Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Monthly Archives: May 2008

Morgan: 61-39

Friday, May 30, 2008 – 5:35 pm

Today’s Morgan poll is a face-to-face survey of 842 voters, showing Labor’s two-party lead widening to 61-39 from 60.5-39.5 at the similar poll last week. This was conducted last weekend, and thus offers no guidance on the government’s honeymoon status in the post-FuelWatch leak era.
Other news:
• State and federal ministers met in Sydney today to [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Politics | Comments (386)

Montana and South Dakota minus one week

Monday, May 26, 2008 – 7:26 pm

The Democratic primaries campaign limps on: Puerto Rico on Sunday, Montana and South Dakota next Wednesday (our time).
Those wishing to pursue a conversational style of discussion (this ranges from those who abuse each other to those who say “good night” to each other) are encouraged to try their hand at IRC:

The Poll Bludger’s irc gateway, [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in US Presidential Election 2008 | Comments (2,238)

EMRS: Liberals lead 42-33 in Tasmania

Friday, May 23, 2008 – 1:58 pm

Tasmanian pollsters EMRS have produced a survey of state voting intention from 1002 respondents which provides all kinds of bad news for Premier Paul Lennon. Support for Labor is down to 33 per cent from 39 per cent at the previous survey in March (and from 49.6 per cent at the March 2006 election), while [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Tasmanian Politics | Comments (86)

Morgan: 60.5-39.5

Friday, May 23, 2008 – 1:20 pm

Roy Morgan returns to its normal Friday routine with a face-to-face poll of 1055 respondents conducted last weekend, showing Labor’s two-party vote again has a six in front of it after dipping below in the previous week’s phone poll.
Other news:
• The ABC reports the hearing into Labor’s appeal against its 12-vote defeat in McEwen has [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Politics | Comments (882)

Queensland redistributed

Friday, May 23, 2008 – 12:54 pm

The Electoral Commission of Queensland has unveiled proposed new boundaries for a state electoral redistribution. Eight seats have been abolished: Labor-held Fitzroy, Kurwongbah and Mount Gravatt, the Nationals seats of Charters Towers, Darling Downs and Cunningham, the Liberal seat of Robina, and the last remaining One Nation seat, Tablelands. The new seats are Buderim, Coomera, [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Queensland Politics, State Redistributions | Comments (106)

ACNielsen: 57-43

Tuesday, May 20, 2008 – 2:25 am

Now ACNielsen comes through with a post-budget federal poll, its first since the election. Michelle Grattan details the results thus:
The poll of 1400, taken from Thursday to Saturday, found the budget had gone down well, with two-thirds “satisfied” and 57% thinking it “fair”. This is despite just 31% believing it will make them better off [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Politics | Comments (258)

Newspoll: 57-43

Monday, May 19, 2008 – 10:40 pm

Lateline reports tomorrow’s Newspoll shows no change on the previous fortnight. Brendan Nelson’s rating as preferred prime minister is back into double figures, at 12 per cent, while Kevin Rudd is down from 72 per cent to 70 per cent (hat tip to B.S. Fairman). More to follow.
UPDATE: The Australian reports Kevin Rudd’s satisfaction rating [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Federal Politics | Comments (80)

Kentucky fried Clinton

Monday, May 19, 2008 – 4:54 pm

Democratic primaries will be held Wednesday our time in Oregon and Kentucky, which will respectively choose 52 and 51 delegates. Below is another race associated with the latter state, which this year ended with runner-up Eight Belles having to be put down*. Does the knackers’ yard beckon for a certain second-placed Democratic nag? Discuss.
* Unfortunately [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in US Presidential Election 2008 | Comments (2,133)

Westpoll: 54-46 to Labor in WA

Monday, May 19, 2008 – 2:00 am

The first poll of Western Australian state voting intention since the Troy Buswell chair-sniffing revelation and resulting spill motion has not produced the Liberal meltdown that might have been expected. In fact, the Westpoll survey shows the Liberals narrowing the gap since March: Labor is down 5 per cent on the primary vote to 39 [...]

By William Bowe | Posted in Western Australian Politics | Comments (68)

Yes, (West) Virginia …

Wednesday, May 14, 2008 – 1:15 am

Democratic voters in West Virginia will today elect 28 delegates by some method or other. I can’t be bothered looking into it because the New York Post reports that Hillary Clinton is “toast”, and papa says, “if you see it in the Post, it’s so”.

By William Bowe | Posted in US Presidential Election 2008 | Comments (1,725)