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	<title>Comments on: Advertiser poll: Maywald on 11 per cent in Chaffey</title>
	<atom:link href="http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/08/08/advertiser-poll-maywald-on-11-per-cent-in-chaffey/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/08/08/advertiser-poll-maywald-on-11-per-cent-in-chaffey/</link>
	<description>Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth</description>
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		<title>By: Anon E. Moz</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/08/08/advertiser-poll-maywald-on-11-per-cent-in-chaffey/comment-page-1/#comment-178132</link>
		<dc:creator>Anon E. Moz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Aug 2008 15:36:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/909#comment-178132</guid>
		<description>I remember a friend of mine during the Dunstan days going up to Canberra to collect the 220million dollars when Don handed the railways over to the Commonwealth (I think he was just swapping bank account details).  Could South Oz hand over the Murray to the Commonwealth and let them deal with the states- this would encourage the Commonwealth surely to act justly and make hard decisions.?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I remember a friend of mine during the Dunstan days going up to Canberra to collect the 220million dollars when Don handed the railways over to the Commonwealth (I think he was just swapping bank account details).  Could South Oz hand over the Murray to the Commonwealth and let them deal with the states- this would encourage the Commonwealth surely to act justly and make hard decisions.?</p>
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		<title>By: Paul Nash</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/08/08/advertiser-poll-maywald-on-11-per-cent-in-chaffey/comment-page-1/#comment-177644</link>
		<dc:creator>Paul Nash</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Aug 2008 03:57:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/909#comment-177644</guid>
		<description>When the National Party lost its sole representative in the South Australian parliament in 1993 (losing the seat of Flinders) everyone wrote them off as being finished in South Australian Politics.  Four years later Maywald claimed Chaffey for the Nationals and the party returned to SA politics.  This current poll conducted be the Metropolitan newspaper in Adelaide with a small sample of less than 500 is meaningless.  The Nationals have a big future in South Australia and at the next election will not only retain Chaffey but pick up Flinders and Finnis.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When the National Party lost its sole representative in the South Australian parliament in 1993 (losing the seat of Flinders) everyone wrote them off as being finished in South Australian Politics.  Four years later Maywald claimed Chaffey for the Nationals and the party returned to SA politics.  This current poll conducted be the Metropolitan newspaper in Adelaide with a small sample of less than 500 is meaningless.  The Nationals have a big future in South Australia and at the next election will not only retain Chaffey but pick up Flinders and Finnis.</p>
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		<title>By: Wakefield</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/08/08/advertiser-poll-maywald-on-11-per-cent-in-chaffey/comment-page-1/#comment-176977</link>
		<dc:creator>Wakefield</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Aug 2008 12:39:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/909#comment-176977</guid>
		<description>The poll is certainly way off the mark and mischievous.  In SA the Nationals get about 0.5% or less of the vote in general upper house votes.  In the few country seats where they get any support they haven&#039;t got close to winning in recent years except Chaffey.  The Nats in SA haven&#039;t been in coalition with Libs for years and barely relate to the Federal Nats although they are affiliated.  So for 11% of people to say they support Nats as opposed to Maywald would be about average.
Maywald is like an independent. 
Lets hope the Greens and Xenophon can force some change because clearly both major parties have lost the plot over the Murray Darling with profligate issuing of water licences beyond capacity of river and leaving environmental flow/river health as last option for many years.  Its a dsigrace what is happening in the lower Murray, lakes and Coorong and some bravery is required from the Rudd government to fix it quick.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The poll is certainly way off the mark and mischievous.  In SA the Nationals get about 0.5% or less of the vote in general upper house votes.  In the few country seats where they get any support they haven&#8217;t got close to winning in recent years except Chaffey.  The Nats in SA haven&#8217;t been in coalition with Libs for years and barely relate to the Federal Nats although they are affiliated.  So for 11% of people to say they support Nats as opposed to Maywald would be about average.<br />
Maywald is like an independent.<br />
Lets hope the Greens and Xenophon can force some change because clearly both major parties have lost the plot over the Murray Darling with profligate issuing of water licences beyond capacity of river and leaving environmental flow/river health as last option for many years.  Its a dsigrace what is happening in the lower Murray, lakes and Coorong and some bravery is required from the Rudd government to fix it quick.</p>
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		<title>By: Boerwar</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/08/08/advertiser-poll-maywald-on-11-per-cent-in-chaffey/comment-page-1/#comment-176957</link>
		<dc:creator>Boerwar</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Aug 2008 11:34:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/909#comment-176957</guid>
		<description>Disclosure: I own water rights and make a handy profit out of them. Perversely, the drought has been particularly good for me because of the enhanced prices I have been getting.

L @ 25

Thank you. Taking it a step further, if the states realize they can&#039;t handle it, isn&#039;t it time for them to own up and say something like: &#039;Sorry, the system is broken, it really requires the Commonwealth to do something systematic when we face a cross-border, regional problem, therefore we will hand over constitutional responsibility to the Commonwealth.&#039;


Matt Sykes @ 24

I accept that the situation has gone past the point of no return for lots of players and that there will be lots of losers. But stating that doesn&#039;t get over the fact that it didn&#039;t get that way by accident, and the state labour governments were significant contributors to this situation.

I don&#039;t understand why you are blaming just the Commonwealth. Isn&#039;t the constitutional responsibility for land and inland waters a state responsibility? If so, why should the Commonwealth be blamed? Apart from Keating&#039;s bag full of dollars, what scope does the Commonwealth have? And if the states don&#039;t want to play, like Victoria didn&#039;t, what can the Commonwealth really do? On Murray water, Victoria rolled Howard, and then it rolled Rudd. Rather than blame one or the other players, isn&#039;t it time we all recognised that  for cross-border issues and regional issues, it is the system of federal governance that is busted?

Enjaybee @ 27

Exactly. The South Australians are at the cloaca end of a busted system. No wonder it smells. South Australian Governments have two choices: Buckley&#039;s, or making the best of a bad deal. Socking it to a South Australian Government when the governance system is busted makes no sense. Shuffling governments in South Australia will not make an iota of difference. The Tiser should know this. If the Tiser really wants to play in this game it should spell out some practical alternatives.


Phil Robins @ 29

I accept your point about rank Lib hypocrisy on Murray Darling policy, but do you really think the libs have a monopoly on hypocritical duck shoving? Would you accept the general proposition that the amount of hypocritical duck shoving by governments of all levels and all hues is in inverse proportion to the actual number of ducks left in the Murray Darling system?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Disclosure: I own water rights and make a handy profit out of them. Perversely, the drought has been particularly good for me because of the enhanced prices I have been getting.</p>
<p>L @ 25</p>
<p>Thank you. Taking it a step further, if the states realize they can&#8217;t handle it, isn&#8217;t it time for them to own up and say something like: &#8216;Sorry, the system is broken, it really requires the Commonwealth to do something systematic when we face a cross-border, regional problem, therefore we will hand over constitutional responsibility to the Commonwealth.&#8217;</p>
<p>Matt Sykes @ 24</p>
<p>I accept that the situation has gone past the point of no return for lots of players and that there will be lots of losers. But stating that doesn&#8217;t get over the fact that it didn&#8217;t get that way by accident, and the state labour governments were significant contributors to this situation.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t understand why you are blaming just the Commonwealth. Isn&#8217;t the constitutional responsibility for land and inland waters a state responsibility? If so, why should the Commonwealth be blamed? Apart from Keating&#8217;s bag full of dollars, what scope does the Commonwealth have? And if the states don&#8217;t want to play, like Victoria didn&#8217;t, what can the Commonwealth really do? On Murray water, Victoria rolled Howard, and then it rolled Rudd. Rather than blame one or the other players, isn&#8217;t it time we all recognised that  for cross-border issues and regional issues, it is the system of federal governance that is busted?</p>
<p>Enjaybee @ 27</p>
<p>Exactly. The South Australians are at the cloaca end of a busted system. No wonder it smells. South Australian Governments have two choices: Buckley&#8217;s, or making the best of a bad deal. Socking it to a South Australian Government when the governance system is busted makes no sense. Shuffling governments in South Australia will not make an iota of difference. The Tiser should know this. If the Tiser really wants to play in this game it should spell out some practical alternatives.</p>
<p>Phil Robins @ 29</p>
<p>I accept your point about rank Lib hypocrisy on Murray Darling policy, but do you really think the libs have a monopoly on hypocritical duck shoving? Would you accept the general proposition that the amount of hypocritical duck shoving by governments of all levels and all hues is in inverse proportion to the actual number of ducks left in the Murray Darling system?</p>
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		<title>By: Michael</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/08/08/advertiser-poll-maywald-on-11-per-cent-in-chaffey/comment-page-1/#comment-176946</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Aug 2008 11:13:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/909#comment-176946</guid>
		<description>Matt (3) is on the money, Rann was smart to give Maywald the water portfolio. I think she&#039;s done a pretty good job under the circumstances, and I suspect most of her electorate think the same.

What threatened to hurt her more was the Country Health Plan, which she supported in Cabinet.

Her electorate arguably benefited, along with Mount Gambier, Whyalla and Port Lincoln, but the rest of country SA was staring down the barrel of reduced services.

The government has backtracked on the plan, which might save Karlene.

The Nats will be hoping to win Flinders and possibly Stuart at the next state election. Being seen as having endorsed the Country Health Plan would have killed them.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Matt (3) is on the money, Rann was smart to give Maywald the water portfolio. I think she&#8217;s done a pretty good job under the circumstances, and I suspect most of her electorate think the same.</p>
<p>What threatened to hurt her more was the Country Health Plan, which she supported in Cabinet.</p>
<p>Her electorate arguably benefited, along with Mount Gambier, Whyalla and Port Lincoln, but the rest of country SA was staring down the barrel of reduced services.</p>
<p>The government has backtracked on the plan, which might save Karlene.</p>
<p>The Nats will be hoping to win Flinders and possibly Stuart at the next state election. Being seen as having endorsed the Country Health Plan would have killed them.</p>
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		<title>By: Phil Robins</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/08/08/advertiser-poll-maywald-on-11-per-cent-in-chaffey/comment-page-1/#comment-176918</link>
		<dc:creator>Phil Robins</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Aug 2008 09:12:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/909#comment-176918</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s true that state governments of various hues have been remiss over a long time, but rank hypocrisy for the federal Libs to to banging on about failed policy when they watched the Murray-Darling go down the drain over the past dozen years.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s true that state governments of various hues have been remiss over a long time, but rank hypocrisy for the federal Libs to to banging on about failed policy when they watched the Murray-Darling go down the drain over the past dozen years.</p>
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		<title>By: Diogenes</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/08/08/advertiser-poll-maywald-on-11-per-cent-in-chaffey/comment-page-1/#comment-176912</link>
		<dc:creator>Diogenes</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Aug 2008 08:19:27 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/909#comment-176912</guid>
		<description>Adam

There is some more evidence for your recent post. Mike Rann was just on Channel 10 news, which is usually pretty fair, commenting on the Chaffey poll. His comments were exactly the same as yours and he claimed that the Tiser got the result they wanted by rigging it. Channel 10 interviewed quite a few voters in her electorate and it was clear that she has a lot more than 11% support.

The Tiser is having none of it. They don&#039;t report Rann&#039;s criticism of the methodology of the poll. Their comment is that Rann is blindly backing Maywald.

&lt;blockquote&gt; But Mr Rann said the poll was simply wrong.

&quot;I think Karlene has enormous respect in her area as someone who is fighting for the River land at every turn and that will be demonstrated in the next election,&quot; he said.

&quot;I think Karlene Maywald is seen as an outstanding MP who is working overdrive to assist our state.

&quot;Without Karlene Maywald, people would not have that direct voice in the government and that direct voice into the highest level of debate in the nation.&quot;

&lt;/blockquote&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Adam</p>
<p>There is some more evidence for your recent post. Mike Rann was just on Channel 10 news, which is usually pretty fair, commenting on the Chaffey poll. His comments were exactly the same as yours and he claimed that the Tiser got the result they wanted by rigging it. Channel 10 interviewed quite a few voters in her electorate and it was clear that she has a lot more than 11% support.</p>
<p>The Tiser is having none of it. They don&#8217;t report Rann&#8217;s criticism of the methodology of the poll. Their comment is that Rann is blindly backing Maywald.</p>
<blockquote><p> But Mr Rann said the poll was simply wrong.</p>
<p>&#8220;I think Karlene has enormous respect in her area as someone who is fighting for the River land at every turn and that will be demonstrated in the next election,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;I think Karlene Maywald is seen as an outstanding MP who is working overdrive to assist our state.</p>
<p>&#8220;Without Karlene Maywald, people would not have that direct voice in the government and that direct voice into the highest level of debate in the nation.&#8221;</p>
</blockquote>
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		<title>By: Enjaybee</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/08/08/advertiser-poll-maywald-on-11-per-cent-in-chaffey/comment-page-1/#comment-176905</link>
		<dc:creator>Enjaybee</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Aug 2008 07:46:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/909#comment-176905</guid>
		<description>It&#039;s very easy for the Advertiser for taking populist potshots at Karlene Maywald and the Rann Government but what practical action can anybody take to alleviate the situation without some drastic action being taken by the Federal, Queensland, New South Wales and Victorian Governments. Todays Advertiser named six sites in the Murray-Darling system that should be bought back, among them Cubbie Creek. As much as I&#039;d like to see that occur I can&#039;t see it happening. Changing one&#039;s vote won&#039;t see it happen notwithstanding that Martin Hamilton-Smith is making all sorts of announcements (as he is prone to do) as to what he would do to see the river flowing again.

I find it ironic that those making the loudest noise at the moment are of a liberal persuasion and if there was a change of government in NSW (very possible), Queensland (improbable), Victoria (unlikely) and South Australia (unlikley) but if there was, these same people would find themselves having to deal with liberal/LNP or coalition governments as all of the seats in the Murray-Darling catchment area both federally and statewise have non-labour sitting members. 

Can you imagine those governments doing anything about how water is allocated in the upper reaches of the M-D system. It would be electoral suicide on their part if they did. For that reason alone I can&#039;t see how things are going to improve in the future unless we have a flood of biblical proportions (if such an event indeed did happen).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It&#8217;s very easy for the Advertiser for taking populist potshots at Karlene Maywald and the Rann Government but what practical action can anybody take to alleviate the situation without some drastic action being taken by the Federal, Queensland, New South Wales and Victorian Governments. Todays Advertiser named six sites in the Murray-Darling system that should be bought back, among them Cubbie Creek. As much as I&#8217;d like to see that occur I can&#8217;t see it happening. Changing one&#8217;s vote won&#8217;t see it happen notwithstanding that Martin Hamilton-Smith is making all sorts of announcements (as he is prone to do) as to what he would do to see the river flowing again.</p>
<p>I find it ironic that those making the loudest noise at the moment are of a liberal persuasion and if there was a change of government in NSW (very possible), Queensland (improbable), Victoria (unlikely) and South Australia (unlikley) but if there was, these same people would find themselves having to deal with liberal/LNP or coalition governments as all of the seats in the Murray-Darling catchment area both federally and statewise have non-labour sitting members. </p>
<p>Can you imagine those governments doing anything about how water is allocated in the upper reaches of the M-D system. It would be electoral suicide on their part if they did. For that reason alone I can&#8217;t see how things are going to improve in the future unless we have a flood of biblical proportions (if such an event indeed did happen).</p>
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		<title>By: Adam in Canberra</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/08/08/advertiser-poll-maywald-on-11-per-cent-in-chaffey/comment-page-1/#comment-176898</link>
		<dc:creator>Adam in Canberra</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Aug 2008 07:29:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/909#comment-176898</guid>
		<description>William, further to your update, you really should change both the title of this thread and your comments on it. If the poll did not ask people whether they would vote for Maywald by name, but only a generic party choice, then the heading &quot;Maywald on 11 per cent in Chaffey&quot; is factually false and misleading. So is the comment that the poll shows &quot;Nationals member Karlene Maywald has suffered a disastrous collapse in support in her Riverland electorate of Chaffey.&quot; It doesn&#039;t show any such thing. What it probably shows is that most Chaffey voters don&#039;t know that Maywald belongs to the Nats, which is actually to her advantage locally.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>William, further to your update, you really should change both the title of this thread and your comments on it. If the poll did not ask people whether they would vote for Maywald by name, but only a generic party choice, then the heading &#8220;Maywald on 11 per cent in Chaffey&#8221; is factually false and misleading. So is the comment that the poll shows &#8220;Nationals member Karlene Maywald has suffered a disastrous collapse in support in her Riverland electorate of Chaffey.&#8221; It doesn&#8217;t show any such thing. What it probably shows is that most Chaffey voters don&#8217;t know that Maywald belongs to the Nats, which is actually to her advantage locally.</p>
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		<title>By: L</title>
		<link>http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/2008/08/08/advertiser-poll-maywald-on-11-per-cent-in-chaffey/comment-page-1/#comment-176872</link>
		<dc:creator>L</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Aug 2008 05:59:57 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://blogs.crikey.com.au/pollbludger/909#comment-176872</guid>
		<description>No argument with that summation, Boerwar.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>No argument with that summation, Boerwar.</p>
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