Out of bed now, so I’m a bit late with the news that Morgan has completed a hat-trick of polls that have produced their closest result for the year just in time for polling day. Conducted last night, it has Labor ahead 53.5-46.5, their primary vote at 43.5 per cent (the lowest since January) and the Coalition’s at 41.5 per cent (highest since last November). The odd pollster out, ACNielsen, conducted its poll much earlier in the week.
In administrative news, I just did cleared out a huge volume of comments from moderation, so apologies to those who were held up there. Most of you were first timers – you should be able to comment freely now. I’m off to perform my civic duty, and will have a think about how to handle the election night traffic on my return. I’m much preferring IRC to Meebo (see “Dress Rehearsal 3″ post below) and beginning to think that alone should be enough to divert enough blog comment traffic to prevent my server from melting down.
595 Comments
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People, leave Leek alone. We welcome all non-trolling views here on PB, seriously Leek.
#499 Yep… That sounds like the left to me… “Resistance is futile!”
it’s too late Bruce, jump while you can
478 James this election is feeling mroe and more like 1972. The anticipation and then the sense of the Nation finally going foward was brilliant.
was just joking Mathew
Bruce Baird just thinks there are still some votes to pick up before 6. I’d say after 6 he’ll loosen up and drop the party lines – you’d hope so anyway
Hawker just said they (OZ public) This time have COMPREHENSIVELY accepted that Labour can handle the economy. I could be wrong but he seems to be trying to keep a lid on it till the polls close.
Exit 53 47 labour
they are talking as if it is all over for Howard – someone has some good early feedback
you normally only talk like this after the result is known not before counting start – AMAZING
even that loser german architect come journo David Albert Speer
exit poll 53/47
Any word on how the voting is going in Bennelong, Ed?
Marginal seats only!!!
53:47
Exit poll 53-47
In line with most polls.
Yes, Jackie Kelly is part of the Channel 7 team. Will she show up?
Sky exit poll from 31 most marginal seats – 53/47 to Labor
Exit poll says Labor wins
equivalent to a national 54/46
where, ruawake?
Pollster says the 56/47 exit poll was taken in 31(?) most marginal seats. Swings will be bigger in safe seats. Margin of error was 2%.
53 – 47
Catch ya later!
wow, that is great, very promising!
Sky guy is practically calling the election for Labor
30 odd seats for labor – howard has lost Bennelong according to exit poll!!!
I can’t believe Sky have called it based on an exit poll – I’d rather wait for the ACTUAL result thanks.
exit poll 53 – 47, 54 – 46 nationally, acccording to the pollster
bennelong ….yahhh… please be true
Mel just said ‘good morning’ to Beatie and Kennet.
Bennelong Lost. Ha Ha Ha
Bennelong gone too according to the exit poll, as is Eden Monaro.
Also says Howard “likely” to have lost Bennelong
“open handed slap”
~an apology does not equal sorry
~non-core promises
~never, ever GST
what is it with these people! Do they think that words do not have meanings?
Let’s not get too excited about a Tasmanian exit poll. Remember, for every two opinions, there is only one vote.
Eden monaro in the bag as well
53% to ALP in Bennelong
58% to ALP in Eden-Monaro
Sorry 53/47
Can I start unwrapping the Rockford’s Black Shiraz?
This exit poll stuff REALLY worries me. The big emotional set up early.. ahead of…
58:42
511 I’ve been stuck at home for most of the day so just depending on feedback here.
Did anyone just hear Baird exhale as they read the exit polls?
digenes, defintly have glass and corckscrew to hand…
Diogenes I have some Peter Rumble Sparkling Shiraz ready to go….
I don’t know about running the streets naked if Howard loses Bennelong, but after 35 years of lapsedness, I’ll go back to my Catholic roots and do the Novena
Is there any exit poll breakdown for wentworth? paterson?
Johnnie,
You have been a very naughty boy. You are now going to get a spanking.
1983 was 53-47, and that was a good night.
Hmmm well done Morgan maybe? and thank you Nielsen.
Re. Sky exit poll
In the words of Zoidberg “Woop woop woop woop woooop!!!”
SLOW DOWN PEOPLE. Can’t keep up with the comments.
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