Personally, I’d choose to move to Victoria.

Don’t forget that in 2007 when the NSW ALP was just as on the nose as they are now they still managed to spank the Libs. I can see the GRNs and good Independents doing very well in both houses – at the expense of a coalition outright victory.

Perhaps if we get a situation where we have both houses “hung” the two major parties will get together to try to eliminate the minor parties a la Tasmania.

Anyway it will be interesting to see what happens on 13th September with the LGA elections. I am sure that the ALP will lose control of a lot of councils but who to – if they go LIb/Nat your prediction may hold but if a lot of real inds get up March 2011 will be fascinating.

Camden, The Entrance, Gosford, Heathcote, Londonderry, Menai, Miranda, Riverstone, Wollondilly, and Wyong.

In Sydney, the Libs will narrowly win Coogee off Labor.

I expect Drummoyne to stay ALP, but only just. You just can’t convince some people how bad the current ALP government is! Strathfield will stay ALP.

The biggest shock of election night 2011 will be the defeat of John Watkins in Ryde. I understand that the same people who threw out John Howard have had an absolute gutful of Watkins. I also think the ALP vote in Rockdale will collapse and Frank Sartor will narrowly lose to his Liberal challenger (what a joyous event that will be!).

Outside of Sydney, the Nats will gain Dubbo, although Steve Whan is popular in Monaro, so that one could be an interesting contest. If the Nats primary vote rises, it will gain Tamworth.

I also predict a narrow Nats victory in Bathurst, after a collapse in the ALP vote.

There may also be some other pleasant surprises. You can expect some independents to win safe Labor seats particularly in the Hunter. I’d say that Verity Firth and Carmel Tebbutt are gone-skis in Balmain and Marrickville, but only if the Libs stitch up a preference deal with the Greens (Greens to win both seats).

Keep an eye on Blue Mountains which could be a shock Libs gain as well.

I’m sure there are others that I’ve left out.

Overall, whether Iemma, Watkins or someone else is leader, the ALP is finished this time in NSW. We’ve had enough and won’t reward their corruption and incompetence again.

if things deteriorate even more, you’ll find Watkins challenging.

Watkin’s was on the radio this morning pledging full support for Comrade Iemma. once again – a sure sigh of that Premmie Iemmie is gone for all money. However I suppose they will wait for ould red socks and the other paedophile protectors to depart our shores (after awarding Iemma an Order of Christ in gratitude for him banning rude t-shirts) before a organising a latter day Night of Long Knives.

Personally I can’t wait to see a video of Costa (a country member) being dragged from his bed before being dispatched.

Quite apart from being financially unsound, and ethically questionable, this decision also looks to be massively unpopular. There is a poll in the SMH about the new powers. 90% of voters are against them:
http://www.smh.com.au/polls/national/voted.html

When you consider that about 27% of the population are Catholic, that suggests that even a majority of Catholics (70%) are against these powers.

Further, please also factor in the Local elections here in September. Unfortunately for a lot of the hard working Labor councilors, people are likely to show their displeasure there. I for one am looking at the results in September as a barometer for State Labor (not a good indication but still one).

They could always subscribe to PB which has all the benefits and none of the disadvantages of investing in Australian grown product.