That non-existent Morgan poll discussed in the previous post has now shown its face four days behind schedule. The phone survey of an unusually small sample of 618 respondents supports last week’s Newspoll finding that some of the gloss has come off Labor’s lead, which is at 47 per cent to 37 per cent on [...]
Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth
Monthly Archives: May 2008
A week with no Morgan
Monday, May 12, 2008 – 6:42 pm
I have lately gotten into the habit of providing a bulletin of recent electoral news along with the regular Friday Roy Morgan poll, but for whatever reason Morgan failed to come to the party last week. This is also an off-week for Newspoll, so the following will have to make do on their own:
• In [...]
West Virginia minus one week
Thursday, May 8, 2008 – 3:46 am
After yesterday’s North Carolina landslide and Indiana cliffhanger, most commentators have upgraded Barack Obama’s chances of securing the Democratic nomination from likely to (almost) certain. The next stage in the contest, assuming it gets that far, is next week’s primary for West Virginia, at which 28 delegates will be elected through a “modified” primary open [...]
Newspoll: 58-42 to Labor in Victoria
Wednesday, May 7, 2008 – 2:17 pm
Newspoll yesterday released its bi-monthly survey of Victorian state voting intention, in which a 1 per cent primary vote shift from the Coalition (down to 36 per cent) to Labor (up to 44 per cent) somehow translated into a two-party swing from 56-44 to 58-42. Both leaders have gone backwards on personal approval: John Brumby’s [...]
Newspoll: 57-43
Monday, May 5, 2008 – 10:57 pm
The Australian reports tomorrow’s Newspoll will have Labor’s two-party lead at a relatively modest 57-43. However, Liberal hopes of positive headlines have been dashed by a preferred prime minister rating showing Brendan Nelson back in single figures at 9 per cent, compared with 72 per cent for Kevin Rudd.
UPDATE: Graphic here.
Huon and Rosevears live
Saturday, May 3, 2008 – 6:05 pm
7.45pm. Final results for the night: Kerry Finch on 72.8 per cent, Paul Harriss on 62.0 per cent. Mark Rickards will lose a little on pre-polls and postals, but his 38.0 per cent is nonetheless an encouraging result for the Greens.
7.12pm. Twenty-two Huon booths now in; Rickards wins the Kettering booth 228-190, and is still [...]
North Carolina and Indiana minus four days
Saturday, May 3, 2008 – 2:39 am
Slate presents the Democratic race in seven (and a half) minutes.
Morgan: 61.5-38.5
Friday, May 2, 2008 – 1:32 pm
This week’s Morgan poll combines two weekends’ worth of face-to-face polling, producing a large sample of 1891 voters. Labor leads 61.5-38.5 on two-party preferred (with Labor down 1 per cent on last week’s phone poll and 0.5 per cent on the previous face-to-face), and 54.5 per cent to 33.5 per cent on the primary vote.
Other [...]
Built to spill
Friday, May 2, 2008 – 5:25 am
The West Australian today carries a “snap” Westpoll survey of 413 voters showing 50 per cent think the beleagured Troy Buswell should resign as state Opposition Leader following the revelation of his chair-sniffing indiscretion. The poll also has Buswell in third place as preferred Liberal leader with 12 per cent support, behind former leaders Matt [...]
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