Sky News exit poll has Labor leading 53-47. That’s in 31 selected marginal seats. Apparently it suggests 54-46 overall. Howard trails 53-47 in Bennelong. Labor 58-42 ahead in Eden-Monaro.
UPDATE: Channel Seven exit poll says 53-47 nationally, 53.5-46.5 in Bennelong, 8 per cent swing to Labor in Bass, 6 per cent swing in Braddon.
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Ron I’m next to Putney on the river and was polled by Ch 7
well we’ll know in a few hours
God you’ve been a wet blanket Ron Brown (65) Nevertheless, you have a point. I’m keeping the lid on at the moment. I’ll believe it when I see it.
I threw the lid away 20 mins ago…
Oh Frabjous day! Calloo! Callay!
No worries spiros.
The real counting starts in 3 minutes so you do have a point
At the end of the day if everything points to one result, that result will be pretty darn likely.
HH, Labor will win many seats, too many to count, but Patterson won’t be one of them.
Amazingly you can still get Labor at 1.20 at canbet. They are giving money away. Needless to say I have helped myself. Sportingbet closed their book seconds after the exit poll came out… they are obviously not in the mood to hand out profits to punters.
I like the look of ‘em exit polls though
Innacurate yes, but they seems to be consistently so\ in one directilon. again.
I gather there’s an MOE of 2% on the Sky news one (2700 sample) – so we’re ahead any way you slice it
Lets wait an see….
Make of it what you will.
An affable self-proclaimed senior liberal told me (bear in mind I was handing out YR@W HTVs in an orange t-shirt) he had seen the last round of Liberal polling and they were going to win by 2 seats but they were still going to be hammered in Qld.
Re exit polls: a lot more people declined YR@W and ALP HTVs as the day wore on.
First glass of champagne!
Ashley… let’s hope you rake it in.
I think it’s gonna be a happy night!
I declared it in my 12.50pm and 4.53pm posts from the betting.
You bloody BYOTAY
Have a great night guys.
massive queue at the tally room – Charles Firth from Chaser on the ch9 coverage…
Captain jack — exactly right. the more independent bits of information pointing in the same direction, the more likely the direction they’re pointing in is the one things are going.
polls still not closed up here guys… let’s take a deep breath before getting to oexcited.. there is plenty of time tonight to enjoy this if it all works out… don’t get too worked up …
have to say I did plenty of travel around bris vegas today and there was a real rudd rules brisbane feel… my parents both voted labor for the first time in 4 elections and that was the general feel from my family as a whole… I think it is fair to say qld is swinging large (in my little micro experiment!!)
Why, Spiros?
There’s nothing particularly special here. Few of us really like Baldwin. The 6.8% margin is inflated by a bunch of factors including the collapse of the Labor vote in some tradtional Labor booths last time thanks to the Lathan factor.
I’m still calling it very close.
I don’t want to build my hopes up to fall Snap. The AEC virtual tally room has no votes counted thus nothing to get excited about yet. I love the enthusiasm, but we have to see Howard concede and the final official result.
Love Youse All. Don’t wanna be a party pooper.
They’re off and racing!
QUEENSLANDER
As a Rudd Battler I look forward to seeing all my fellow battlers in Hasting St Nossa this Xmas.
this is just too exciting. need to calm down….
ABC has kicked in!
ABC has kicked in!
reports that Howard went back out this afternoon to Bennelong and campaigned right to 4.30.
Will there be tears? Can’t wait to see Hyacinth.
Just watched a bit of Ch9 coverage – not bad. But will be watching ABC most of the time. Good luck fellow travellers!
can anyone give me a good link to a web site with the counting down to the booth level?
Understand totally nostradoofous, but i think it was all over at week 2. you never know for sure till it’s confirmed though, so fair enough. but i don’t see much cause for concern right now.
No red tie on Red Kerry!
kerry just confirmed it – a swing to labor confirmed!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!1
All the polls did well except Galaxy and the weird last Newspoll – prior to that they were pretty close.
I was wrong – orange not red
Indecision 07 with Roy and HG on JJJ has kicked off too.
And BTW Caroline Overington is not a journalist anymore…she is out the door
http://www.smh.com.au/news/National/Journalist-slaps-Newhouse-witnesses/2007/11/24/1195753348350.html
was that cheering on the ABC for the first results being posted or for Julia?
we all know that the only poll that counts is the one that happens on November 24………… Oh rigth thats today.
Mad Cow
http://vtr.aec.gov.au/Default.htm
Virtual Tally Room
This is going to be AWESOME.
Minchin knows they’re SOOO stuffed.
I hope all goes well for the labor supporters.
But I cant be as happy as I woud like after reading the News.com.au article about little shellay ward’s funeral.Only 6 people including police meda person. No burial- just transported anonymously to the cremn a few days.
Unfortunately it links in as she died in Hawks Nest -Howards holiday town. ays it all.
Will it be enough?………..
Which is the best online site to track counting?
I handed out how to vote card at two booths in Forrest today, both in Busselton. There is swing to labor, the Independent Noel Brunning was a no show and had no representatives at any booths. Libs showed up very late to all booths in the area and were surprisingly disappointing in their showing.
If Johnnie looses Bennelong I will be so happy..
Now a massive spread between Betfair back and lay on Coalition, 4.40 back, 5.40 lay. Labor stable at abt 1.17/128
The tally room
http://vtr.aec.gov.au/Default.htm
ABC
http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2007/
mrs gusface here
just on my second glass of white, gusface has resurface. Had a very exciting day at local school, fundraising for them (god is great to have the community spirit back again)and meeting Mr C Thompson and ignoring Mr Ticehurst, what a great day!!
anthony green has very sexy……. graphics
thanks dufus
http://www.abc.net.au/elections/federal/2007/
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