The latest weekly Essential Research survey (providing a rolling average of results over the previous fortnight) shows Labor’s lead up to 59-41 after a long stretch on 58-42. Also included are leadership approval ratings which provide an interesting point of comparison with Newspoll: Kevin Rudd has 56 per cent approval and 33 per cent disapproval (compared with 59 per cent and 25 per cent in last week’s 56-44 Newspoll), while Brendan Nelson’s ratings are 24 per cent and 51 per cent (compared with 36 per cent and 39 per cent). Breakdowns are provided telling us how much of this approval and disapproval is “strong”, and there are also results on whether Nelson’s party has given him “the support he deserves”, and on the seasonal workers issue.
Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth
Essential Research: 59-41
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554 Comments
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Finns, your parrot here. so glad to finally agree with you on the US election!!
GG, I was mearly alluding to the fact that none of you wankers really know what you are talking about. MY gender has no relation to the fact.
madk,
Please tell us all what it is that you do that justifies your oxygen intake and makes your opinions more superior?
I am sure there is phone booth full of people waiting to see you drop your pants and indulge in one hand blogging.
Essential Research: 59-41
Published by William Bowe at 5:51 pm under Federal Politics
The Fibs have been snookered by their own rhetoric, Oh dear it was Swannie talking about interest rates that made them rise, now it is a “slowing economy” that is causing interest rates to fall.
Talcum – economics 101. You raise interest rates to slow the economy. The RBA has been trying to slow it for 6 or 7 years but the worlds greatest hammock swinger, knowing what should really be done, let the Rat Man try to spend his way to election wins.
I wonder what Rat Man had on Tip, apart from a Squirrel Grip.
madk
hey don’t be calling the pollbludgers wankers! Not nice!
on the Yanks though, as Ted Bullpit would say
“someone should blow the lot of them up”
I have never stated my opinions are more superior to yours GG ,you sanctimonious git . I just put forward my opinion that this is a site for discussion of australian politics not US. politics, and if you wish to discuss the us election there are other sites to do that on. Now i am sure there is a highway service station dunny waiting to hear your first hand experience of how the USA election will be won. I Say again look at the thread title .AUS POLITICS
Madderandmadderk,
In sad news another great stateman of the post war alliance between Australia and the US shreds his mortal coil.
http://www.news.com.au/heraldsun/comments/0,22023,24273937-663,00.html
The Liberals know they’ve been snookered by their own rhetoric on interest rates, in particular their promise to keep them “at record lows”.
Now, rather than show contrition for making promises they could not and had no way of keeping, they are trying to verbal Rudd Labor on grocery prices, petrol prices etc. A couple of weeks ago the Liberal Party homepage (liberal.org.au) was running a Flash animation saying Labor had “promised to reduce prices”.
Of course Rudd did no such thing. No one in their right mind would.
We all know what he said: that Labor would do whatever possible to put downward pressure on prices and inflation.
That’s quite semantically different to “promising to reduce prices” as per the dishonest Liberal ad.
So that’s the Liberals for you. Dishonest when making their own promises. When busted, make dishonest claims about the other side.
PS: The misleading Flash ad is now gone from their homepage.
exactly rx. for all the libs. spin and talk the more is exposed that they where the liars.Costello must know this and he will retire. Did anyone see his face on QT. when swan read out how good the inflation figures where. He knows he is toast.
Me! Me! Me! Hands up me!
Perfectly put, Roy Orbison. Just perfect.
Christian Kerr came close too, the other day. “Costello owns Parliament” (or words to that effect). And all because he sotto voce’d “Blame Game”.
One can only surmise that Little Glenny has fallen off the wagon again recently. What will Mr.s Milne say?
Poor buggers, you do have to feel sorry for them, don’t you?
McCain-Palin.
Milne-Shanahan-Abbot-Costello.
Wishful thinking, billboard size.
Very unfair of the Libs to blame “Poll Bludgers” for the unemployment problem.
http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24277170-12377,00.html
Been away a few hours , see some interest & disinterest shown in electons yonde rof glitz & glitters , and whilst i’ve said nought about it today I’ll plead guilty in advance
Before getting to Turnbull’s history , can suggest that deputy ‘oz’ leaders had little to or from a ticket on stat evidence , and th same is true of USA on actual stat evidence These things ar for media reely to waste timber on and rust ons to talk abouts , but peoples on polling vote on th Leader , there policys and on there opponents
GG , yep agree with you
Socrates , there is a third option that i’ve taken on principal , thats informal
Our toffyiness Turnbull history of dealing and wheeling , there is a excellent book on Kerry Pavcker for those interested inwhich our Malcolms gets a number of cameo appearances as Consolidated senior exec , then lawyer for Kerry then with tourang & Faifax takeovers etc
now as some know am not impressed with most USA media (either ‘left’ or right’ as they’re very biased for left or right , about equal to my views on there shallow pollies) but we hav unlike USA some good journos and th writer of book of th ‘rise and ris of Kerry Packer uncut’ is written by paul barry this guy was reporter on 4 corners , then hosted Media Watch then some CA on 7 , then reporter on ACA & 60 min and i like his works , 600 page book Note that ‘uncut’ is he wrote a similar book wwhen packer was alive & Packer threatened many defamations but with Kerry gone afar now , most of those defams stuff doesn’t allow so its now ‘uncut’
So guys tell th pretty lady that fathers day on sunday would be better with a book than a lawn mower , and Vera shout yourself a presi
Ron i have never interacted with you online but i was accused of being you yesterday on a silly us site. some people just believe they are right no matter what.
Will do Ron, cheers!
I see the Fibs are having yet another do in honour of the Rodent on friday in canberra. Smirk ain’t gunna be there, what a surprise!
But I mean when’s it going to end, seems they throw a gig for him every other month.
Talk about living in the past.
hey Greensborough Growler I feel a song coming on….Memories
@1
It’s called reprioritising. Rudd Labor has cut waste from the last Howard/Costello budget, to allow Labor to invest tens of billions of dollars in the education, health, and infrastructure funds. The $6b in taxes the Libs are going to block will reduce the budget surplus from $22b to $15b, something you don’t really want to do – but we can thank the Libs for leaving the incoming government with inflation running at 16-year highs, and a dozen interest rate rises giving Australia the second-highest interest rates in the developed world, despite promising to keep interest rates at “record lows” at the prior election.
And BTW, welcome back
It is amazing that the libs are lauding a loser, current destroyer of the Liberal Party Howard. Although they are probably thanking him for that great $1m tax free Superannuation gift they all received over 12 months ago.
Bill,
Great point. Some on this site are so consumed by what is happening in Australia. However, the fact is our interest rates were very high vis a vis our competitors and this was because of our relatively high inflation.
If Rudd and co can lance this demon now it will facilitate future investment in those important priorities you listed.
ruawake @54 :
Now thats funny.!
“Ron…but i was accused of being you yesterday on a silly US site.”
So to th USA unwanted infamy spreads , most people’s fame spreads expedentially on there popularity , mine is going in reverse…..I mean I wouldn’t mind if there were any royalties in it for me & William to hav a slab & wine on
Actualy there seems strange movement at th station , term ‘obamabot’ is a kindly term that admittedly I’d used numerous times on Pollbludger earlier in year , but according to a PB th Age Paper circulation 500,000 apparently subsequently said that ‘obamabot’ had been invented by a blogger ‘Ron’ , but no royalty cheques hav come from that either , typical capitalists never pay up
I’m allowing US election talk for the time being, if only because I’m too preoccupied to stop it, so I’m afraid the naysayers are going to have to put up with it.
yep lets keep our surplus in the bank so rich investors can make money out of it. Captured by financial investors and Mr Murray from the Commonwealth Bank who will invest the money in the sharemarket and currency markets..
Has anyone ever mentioned how much our treasury has lost doing this and it is taxpayers money.
Why do we need a surplus?
What happened to borrowing??? And bonds….
Economic ratiionalist nonsense yet again.
Yep Bill one day we will spend the money but when i ask.. Oh i forgot an election is due in eighteen months and it no doubt will be then.
Meanwhile we go without.
#51, I will NOT allow the Republican to claim the FIRST female POTUS.
I will say it again and again, like a parrot. It is all the fault of Obama. If only this little petulant twit has the manner and patience to wait a little longer and not disturb the mandate from heaven, none of this would have happened.
The best candidate is not even in the race, so i simply opting for the lesser of the two evils.
‘Hands up those who felt strangely unclean after reading Glenn Milne’s piece today? ”
Mines piece was quite critical of Costello, virtually said if he doesn’t step up to the plate it justifies Howards assessment of him not being up to it.
It is pretty clear now that the Libs are hopeless atm.
How long before Turnbull calls on the leadership challenge?
Nelson is dead man walking, all the lib heavyweights are lined up behind the deadman talking called Costello. Abbott is the dead man sqwaking and just demonstrates the futility of the Libs game plan.
The strategy is to keep Turnbull from the leadership. At what stage does he say, “Sod it, I’m the only one that can lead you rabble and take them on”.
If he wins he snatches the leadership.
If he loses, he goes to the backbench and waits for the call.
Does anyone believe that Nelson will lead the Libs in to the next election?
Rod
Is thos th same Glen Milne who in front of TV camera’s drunkedly boarded th Press Clubs Awards stage wishing to punch someone in nose , or ar there two of them with equal credibility
Thinking of Cossie’s economic manager’s alleged credibility , think office of finance under his watch may hav lost almost a billion or so in early 2000’s from memory on currency swaps , if so then that CV would not look good applying for a Public company Board job
Actualy , think they incurred initial currency swap losses , and then may hav breached there own fonance dept guidelines on levels trying to recove there losses and in fact increased them , that would make his CV better than my last post
GG,
No way Nelson will lead them to the next election.
Eventually Minchin and co will wake up to their essential choice: a loss under Turnbull that maintains the Coalition’s HoR representation at say 55-60, versus a loss under Nelson (or Abbott or even Bishop) that is a complete wipe-out. It’s not a hard decision.
Costello is not a starter and has never been a starter in my view. He said so on 25/11/07 and significantly he has never contradicted this.
I reckon all this stuffing around is about maximising interest in his book, which paints him in a very poor light.
Dyno,
The Libs always think they are in with a chance. Don’t disagree with your points about the machinations.
However, to win the leadership, Turnbull will have to make his own luck.
Eventually, the polls will have to be reflected in the Lib party room. Otherwise they are gone.
If I were Putin, I would find a pocketful of Alaskan natives [They include Inupiat, Yupik, Aleut, and several Native American peoples, including Tlingit, Haida, Tsimshian, Eyak, and a number of Northern Athabaskan peoples]
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alaska_Natives
and get them to pledge allegiance to the old Czar Emperor at the time Alaska was sold to the USA for $9m. Give them Russian passports and then claimed that the Yanks have been doing ethnic cleaning of the old Czar subjects. Send troops across the Bering Strait to Alaska to protect the Russian citizens. This will really test the security credential of Obama and Michael Palin.
Finnigans,
Surely there must be a less complicated way to start WW III?
Dyno, at least it is fun ala Monty Python. This is how the POTUS election is looking to me now. It is frightening to think the most powerful position in the world has been turned into a joke.
Nelson on Lateline… this should be a hoot
Nelson is on LL
Did anyone see Four Corners tonight regarding the market power of Woolworths and Coles? I was a bit surprised by Graeme Samuels reaction to some evidence of supermarket leases that have clauses excluding any other competitor within 100 metres or for ten years or more (!!). Is that legal? Its not my field but I thought that would be a clear restraint of trade under the Trade Practices Act? Does anyone know?
If my suspicion is correct, why did Samuels merely say he was “very concerned”? What does concern have to do with it? If it is legal, his view is irrelevant. If it is illegal, then it is Samuel’s job to prosecute and prevent it. Surely it must be one or the other? Concern shouldn’t enter into it. Can someone advise on this please?
Socrates
It is legal. It’s basically the only restraint of trade contract which is legal. It has to be reasonable though, so you can’t stop a competitor moving in indefinitely. It’s pretty hard to challenge successfully.
There’s gotta be a few lawyers here but that’s my bush lawyers advice.
Vera, amigos GG & Ronnie,
a song, very tropical, for you:
http://au.youtube.com/watch?v=lICk_uPAPfg
Nice one Finns.
Dio
Thanks. In that case our Trade Practices Act is a piece of crap that needs rewriting. I can think of at least two other countries I am familiar with through work (Canada and Austria) where that sort of condition would be illegal. Not surprisingly,
I have to say I found Samuels answers in the show very dissappointing. On several similar issues he didn’t say “this is a problem but its difficult to act in this case for legal reason X..”. He said that he saw no evidence of a problem, based purely on a macro-economic viewpoint. That just isn’t adequate. Anyone familiar with the ABS regional production figures would know that they are very weak and don’t reveal much about the structures of industries or the way they operate.
The Gun of Sarah Palin:
http://www.latimes.com/media/photo/2008-08/41999285.jpg
Samuels was pretty lame, wasn’t he?
Go Aldi!
89 TF – expect many many more such photos and out there statements of Palin to be found.
What about Nelson on Lateline?
“People have been underestimating me for 20 years”
No wonder. He tells the Reserve Bank to lower rates by 50 basis points. He belives in climate change, but not in Australia (re Murray Darling).
What a lightweight! The bloke is totally useless. And Turnbull, I can assure you, is just as bad.
Curly = Cossie
Larry = Allbull
Mo = Brenda
Finns @ 81,
Here’s a thought for you though: is Palin any scarier than the current crew?
I’m not sure, I’m still pondering this.
Why on Earth was Nelson at a forum named “Mastering Complexity”? Shouldn’t he be at a forum called “Stuffing up simplicity”?
And Rudd should go to one called “Making Simple Things Sound Complex”.
Is that thing dead?
No Dyno, Rudd would be at one called “Making Simple Things Sound, now if I take the first part of the statement second, and taking into account the second part first, can I begin by reiterating what I said in an eerlier response that it may in fact be Complex”
Another gate to add to the gate farm
Troopergate could dog Palin on campaign
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20080901/ap_on_el_pr/cvn_palin_troopergate;_ylt=AtSpB9QuTD4O1wj2lrTzdEtsnwcF
Does anyone know when Nelson received his Ph.D. in hydrology?
Was it during the Olympics? I must of missed it.
Finns – Have you seen this one?
Her T-shirt says “I may be broke but I’m not flat busted.”
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/08/31/sarah-palin-photos-a-bust_n_122816.html
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