Comments on: Wild west wash-up

By: goat

goat — Wed, 01 Oct 2008 22:23:54 +0000

Just wondering if anyone knows how serious the ALP is about challenging the result in Riverton?

By: Michael Gorey

Michael Gorey — Fri, 26 Sep 2008 09:12:28 +0000

Adam (226), most people thought the redistribution made it impossible for the Nats to win a WA federal seat, but based on the state performance I think you’re right.

Even if Tuckey and Haase stay on, they’ll have to face new electorates and they won’t find it easy.

Tuckey would rather retire than be beaten by a Nat.

By: Adam in Canberra

Adam in Canberra — Fri, 26 Sep 2008 03:27:24 +0000

The new strength for the WA Nats will make both federal Kalgoorlie and O’Connor interesting in 2010 (or maybe 2009). Tuckey will presumably be made to retire (he looked quite senile this week with his angry points of order), and Haase may go as well. The Nats haven’t won a Reps seat in WA since 1972 but this will be their best chance for a long time.

By: Bird of paradox

Bird of paradox — Thu, 25 Sep 2008 13:45:25 +0000

Ooo, interesting. I picked Kalgoorlie to be either ALP/Ind or Lib/Ind, with Bowler maybe winning – didn’t pick the Nat. Makes it doubly impossible to figure out a swing… it’s gone from Lib/ALP to Ind/Nat, both parties changing. When’s the last time that happened?

By the way, the ABC site’s gone bung for Alfred Cove. Apparently, Woollard had a 38.8% swing, to end up with 92.8% 2PP. 7.2% for the Liberal… a bit rough considering he got 43% of the vote. The Greens must’ve been doing very funky things with preferences…

By: Michael Gorey

Michael Gorey — Thu, 25 Sep 2008 12:50:23 +0000

Just noticed that after the final distribution of preferences the Nats came a close second in three lower house seats in the Mining and Pastoral district.

Independent (Bowler) won Kalgoorlie ahead of Nats by 3.59%. Did anyone else pick Labor and Liberal to finish out of the top two in that seat?

Liberal (Jacobs) won Eyre by 3.64% ahead of the Nats and Labor (Stephens) won Pilbara from the Nats by 3.55%.

By any measure the campaign tactics of Brendon Grylls were a remarkable success and he led the Nats close to winning eight lower house seats.

By: William Bowe

William Bowe — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 12:50:05 +0000

Eric Ripper explained on Russell Woolf’s show that McGowan had been omitted from the press release announcing the shadow cabinet, if anyone’s still interested.

By: Frank Calabrese

Frank Calabrese — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 10:11:34 +0000

I note they’ve updated the WA Govt website to include the new Ministry and note the formality of the email addresses.

http://www.premier.wa.gov.au/Minister.html

eg:e-Mail: Minister.Hames@dpc.wa.gov.au

I’m pretty sure the previous government had first name.surname@dpc.wa.gov.au

Yep, the email guidelines of Department of Premiewr & Cabinet do favour the previous govt’s standard.

http://www.egov.wa.gov.au/index.cfm?event=emailNamingStandards

Talk about changing of the guard.

By: Frank Calabrese

Frank Calabrese — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 09:09:22 +0000

Good post William, but somehow you’ll b e accused of being an ALP Stooge and/or Staffer

Bob, a "safe" seat is one that's safe from the other major party. These seats are actually the ones that are most at threat from non-major party predators: witness Churchlands, Alfred Cove and very nearly Kwinana. If Fremantle had nearly fallen to the Liberals, then you'd have a point.

Posted by: William Bowe of 4:41pm today
Comment 7 of 7

By: William Bowe

William Bowe — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 08:40:08 +0000

Besides which, a “safe” seat is one that’s safe from the other major party. These seats are actually the ones that are most at threat from non-major predators: witness Churchlands, Alfred Cove and very nearly Kwinana. If Fremantle had nearly fallen to the Liberals, then “Bob of Perth” would have a point.

By: Bird of paradox

Bird of paradox — Wed, 24 Sep 2008 08:37:30 +0000

I always love the PN comments… who says Mark ‘Sneakers’ McGowan, anyway?

Also, this:

In fact, McGinty almost lost the safest Labor seat in Australia to the Greens - Fremantle!

Hmm. Lakemba, Ramsay, Broadmeadows, Lalor, Girrawheen, Nollamara… etc. Not sure where Bob of Perth gets his stuff from, but I think it’s time to change dealers.