Comments on: Photo finish: Solomon

By: NOT SO MAD MAX

NOT SO MAD MAX — Sun, 09 Dec 2007 12:02:13 +0000

Good info for the memory bank ACG and not the sort of intricate knowledge that can be read in some sort of dry text book. It is the kind of thing that sorts the “opinion” bloggers on PB from the people who have something of substance to offer others.

On another matter, “D T “’s has not been seen for days. My tip is he’s having the polly version of a “mad Monday”. The CLP are having a crack at Len about his very poor behaviour, but have convieniently forgotten “DT”’s trackrecord. Hypocrasy at it’s best from Jody and her Tarago party.
Until next time we converse STC, Merry Xmas to you and yours, Cheers, KC.

By: ALP Campaign Genius

ALP Campaign Genius — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 13:15:34 +0000

Incidentally, there is a bit of a lesson in the Solomon count (and other counts) for you amateur psephos.

Trying to predict the outcome of what happens in the last week or last few days of counting on the basis of early trends in Pre Polls and Postals is a mug’s game.

Usually you don’t know where the votes are going to come from and it’s certainly difficult to know how many will come.

Also, Labor tends to do better in Postals and Pre Polls that are received towards the end of the counting fortnight – I’ve seen it happen so many times.

The reasons should be obvious. The Postals that are counted soon after Election Day are mainly the ones that are cast by permanent postal voters and other older voters – the age group that is most anti-Labor. Later in the fortnight, you get Postals that come from interstate and overseas from people that wouldn’t normally have to cast them but do so because they are away/travelling.

After getting a flogging of about 60/40 on Postal Votes, Damian only lost the last real batch by 3 votes. I was scrutineering so I can tell you that a lot of the envelopes had Air Mail stickers on them.

While I would never have predicted that Damian would win the last batch of Pre Polls by better than 2:1, I did expect that lot to be better than the Pre Polls that had already been counted. They were from overseas (mostly London – a booth Labor can usually count on).

Three years ago, Steve Georganas only led by between 50 and 60 votes going into the final day of counting in Hindmarsh and a similar thing happened. He ended up winning by more than 100.

(This is also why we’ve made small comebacks in other tight seats. See what’s been happening in McEwen?)

Remember all that next time folks…

By: ALP Campaign Genius

ALP Campaign Genius — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 12:42:31 +0000

Nice one KC … uh I mean Max. I think I was drinking with a Mananimal tonight

By: Lord D

Lord D — Fri, 07 Dec 2007 08:56:28 +0000

Good to win this one for Labor.

By: K David

K David — Thu, 06 Dec 2007 23:13:10 +0000

where is Isobell?

oh well, I think that tollner just missed out on like $1.5mil of super.

By: Bob from Bonner

Bob from Bonner — Thu, 06 Dec 2007 13:42:41 +0000

Well done Mr Hale!!!!!!!!!!!!!11

By: NOT SO MAD MAX

NOT SO MAD MAX — Thu, 06 Dec 2007 03:32:34 +0000

I know. From soccer tragic to Campaign Genius.
Now I have two reasons to feel like a King. I can Crowe about, the forthcoming 2008 premiership and DH’s victory.
As STC would say, BOOSHKA !!

By: dovif

dovif — Thu, 06 Dec 2007 03:09:14 +0000

Liberal guys, take out Tim, he is the “ALP Campaign Genius” We will organise the Stalin hit squard

By: ALP Campaign Genius

ALP Campaign Genius — Thu, 06 Dec 2007 02:31:44 +0000

Max, it’s strongly rumoured that ALP Campaign Genius and Super Tim are in fact the same person.

By: ALP Campaign Genius

ALP Campaign Genius — Thu, 06 Dec 2007 02:27:29 +0000

With this margin, I doubt they’ll ask for a recount matt and it’s even less likely to be granted.