor and Katter if it means I’m rid of Rodent/Smirky/Dolly Downer.
U all know Leigh Sales tipped a Liberal win?
Marko,
You and Graham Richardson, so do you have access to Labor party polls too? LoL
Was she wearing her gold shirt when she made the tip?
Kroger is so convincing he obviously believes what he’s saying.
“1163
Ashley Says:
November 23rd, 2007 at 11:10 pm
I would rather sleep with Bolt than listen to Kroger.”
I’ve met Bolt. I’d rather listen to Kroger.
But which does remind me of a conversation I has many years ago with a Hansonite taxi driver, who, on failing to persuade me of her fine politics, sais ‘But you’ve got to admit she’s a good looking woman’, to which I could only answer: ‘I’d vote for her before I’d fck her’.
Edward StJohn Says: “Labor ramped up medium to heavy density living and didnt spend 5c on trains as a result people cram into underfunded trains whose aircon breaks down and occassionally break down themselves at peak hour.”
Yep folks that it, you heard it here first. And when in decades to come your son or daughter is sitting on a train, with 60 degrees temperatures outside (because global warming WAS actually happening, doh!), illiterate and dying of a disease they can’t afford to pay for, AT LEAST they’ll get to the mortuary on time for their own death. Trains running on time… now I’ve heard it all
Kroger is a pretty boy version of Gerard Henderson, always sniping away at the edges but never prepared to throw his hat in the ring. Notice he didn’t make a perdiction? If Kroger went into parliament he would get mashed and he knows it.
Kroger is such an arsewipe he’s never been able to get a seat in parliament, state or federal. Gutless creep!
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