The Australian reports Newspoll has Labor’s lead back up to 57-43 after two fortnights at 55-45. No figures yet provided to back up its headline “Costello wanted as leader”. Hat tip yet again to James J.
UPDATE: Graphic here. It shows Peter Costello’s rating as preferred Liberal leader up to 41 per cent from 23 per [...]
Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth
Monthly Archives: July 2008
Newspoll: 57-43
Monday, July 28, 2008 – 10:32 pm
Come gather ’round people
Sunday, July 27, 2008 – 9:31 pm
Owing to various distractions, moves towards a merger of the Queensland Nationals and Liberals have gone under-reported on this site. This is just as well, as I might otherwise have joined the large number of writers and critics who prophesised with their pens that the move would fail. It appears instead to have built unstoppable [...]
Westpoll: Barnett Liberal landslide in WA
Saturday, July 26, 2008 – 2:04 am
The West Australian, which has been gunning hard for the removal of Troy Buswell from the Liberal leadership for the past week, has published a “snap” Westpoll survey of 400 votes showing the Liberals would lead 57-43 on two-party preferred if Colin Barnett was leader. It also finds they would be in front even with [...]
Morgan: 55-45
Friday, July 25, 2008 – 2:48 pm
Morgan has released another poll just five days after the last, from a face-to-face survey of 1067 voters conducted last weekend. The agency’s figures had previously been holding out in the pre-budget Rudd honeymoon zone, but they have now come down to earth with a drop from 60-40 to 55-45. This has partly been driven [...]
Six easy pieces
Friday, July 25, 2008 – 5:25 am
The Poll Bludger’s guide to the Western Australian election is up and running, although the tide of events might yet require that it be substantially revised. The headers and sidebar graphic assume the election will be held this year, despite it not being due until about February. Given that Alan Carpenter has repeatedly mused about [...]
Darwinian evolution
Wednesday, July 23, 2008 – 11:33 pm
The Poll Bludger’s guide to the August 9 Northern Territory election is now in business, as indeed is Antony Green’s definitive effort. It is tempting to dismiss the election as a foregone conclusion, with the Country Liberal Party needing to increase its representation in the 25-member Legislative Assembly from four to 13, and looking in [...]
Morgan: 60-40
Monday, July 21, 2008 – 2:48 pm
The increasingly unpredictable Roy Morgan has released a face-to-face survey of 797 voters conducted just over a week ago, showing Labor’s two-party lead up to 60-40 from 59-41 at the larger poll conducted over the two previous weekends. Both Labor (48 per cent) and the Coalition (34.5 per cent) are down 0.5 per cent on [...]
It’s August 9
Monday, July 21, 2008 – 2:41 pm
The Northern Territory election, that is. One day after the thought of a poll entered my consciousness, courtesy of Antony Green, Chief Minister Paul Henderson has sprung it on even earlier than expected – in less than three weeks’ time. The previous election was on 18 June 2005, and the latest possible date for the [...]
ACNielsen: 54-46
Monday, July 21, 2008 – 12:34 am
Today’s Fairfax broadsheets bring the Rudd government its most uncomfortable opinion poll yet, with ACNielsen showing Labor’s lead down to 54-46 from 56-44 a month ago. The poll also offers a preferred leader rating for Brendan Nelson with a two in front of it, and yet more results on emissions trading.
Other news:
• A by-election looms [...]
Newspoll: 55-45
Tuesday, July 15, 2008 – 12:55 am
Newspoll shows Labor maintaining its 55-45 two-party lead from last fortnight. Kevin Rudd has gained a point and Brendan Nelson lost one on the question of preferred leader, Rudd now leading 65 per cent to 14 per cent.
UPDATE: The Australian has not published a graphic this time, but you can read all about it at [...]
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