Comments on: Westpoll: mixed bag in Perth marginals

By: Howard Hater

Howard Hater — Sat, 24 Nov 2007 04:09:27 +0000

I hope Peter Tinley wins Stirling. It’d be great if all 3 military blokes got up for Labor(the others being Mike Kelly and Rodney Cocks)

By: Andrew

Andrew — Sat, 24 Nov 2007 02:24:56 +0000

can someone repost the seat predictions by westpoll that were so WRONG in 2004, often by a large margin

By: Graeme

Graeme — Fri, 23 Nov 2007 22:36:37 +0000

Can someone remind if Labor has had any good polling in Cowan?

By: Antonio

Antonio — Fri, 23 Nov 2007 22:17:46 +0000

Cowan will be interesting, with Edwards retiring. No matter how big an election win is, there’s usually a seat that goes against the trend. In 2001 it was Labor winning Ballarat. In 2007 it could be the Libs winning Cowan.

It would be thrilling nail-biting stuff if the WA results are required to decide the election tonight. But somehow I doubt it.

By: Lose the election please

Lose the election please — Fri, 23 Nov 2007 21:20:30 +0000

My gut feeling for a while now has been that Labor would lose Cowan but retain Swan. I’ll see if I felt right tonight. However, on the other end I thought it more likely Labor would win Hasluck than Stirling.

By: new aussie

new aussie — Fri, 23 Nov 2007 20:50:14 +0000

As at 7 am this morning, liberal odds have drifted slightly in 2 of 3 markets I checked. Centrebet 3.50 to 3.65, portland 3.55 to 3.45 and betfair 3.65 to 3.75
Cowan, Hasluck and Swan are all solid alp favs. No money at all for libs there despite westpoll. Money speaks. Morgan’s poll today has it 53.5/46.5. Nuff said.

By: Gezza

Gezza — Fri, 23 Nov 2007 20:12:45 +0000

When we reflect on it all, a wood-duck is a bird & when you get a really stale, old one incapable of updating itself, it’s fairly clear that what you have is a dinosaur.

By: The Chinster

The Chinster — Fri, 23 Nov 2007 18:55:46 +0000

That preference allocation is completely pants. How do these pollsters sleep at night?

By: bryce

bryce — Fri, 23 Nov 2007 17:21:37 +0000

Plenty has been said about bookies odds, but if Westpoll was being replicated in Liberal Party polling, you wouldn’t be seeing these odds at Portlandbet.
Who is right, then…

These are the divs for Coalition:
Cowan $2.35
Hasluck $2.60
Swan $3.50 (and Westpoll have it 50/50!)

Stirling $1.65 is the exception

By: David Walsh

David Walsh — Fri, 23 Nov 2007 16:45:33 +0000

Rounding to a quarter of one percent in Swan is novel. Presumably they just want to call a winner.

This election day release will be a good test of Westpoll’s standing.