Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Liberal leadership: round two

Brendan Nelson has thrown the Liberal leadership open to a party room vote tomorrow morning. A source quoted by the ABC calls the move a “suicide mission” and “predicts Malcolm Turnbull has the numbers to take the leadership”. Nelson defeated Turnbull in the first round five days after the November 24 election by 45 votes to 42.

520 Comments

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  1. 101
    Spam Inbox
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:45 pm | Permalink

    Also is the deputy job going to be up for a vote??? I hope Julie wins but Fat Tony may get it or Robb.

    Robb is a clever guy, they could do worse.

  2. 102
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:45 pm | Permalink

    I just love this. Brenda or Turnbull or Abbott or Hockey. WGAF because it will solve nothing as long as Cossie is still there smirking.

    The Fibs will still sit there with their month open waiting for Godot Cossie.

    Cossie’s revenge, how sweet it is.

  3. 103
    Glen
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:45 pm | Permalink

    Nelson is either a genius for doing this or a fool. We’ll know when we get the results of the ballot tomorrow morning.

    This means Turnbull and Abbott havent had time to canive and sort out who’d get what, and Nelson could look decisive and like a leader by doing this.

    Either way a spill was going to happen, Nelson has done it when he still thinks he can win it.

  4. 104
    juliem
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:46 pm | Permalink

    GP @97, never say never ….. (from the Melbourne Herald Sun) “Deputy Liberal leader Julie Bishop has not indicated she plans to stand aside from her position.

    However, during tomorrow’s meeting, one of her colleagues could call for a spill of the position.

    The matter would have to go to the vote.

    A spokesman said Ms Bishop was not making any comment tonight. “

  5. 105
    Generic Person
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:48 pm | Permalink

    No 101

    He’s caught the two most likely contenders totally off guard: Costello and Turnbull.

    Costello was busy backstabbing and saying that he wasn’t spineless. Now he has to prove it.

    Turnbull has been on an Italian siesta in Venice and hasn’t canvassed support.

    Tomorrow morning shall be interesting.

  6. 106
    Max
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:49 pm | Permalink

    *sigh*

    Oh well. At least I didn’t fence sit. And I still have my hat!!

  7. 107
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:49 pm | Permalink

    GP I agree it’s a good surprise move – unless it is to counter a “surprise” move by Turnbull that he got wind of.

  8. 108
    mogfeatures
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:50 pm | Permalink

    Perhaps the real Malcolm will be revealed when he won’t have to embarrass himself any more by waffling along in support of the untenable and the hopeless. And with a bit of intellect up front, perhaps there will not be the same need for his colleagues’ confected rage and childish stunts.

  9. 109
    James J
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:51 pm | Permalink

    I recall Beazley did a similar thing in December 2006. That turned out well for him.

    Guess it just hastens the inevitable

  10. 110
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:51 pm | Permalink

    Ok, if Turnbull wins who gets shadow Treasury, and what will Nelson do?

  11. 111
    Generic Person
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:51 pm | Permalink

    No 106

    Mog, we saw plenty of stunts from Labor over the last 12 years. Remember ease the squeeze, ladder of opportunity, whingeing bitching Simon, bomber the waffler?

  12. 112
    Cuppa
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:53 pm | Permalink

    Malcolm in the Middle.

  13. 113
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:53 pm | Permalink

    This is Brendan’s Maxwell Smart trick to take the attention away from his failure to produce his private member bill on the Pension Increase today. good thinking 99.

  14. 114
    Generic Person
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:54 pm | Permalink

    No 111

    1. The private member bill is unconstitutional in the lower house.
    2. It is constitutional in the upper house.

  15. 115
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:54 pm | Permalink

    Turnbull is definately in:
    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24350022-601,00.html

  16. 116
    ShowsOn
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:57 pm | Permalink

    Since we’re on a path of disrespecting politicians by calling them infantile names, I shall refer to Mr Rudd as Krudd, Ms Wong as Pong, Garrett as Terrets and Swan as Dill.

    No, please don’t! It hurts too much!

  17. 117
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:58 pm | Permalink

    GP,

    The private member bill is unconstitutional in the lower house.

    my point exactly

  18. 118
    ShowsOn
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:58 pm | Permalink

    2. It is constitutional in the upper house.

    This is wrong. You can’t initiate an appropriation bill in the Senate; it is unconstitutional.

  19. 119
    Generic Person
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 8:59 pm | Permalink

    No 115

    If the Coalition introduces it in the upper house, it will easily get the support of the two independents and the Greens.

  20. 120
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:00 pm | Permalink

    116 GP – that is old news now.

  21. 121
    Generic Person
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:03 pm | Permalink

    Apologies. My bad.

  22. 122
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:05 pm | Permalink

    On Sky news news, Spears says Tony Smith and Mitch Fifield support Nelson. Apparently Smith voted for Turnbull in Novemebr.

    Also apparently Smith and Fifield both worked for Costello in the past…

  23. 123
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:06 pm | Permalink

    118 lol. Well I guess if Nelson gets up it’s still alive.

    I have to say I don’t agree with you on Costello challenging. I think he’s resigned (at least for the moment) to being the power behind the thrown (such that it is).

  24. 124
    Nate The Great
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:07 pm | Permalink

    The more I think about it, the more I think Nelson is doing this because of Costello, not Turnbull. Costello not resigning and refusing to give a definite answer re: a leadership challenge has forced Nelson to do something he hasn’t done for 10 months, show leadership.

  25. 125
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:09 pm | Permalink

    Failing leaders often call this particular stunt and it rarely benefits them.

  26. 126
    Dario
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:10 pm | Permalink

    I just love that it interrupts Costello flogging his book. Beautiful timing by Nelson (intentional I hope).

  27. 127
    Diogenes
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:11 pm | Permalink

    It’s called a “Hail Mary” pass in American football.

  28. 128
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:11 pm | Permalink

    Does anyone know of the list of how people voted last time?

  29. 129
    Generic Person
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:13 pm | Permalink

    No 125

    Even if he loses the leadership, Nelson has done the right thing. If he was destined to lose the job, it would be pointless continuing on when he clearly lacked the support of his party and of the public.

  30. 130
    Diogenes
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:13 pm | Permalink

    Dario

    It’s REALLY going to piss off Costello. If he doesn’t challenge now, that stuff about him having ticker etc will never fly. If he does challenge and lose, he’s even more of an embarrassment than ever. If he challenges and wins, he’s stuck in a job he doesn’t want with a now irrelevant book. :D

  31. 131
    Glen
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:15 pm | Permalink

    I guess, but Nelson figures he’d win sooner rather than later against Malcolm.

    James J is right about Beazley, when a floundering leader is flopping about in the boat someone is going to eventually bop it.

    What could Nelson do though if he loses?

    Well i suppose Robb would take Treasury and Nelson would either sit on the backbench or get Foreign Affairs.

  32. 132
    Generic Person
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:15 pm | Permalink

    No 130

    It shouldn’t really annoy Costello. After all, he has let the rumours fly and allowed the speculation to continue since November last year.

  33. 133
    Generic Person
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:16 pm | Permalink

    No 132

    Nelson could get health given his ministerial an vocational experience.

  34. 134
    Glen
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:17 pm | Permalink

    Who has health now?

  35. 135
    The Finnigans
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:18 pm | Permalink

    Diog, i heard Cossie’s wife said something like this on AM or RN this morning: “Cossie is a man of his words. So people should take his words that he is not interested in the Fibs Leadership”. If he goes against his own words, he aint got no place to hide.

  36. 136
    Generic Person
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:18 pm | Permalink

    Joe Hockey

  37. 137
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:18 pm | Permalink

    yeah Robb to treasury would make some sense (I don’t think much of him, but most think he’s wasted in foreign affairs).

  38. 138
    Harry "Snapper" Organs
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:19 pm | Permalink

    GP back @ 88. Keep up that attitude. It’s doing wonders for you. That you would think you can simply appear here and expect automatic respect for a party and fortunately ex-government that has done so much damage, on balance, as opposed to good things for the country, speaks volumes about your comprehension of both the people who post here, and political process in Australia.

  39. 139
    fredn
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:19 pm | Permalink

    I’ve been googleing to try and find the answer. Please, why is Brendon called emo man?

  40. 140
    Generic Person
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:19 pm | Permalink

    No 135

    Yes, Fin but he failed to completely rule out a challenge which to my mind indicates he may still challenge.

  41. 141
    Dario
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:20 pm | Permalink

    It shouldn’t really annoy Costello. After all, he has let the rumours fly and allowed the speculation to continue since November last year.

    Except that everything was in his control with that. Now that he has his book planned for release Nelson comes along and upstages him. Yeah, he’ll be pissed off all right.

  42. 142
    Glen
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:21 pm | Permalink

    The question is whether the other job Deputy will be spilled. If Turnbull wins I suspect it will be spilled, though Julie would be favourite to win given the Sarah Palin hype at the moment.

  43. 143
    Generic Person
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:22 pm | Permalink

    No 138

    Harry, I’m sorry but the fact that you consider the majority of the Howard Government constituted heinous damage to Australia automatically rules out any impartiality you might think you have.

    The fact that government is voted out is not a rejection of everything they did. If you think otherwise, you are very much mistaken.

  44. 144
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:22 pm | Permalink

    Colin Barnett said was retiring, now he’s premier. I think if Costello changed his mind the Libs would be happy to forgive him. (What the public might think is a different matter).

  45. 145
    Generic Person
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:23 pm | Permalink

    No 142

    How about Wilson Tuckey for Leader. :D

    He’d smash a hole through Rudd’s ego.

  46. 146
    Glen
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:23 pm | Permalink

    It didnt seem to hurt Colin, did it. But the Libs were coming off Sniff’s leadership, anybody would do better after that.

  47. 147
    Dario
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:23 pm | Permalink

    automatically rules out any impartiality you might think you have

    but not impartial ol’ you lol

  48. 148
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:24 pm | Permalink

    139 fredo – because he is so into being overly dramatic about things

  49. 149
    Nate The Great
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:24 pm | Permalink

    Not putting the Deputy’s job up for a vote is actually a clever move from Nelson (didn’t think he was capable of it). Reason being, if the Turnbull-Abbott* rumors are true, it would secure Bishop’s WA bloc.

    * Maybe the deal was won an agreement to make George Pell the 1st President of Oz?

  50. 150
    Cuppa
    Posted Monday, September 15, 2008 at 9:25 pm | Permalink

    Flashback:

    The Age, 22 July 2007

    federal Treasurer Peter Costello yesterday ruled out a leadership challenge to Prime Minister John Howard before the election.

    "I think we have already (ruled it out), officially, unofficially, on the record, off the record," Mr Costello said

    http://www.theage.com.au/news/national/no-hunger-for-the-lodge/2007/07/21/1184560109135.html

    The story, by the way, is titled “No hunger for the Lodge”.

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