Comments on: Photo finish: Dickson

By: Redlands Rod

Redlands Rod — Wed, 05 Dec 2007 10:16:35 +0000

what? living there for 17 years is an interloper?? how long has laming resided there ? lets continue this discussion on the Bowman blog and not bother the dicksonites

By: Shane-o

Shane-o — Wed, 05 Dec 2007 01:46:52 +0000

Jason Young is the only Bowman interloper!

By: Redlands Rod

Redlands Rod — Tue, 04 Dec 2007 09:16:44 +0000

from a Bowman interloper – the major parties work hard to maximise these votes by making sure they get to them first either by past knowledge or an early all electorate direct mail and other targeted mail. Once you know someone has requested a postal vote you can target them with your how to vote (remember the other side doesn’t know that a postal vote has been requested) and its not likely they will them vote for your opposition.
All that being said large variations from the general trend in an electorate is worth investigating, even if only from a psephological viewpoint

By: InDickson

InDickson — Tue, 04 Dec 2007 08:27:17 +0000

Not paranoid at all – just asking questions that should be asked.

Your points don’t explain anything at all.

People request postal votes for sorts of reasons – like travelling, work reasons, illness/incapacity (people of all ages and political persuasions get ill and have accidents), family commitments, etc. The rural factor also doesn’t fit in Dickson – or in Bennelong or Wentworth which had similar patterns.

The Lindsay flyer incident wouldn’t have made any difference to undecided voters in Dickson. It’s a long way away.

As for your third paragraph, people who care about their country and think clearly might vote – but who they vote for is a matter of opinion. Some would say they vote Liberal, others would say ALP, others would say Green.

So, any plausible reasons?

By: North Brisbane type

North Brisbane type — Tue, 04 Dec 2007 03:21:49 +0000

YOu are all paranoid, tyhe only reason postals favour the liberal party is due to only peiople wqho dont like leaving their homes who use them, (ie old people, also known as the only demographic that didnt swing strongly to rudd, and in rural seats farmers.)

Plus most people who voted by post, voted before the lindsay flyer incident, when opinion had finally begun to trend to the liberals.

another point, people who care about voting request postals, and because they care about their country, and think clearly about the future they vote liberal

any of these points could explain the postal trend

By: InDickson

InDickson — Tue, 04 Dec 2007 01:55:38 +0000

You don’t need to do it for every seat – just those that show postal votes that give vastly different results to the other methods of voting in the same electorate.

Can anyone give a plausible reason why postal votes should vary from the overall vote in Dickson by such a degree?

By: dovif

dovif — Mon, 03 Dec 2007 21:10:17 +0000

lets do it for every seat in the nation and we might even overturn the election in 2010. May be you can bank roll it too

If I was Kevin Rudd, that would be the first thing I do when I am in Parliament …. you are a genius

By: In Dickson

In Dickson — Mon, 03 Dec 2007 13:10:05 +0000

I would like to see random checks of postal votes. People don’t have to say how they voted – just visit them at the registered and/or requested address and check that the postalvoters actually requested the postal vote, received it, voted and posted the form back to the AEC themselves.

How easy would it be to apply and vote on behalf of people who had died but whose names hadn’t been removed from the roll?

By: markmywords

markmywords — Mon, 03 Dec 2007 10:23:08 +0000

Well it was a good ride while it lasted.

Still, it would’ve been good for Dutton to get one more bad news phone call telling him the morning batch of absentees had cut his lead further.

By: callum

callum — Mon, 03 Dec 2007 01:54:15 +0000

AEC update, Dec 3rd, 12:25 pm

Dutton (Liberal) now leading by 127 (up 21 from 106).

This increase from counting of another 765 absent votes which split 393:372 to Dutton. This was against the trend of previous counting of absent votes which have slightly favoured McNamara.

I would really like to see the process around postal votes cleaned up. These have heavily favoured Dutton. Perhaps a formal inquiry?