Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Monthly Archives: November 2007

Photo finish: Solomon

Sunday, November 25, 2007 – 7:24 am

This post will not be further updated. Results below are not final. For up-to-date results visit the AEC’s Virtual Tally Room site.

2007
2004

ALP
LIB
ALP
LIB
Swing

Booths
20,957 51.05
20,097 48.95
18,911 47.99
20,497 52.01
3.06

Pre-Poll
3,631 47.40
4,030 52.60
2,333 42.61
3,142 57.39
4.78

Absent
411 53.17
362 46.83
413 51.30
392 48.70
1.87

Postal
802 41.38
1136 58.62
610 38.46
976 61.54
2.92

Provisional
52 61.90
32 38.10
346 53.89
296 46.11
8.01

Total
25,853 50.19
25,657 49.81
22,613 47.19
25,303 52.81
3.00

ALP (adjusted)
50.2

LIB (adjusted)
49.8

Saturday evening. This post will be used to follow the final stages of the count in Solomon, where at the close of election night counting the ABC computer has Country Liberal Party [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Election 2007 | Comments (99)

Photo finish: McEwen

Sunday, November 25, 2007 – 7:21 am

2007
2004

ALP
LIB
ALP
LIB
Swing

Booths
37,572 50.39
36,995 49.61
31,126 44.20
39,302 55.80
6.19

Pre-Poll
3,242 48.00
3,512 52.00
1,343 38.92
2,108 61.08
9.08

Absent
4,335 53.32
3,795 46.68
2,720 40.01
3,468 51.02
13.31

Postal
3197 44.15
4,045 55.85
2,670 39.28
4,128 60.72
4.87

Provisional
70 53.03
62 46.97
237 42.86
316 57.14

Total
48,416 50.00
48,409 50.00
38,096 43.58
49,322 56.42
6.42

ALP (adjusted)
50.0

LIB (adjusted)
50.0

Saturday evening. This post will be used to follow the final stages of the count in McEwen, where at the close of election night counting the ABC computer has Liberal incumbent Fran Bailey 0.2 per cent ahead of Labor candidate Rob Mitchell. On raw figures from the AEC Mitchell is 0.4 per cent [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Election 2007 | Comments (113)

Photo finish: Macarthur

Sunday, November 25, 2007 – 7:18 am

With Liberal member Pat Farmer now 723 votes ahead, this post will not be further updated. Results below are not final. For up-to-date results visit the Virtual Tally Room site.

2007
2004

ALP
LIB
ALP
LIB
Swing

Booths
31,694 49.82
31,919 50.18
24,304 39.00
38,014 61.00
10.82

Pre-Poll
2,162 45.98
2,540 54.02
1,549 37.55
2,575 62.45
8.43

Absent

1,985 41.15
2,839 58.85

Postal

800 32.29
1,679 67.71

Provisional

262 48.04
284 51.96

Total
33,856 49.56
34,459 50.44
28,901 38.90
45,390 61.10
10.66

ALP (adjusted)
49.6

LIB (adjusted)
50.4

Saturday evening. This post will be used to follow the final stages of the count in Macarthur, where at the close of election night [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Election 2007 | Comments (45)

Photo finish: La Trobe

Sunday, November 25, 2007 – 7:16 am

With Liberal member Jason Wood now 733 votes ahead, this post will not be further updated. Results below are not final. For up-to-date results visit the Virtual Tally Room site.

2007
2004

ALP
LIB
ALP
LIB
Swing

Booths
33,622 50.27
33,263 49.73
28,096 44.60
34,893 55.40
5.66

Pre-Poll
1,220 50.39
1,201 49.61
1,391 41.02
2,000 58.98
9.37

Absent

2,404 45.01
2,937 54.99

Postal
2427 40.60
3,551 59.40
2,245 40.65
3,278 59.35
-0.05

Provisional

201 41.27
286 58.73

Total
37,269 49.50
38,015 50.50
34,337 44.17
43,394 55.83
5.33

ALP (adjusted)
49.4

LIB (adjusted)
50.6

Saturday evening. This post will be used to follow the final stages of the count in La Trobe, where at the close of election [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Election 2007 | Comments (18)

Photo finish: Herbert

Sunday, November 25, 2007 – 7:13 am

This post will not be further updated. Results below are not final. For up-to-date results visit the AEC’s Virtual Tally Room site.

2007
2004

ALP
LIB
ALP
LIB
Swing

Booths
34,624 50.42
34,042 49.58
29,146 44.14
36,881 55.86
6.28

Pre-Poll
2,103 47.46
2,328 52.54
1,718 39.15
2,670 60.85
8.31

Absent
1,395 46.31
1,617 53.69
1,480 43.80
1,899 56.20
2.51

Postal
1,738 44.50
2,168 55.50
1,554 42.54
2,099 57.46
1.96

Provisional
68 50.75
66 49.25
257 47.95
279 52.05
2.80

Total
39,928 49.82
40,221 50.18
34,155 43.80
43,828 56.20
6.02

ALP (adjusted)
49.8

LIB (adjusted)
50.2

Saturday evening. This post will be used to follow the final stages of the count in Herbert, where at the close of election night counting the ABC computer has Labor’s George Colbran [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Election 2007 | Comments (26)

Photo finish: Bowman

Sunday, November 25, 2007 – 7:10 am

2007
2004

ALP
LIB
ALP
LIB
Swing

Booths
34,067 50.16
33,851 49.84
26,919 41.21
38,402 58.79
8.95

Pre-Poll
2,802 46.03
3,285 53.97
1,635 36.21
2,880 63.79
9.82

Absent
1,681 52.43
1525 47.57
1,456 44.16
1,841 55.84
8.27

Postal
2363 50.05
2358 49.95
1,769 41.30
2,514 58.70
8.75

Provisional
58 51.79
54 48.21
180 45.80
213 54.20
5.98

Total
40,971 49.94
41,073 50.06
31,805 40.88
46,004 59.12
9.06

ALP
50.0

LIB
50.0

Saturday evening. This post will be used to follow the final stages of the count in Bowman, where at the close of election night counting the ABC computer has Liberal incumbent Andrew Laming and Labor candidate Jason Young locked together on 50.0-50.0. On raw figures Labor is 0.3 per cent ahead, but the Liberals had [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Election 2007 | Comments (220)

Federal election live

Saturday, November 24, 2007 – 6:20 pm

The pollbludger’s irc gateway, using thePJirc applet.

Type the Room Name
[...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Election 2007 | Comments (985)

Sky News and Seven exit polls: 53-47

Saturday, November 24, 2007 – 5:30 pm

Sky News exit poll has Labor leading 53-47. That’s in 31 selected marginal seats. Apparently it suggests 54-46 overall. Howard trails 53-47 in Bennelong. Labor 58-42 ahead in Eden-Monaro.
UPDATE: Channel Seven exit poll says 53-47 nationally, 53.5-46.5 in Bennelong, 8 per cent swing to Labor in Bass, 6 per cent swing in Braddon.

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Election 2007 | Comments (287)

Administrative affairs

Saturday, November 24, 2007 – 4:23 pm

Okay, tonight I’ll be doing good old-fashioned live blogging much like I’ve done at past state elections, and crossing my fingers hoping my database can cope. For this reason, I would encourage people not to over-exercise themselves in comments. I would like comments to be used for actual discussion of results – if anyone hears [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Election 2007 | Comments (6)

Morgan: 53.5-46.5

Saturday, November 24, 2007 – 1:32 pm

Out of bed now, so I’m a bit late with the news that Morgan has completed a hat-trick of polls that have produced their closest result for the year just in time for polling day. Conducted last night, it has Labor ahead 53.5-46.5, their primary vote at 43.5 per cent (the lowest since January) and [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Election 2007 | Comments (595)