Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Monthly Archives: June 2008

Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor in Queensland

State Newspoll bonanza, episode three. The Australian reports the latest quarterly survey of Queensland state voting intention shows Labor’s lead narrowing from 60-40 to 55-45, their primary vote lead down from 50-32 to 43-38. More to follow.
UPDATE: Queensland like New South Wales has optional preferential voting, so there might be the same issue with the [...]

Newspoll: 55-45 to Labor in Victoria

State Newspoll bonanza, episode two. The Australian reports the latest bi-monthly survey of Victorian state voting intention shows Labor’s lead narrowing from 58-42 in March/April to 55-45, their primary vote lead down from 44-36 to 41-38. More to follow.

Newspoll: 52-48 to Coalition in NSW

The latest bi-monthly Newspoll survey of New South Wales state voting intention has the Coalition pulling ahead to a 52-48 lead on two-party preferred, after they trailed 51-49 in March-April. Morris Iemma’s ratings have worsened still further since the sobering results last time: his satisfaction rating is down two points to 26 per cent and [...]

Bits and pieces

Seems Morgan have taken the week off, not counting its release of qualitative findings from federal polling conducted from June 4 to 9, leaving the following collection to stand on its own:
• The Launceston Examiner has published findings from an EMRS poll showing new Tasmanian Premier David Bartlett leading Liberal leader Will Hodgman 46 per [...]

Presidential election minus 19 weeks

Introducing another round of comments action in the endless US presidential election campaign. Participants are encouraged to try their luck in the IRC room:

The Poll Bludger’s irc gateway, using the PJirc applet.

[...]

Galaxy: 52-48 to Labor in Queensland

The Courier-Mail has today produced an eyebrow-raising poll on Queensland state voting intention, conducted by Galaxy from 800 respondents. It shows Labor’s two-party lead plunging to 52-48 from 61-39 in February, with reversals for Labor of up to 10 per cent on every measure. One of the many supplementary questions is on attitudes to the [...]

Newspoll: 59-41

Via Peter Brent at Mumble comes the news that Labor’s lead in tomorrow’s Newspoll is up to 59-41 from 57-43 a fortnight ago. More to follow …
UPDATE: The Australian report was apparently up first, which they interestingly seem to be doing a little earlier now.
UPDATE 2: Graphic here.

ACNielsen: 56-44

Today’s Fairfax broadsheets bring us the latest monthly ACNielsen survey of federal voting intention, showing Labor’s two-party lead narrowing slightly from 57-43 to 56-44. It also finds Peter Costello favoured as Liberal leader by 37 per cent of respondents against 29 per cent for Malcolm Turnbull and 19 per cent for Brendan Nelson, and gives [...]

Morgan: 58.5-41.5

This week’s Morgan face-to-face poll has Labor’s lead down to 58.5-41.5 from 63-37 last week, its weakest Morgan face-to-face showing since the election of the Rudd government. It seems Morgan also conducted a phone poll between June 4-9 which put the score at 56-44, compared with the government’s previous weakest result of 58-42 at the [...]

Presidential election minus 21 weeks

Duke it out here. Those participating in the US election threads are advised that they do so at their own risk.