Reflections on the Miracle of Democracy at Work in the Greatest Nation on Earth

Essential Research: 57-43

The latest Essential Research survey has Labor’s lead down from 58-42 to 57-43, remembering that this is a two-week rolling average which was half conducted before Malcolm Turnbull replaced Brendan Nelson. Also included (just from the last week’s sample) are various questions on leadership and one on industrial relations (45 per cent think the government moving “too slowly”).

762 Comments

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  1. 451
    Generic Person
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:43 pm | Permalink

    No 448

    Because Telstra doesn’t want to face more competition.

    Nonsense. Terria, one of the major consortium’s bidding on the National Broadband Network is seeking a protected monopoly to stop anyone competing with their investment should they win the tender. Telstra is not seeking one.

    So instead they just don’t let other companies access things like their Foxtel cable network, which should be open to competition.

    News Flash: Optus has had a competing HFC cable network for the same amount of time. The ACCC need not intervene where there is already infrastructure competition.

    In reality your idea is that Telstra should do all the investment, but let everyone else leech of the network. Sorry, but not only is that absurd, it’s not even real competition because everyone would simply compete on price rather than on innovation and new services.

    Thank you for supporting my point.

    I don’t support your point because it’s arrant nonsense.

    They shouldn’t OWN the exchanges.

    Yes they should. Telstra shareholders paid for them.

    If they didn’t they wouldn’t be able to hold other ISPs to ransom.

    More rubbish. All the ISPs below Telstra, particularly iiNet, Internode and Optus, are experiencing massive growth.

    The idea that they’re being held to ransom just isn’t supported by the reality.

  2. 452
    Dario
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:44 pm | Permalink

    scorpio, it’s the narrowing…

  3. 453
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:44 pm | Permalink

    The Libs introduce a GST (”T” standing for “legalised theft”) on just about everything, along with ShowsOn’s list and Labor “enjoys legalising theft” even more than the Libs? Is this man serious?

  4. 454
    Generic Person
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:46 pm | Permalink

    and Labor “enjoys legalising theft” even more than the Libs?

    It does, because it’s principal argument for the recent tax increases is that the Liberals introduced them.

  5. 455
    Generic Person
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:47 pm | Permalink

    No 454

    Its not it’s.

  6. 456
    Generic Person
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:48 pm | Permalink

    No 451

    consortiums/consortia not consortium’s

  7. 457
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:48 pm | Permalink

    Gp -Oh, that explains it then. What are you talking about?

  8. 458
    Generic Person
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:50 pm | Permalink

    No 452

    Dario when is the first debate?

  9. 459
    Dario
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:51 pm | Permalink

    Dario when is the first debate?

    Friday night US time I think… Sat morning for us. Should be on ABC TV.

  10. 460
    Generic Person
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:53 pm | Permalink

    No 457

    The ALP enjoys stealing from people more so than the previous government, otherwise we’d have a better argument underpinning the tax increases (LCT, alcopops etc) than “well, the Libs introduced them”. Oh, so that makes it all better….

    If Rudd and Swan were serious, they’d abolish these dumb taxes (yes, dumb, even though Cossie introduced them), and actually walk the walk on their “root and branch” reform of the system.

  11. 461
    Dario
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:54 pm | Permalink

    Debate screening info

    http://www.abc.net.au/corp/pubs/media/s2369375.htm

  12. 462
    Generic Person
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:56 pm | Permalink

    No 461

    Cheers Dario.

  13. 463
    Dario
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:57 pm | Permalink

    The ALP enjoys stealing from people more so than the previous government, otherwise we’d have a better argument underpinning the tax increases (LCT, alcopops etc) than “well, the Libs introduced them”. Oh, so that makes it all better….

    So giving $30b tax in income cuts while raising other taxes only by a billion somehow means this government taxes more than the previous one? You need to check your maths GP.

  14. 464
    Dario
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:58 pm | Permalink

    $30b tax in income cuts

    that should have read ‘$30b in income tax cuts’

  15. 465
    jonsson
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 10:59 pm | Permalink

    GP

    The Labor Government’s tax take as a % of GDP fell by a full percentage point in this year’s budget, so even it it true what you say that the ALP enjoys stealing from people, they do so to a lesser extent than the former government: 06/07 26.6%, 07/08 26.9%, 08/09 25.9%.

  16. 466
    Gary Bruce
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 11:01 pm | Permalink

    Let me get this straight GP, because the Libs introduced a “legalised theft” and Labor wants to increase or decrease it (Medicare levy for some) that means Labor “enjoys legalising theft” even more than the Libs who introduced the GST as wellas that tax in the first place. I don’t get it.

  17. 467
    Generic Person
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 11:03 pm | Permalink

    No 465

    This is getting boring. Who cares.

  18. 468
    ShowsOn
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 11:04 pm | Permalink

    There seems to be huge volatility. Early last week McCain was up by 20 E.C. votes according to this:
    http://www.pollster.com/

    Now he’s trailing by over 60. It seems that the bad economy is working for Obama, which makes sense, last time there was a Democrat in the White House the budget was balanced, and the economy was actually growing. And of course Democratic administrations going back to the 1930s produce – on average – higher economic growth than Republican administrations. Curiously, Republican administrations on average spend more than Democrats.
    http://articles.latimes.com/2005/apr/03/opinion/oe-kinsley3

  19. 469
    scorpio
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 11:05 pm | Permalink

    {Dario when is the first debate?}

    GP, what happened to Google.

    Not getting lazy again are you?

  20. 470
    ShowsOn
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 11:07 pm | Permalink

    The ALP enjoys stealing from people more so than the previous government,

    This is wrong. The tax to GDP ratio of this years budget shows a reduction compared to the last budget of the previous government. Therefore, by your absurd standards, the previous government enjoys stealing more than the current government.

    This is getting boring. Who cares.

    I think a process of self-reflexivity has occurred!

  21. 471
    ShowsOn
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 11:11 pm | Permalink

    I still can’t believe Fielding voted to keep a tax on middle class families, even after an extra $600 million has already been put into public hospitals.

    I hope the Victorian ALP refuse to do any deals with him at the next election. In fact, they should go out of their way making voters aware that he voted to retain such a stupid tax on families who aren’t rich.

  22. 472
    PAAPTSEF
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 11:14 pm | Permalink

    Hello!

    “The previous government also introduced, wait for it, the luxury car TAX! (25%)

    They also introduced the wine equalisation tax

    They also introduced a 1 cent per litre tax on every litre of milk as compensation for industry deregulation.

    They also introduced a tax on imported ethanol!”

    Not to mention

    the electricity delivery tax
    the plumber tax
    the water delivery tax
    the motel tax
    the telephone provider tax
    the electrician tax
    the hot but not cold chicken tax
    the heater repair tax
    the internet provider tax
    the concreter tax
    the roofer tax
    the computer repair tax
    the air conditioner repair tax
    the carpenter tax
    the cable guy tax
    the builder tax
    the brickie tax
    the interior decorator tax
    the carwash tax
    the dogwash tax
    the hogwash tax
    the all the services I cant think of at the moment tax
    and of course, the tax on tax

  23. 473
    dyno
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 11:15 pm | Permalink

    ShowsOn,
    It’s not just about the money. You also have to turn the money into doctors, nurses and facilities.
    Not sure how much I trust such glorious institutions as the NSW Health Department to be able to do that.

  24. 474
    Generic Person
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 11:15 pm | Permalink

    ShowsOn, I note you’ve admitted defeat by not continuing to debate broadband. :)

  25. 475
    ShowsOn
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 11:25 pm | Permalink

    ShowsOn,
    It’s not just about the money. You also have to turn the money into doctors, nurses and facilities.

    Sure, but I think the public health system will work better with $600 million going in, rather than the previous decade which saw $1 billion in real terms taken out.

    ShowsOn, I note you’ve admitted defeat by not continuing to debate broadband. :)

    Oh so sorry! You were BORING me, so I no longer CARED.

    I was going to reply to it in detail, but I read this:

    They shouldn’t OWN the exchanges.

    GP: Yes they should. Telstra shareholders paid for them.

    I couldn’t stop laughing, because most of Telstra’s phone exchanges were actually paid for by Australian TAXPAYERS, using money appropriated out of general revenue when Telstra was called P.M.G, and later Telecom Australia.

  26. 476
    MayoFeral
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 11:27 pm | Permalink

    ShowsOn @ 467 -

    And of course Democratic administrations going back to the 1930s produce – on average – higher economic growth than Republican administrations. Curiously, Republican administrations on average spend more than Democrats.

    So do the Libs. Both have this carefully crafted image of being the parties of small government, low taxes, and all round fiscal conservative superior economic managers, but in reality they are the exact opposite.

    Unfortunately, the Big Lie technique really does work, especially when their oppositions are regularly plagued by bad economic luck. For example, almost all of the problems Labor faced in the late 1980s/early 90s can be attributed by the disastrous Savings and Loans debacle created in large measure by that spendthrift Reagan. Sadly, it looks like Labor is again falling victim to the stupidity/culpability of another Republican President.

    It is no coincidence that the Great Depression, the Savings and Loans recession and the current crisis all occurred during long periods of Republican occupation of the White House.

  27. 477
    ShowsOn
    Posted Wednesday, September 24, 2008 at 11:39 pm | Permalink

    So do the Libs. Both have this carefully crafted image of being the parties of small government, low taxes, and all round fiscal conservative superior economic managers, but in reality they are the exact opposite.

    Yes, that’s why the Liberals have created this myth about “managing the economy”. The economy extensively manages itself, but they have to pretend they manage it so they have something to talk about. I mean they aren’t good at talking about productivity, innovation, climate change policy, education, health. So they just talk about the economy as a kind of abstract end in itself, rather than a means of creating a fairer society.

    For example, almost all of the problems Labor faced in the late 1980s/early 90s can be attributed by the disastrous Savings and Loans debacle created in large measure by that spendthrift Reagan.

    Of course the Liberals never mention that almost every other developed country went into recession in the early 1990s. After internationalising our economy in the 80s, how exactly were we to avoid the same fate? I think one of the reasons we are still growing well is because we had a central bank willing to jack up rates to control inflation induced – in part – by the Liberal re-election spending spree. In the U.S. they did the absolute opposite, they kept interest rates ridiculously low to keep the gravy train moving.

    Reagan wasn’t that much of a spend thrift. When he started as president U.S. debt was about $70 billion, when he left it was around $150 billion. George W Bush has just taken Reagan’s spending policies to an absurd level.

    It is no coincidence that the Great Depression, the Savings and Loans recession and the current crisis all occurred during long periods of Republican occupation of the White House.

    To be fair, one of the main reasons behind the 1929 crash was the U.S. unilaterally increasing tariffs, which resulted in other countries doing the same in retaliation. That threat to free trade killed investment, profits, and ultimately employment.

  28. 478
    Generic Person
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 12:00 am | Permalink

    I couldn’t stop laughing, because most of Telstra’s phone exchanges were actually paid for by Australian TAXPAYERS, using money appropriated out of general revenue when Telstra was called P.M.G, and later Telecom Australia.

    Irrelevant. Telstra shareholders paid $60 billion to taxpayers in order to take ownership of those exchanges. That they were built by PMG no longer matters, and if you still think it does then you have no understanding of property rights.

  29. 479
    Generic Person
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 12:09 am | Permalink

    So they just talk about the economy as a kind of abstract end in itself, rather than a means of creating a fairer society.

    If the purpose of the economy is to create a fairer society, then why do you proclaim that it extensively manages itself? The reason why socialists intervene is because they think they can make it fairer.

  30. 480
    ShowsOn
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 12:36 am | Permalink

    If the purpose of the economy is to create a fairer society, then why do you proclaim that it extensively manages itself?

    Because the word extensively doesn’t mean completely.

    The reason why socialists intervene is because they think they can make it fairer.

    Socialism is dead. Move on.

  31. 481
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 12:39 am | Permalink

    A few other polls out showing Obama leads.
    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/

    Seems to be a daily occurence now – a slow but steady drift.

  32. 482
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 12:40 am | Permalink

    wrong thread

  33. 483
    ShowsOn
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 12:41 am | Permalink

    YAY! Federal government to abolish the milk industry deregulation TAX imposed by the legalised thieves / socialists in the Liberal and National parties:

    http://www.news.com.au/adelaidenow/story/0,22606,24398885-5006301,00.html

  34. 484
    ShowsOn
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 12:42 am | Permalink

    Seems to be a daily occurence now - a slow but steady drift.

    It’s the economy, stupid.

  35. 485
    Greensborough Growler
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 12:44 am | Permalink

    Who you gonna call,

    Ghostbusters!

  36. 486
    Dario
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 12:48 am | Permalink

    YAY! Federal government to abolish the milk industry deregulation TAX imposed by the legalised thieves / socialists in the Liberal and National parties:

    GP will have to find an interesting new way of opposing this removal of ‘legalised theft’…

  37. 487
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 12:53 am | Permalink

    I get the feeling that Fielding voted against the Medicare levy bill simply because he could. I think his reasons are nonsense. The people he is talking about would be the ones eager to get out of the damn things anyway. And of course the reverse never happened, we never saw premiums go down.

    The danger with independents is if all they want to do is get their names mentioned to attract voter attention. And we have seen that already with Fielding’s stripper with the pensioners stunt. It is a position of all care but no responsibility.

    Senate blocks Medicare levy bill
    “Family First voted against the Government’s change to the Medicare surcharge levy thresholds because it would impact and hit lower income families very hard when they renew their health insurance,” he said.
    http://www.abc.net.au/news/stories/2008/09/24/2373504.htm

  38. 488
    ShowsOn
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 12:54 am | Permalink

    GP will have to find an interesting new way of opposing this removal of ‘legalised theft’…

    He considers luxury cars a necessity, and milk a luxury. So I’m sure he opposes this policy.

  39. 489
    Greensborough Growler
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 12:55 am | Permalink

    Not Dead Yet!

    Read between the lines.

    http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24395351-2702,00.html

  40. 490
    ShowsOn
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 12:56 am | Permalink

    I get the feeling that Fielding voted against the Medicare levy bill simply because he could. I think his reasons are nonsense. The people he is talking about would be the ones eager to get out of the damn things anyway. And of course the reverse never happened, we never saw premiums go down.

    Have a read of Tuesday’s Senate Hansard. Senator Erica Betz constantly attacked Fielding over his support for the luxury car tax. So it is possible that Fielding has just sided with the opposition on the Medicare levy because he doesn’t want to be seen to be supporting the government too much.

    I certainly can’t make sense of the policy. If can’t see people on really low incomes who struggle to pay for food and petrol paying for private health insurance. Thanks to Medicare, private health insurance isn’t a necessity.

  41. 491
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 12:57 am | Permalink

    The levy is of course a Howard mechanism to give money to health insurance companies and no doubt part of a strategy to entirely privatise the health insurance and hospital industry. Not often you see a government make you give money to a company and penalise you if you dont.

  42. 492
    ShowsOn
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 1:00 am | Permalink

    The levy is of course a Howard mechanism to give money to health insurance companies and no doubt part of a strategy to entirely privatise the health insurance and hospital industry. Not often you see a government make you give money to a company and penalise you if you dont.

    Not to mention the 30% private health insurance rebate!

    The Liberals are just being unreasonable on this. OK I can see how their ideology stops them from raising the rate to $100,000. But $75,000? That’s not rich. Leaving it at $50,000 is unfair, and demonstrates that the Liberals – at this stage of opposition – just aren’t willing to compromise on anything.

  43. 493
    Generic Person
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 1:02 am | Permalink

    No 486

    I don’t oppose it.

  44. 494
    Generic Person
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 1:02 am | Permalink

    Once again ShowsOn has avoided the broadband debate.

  45. 495
    Generic Person
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 1:03 am | Permalink

    No 492

    Your definitions of rich and poor are arbitrary.

  46. 496
    Generic Person
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 1:05 am | Permalink

    Someone should really shoot Conroy for this ridiculous explanation of wireless broadband. For someone overseeing the biggest project since the snowy mountains scheme (by his own definition), it would seem he is somewhat out of his depth:

    'But let me just explain to the chamber how
    wireless broadband operates. It does not actually fly
    through the air all the way from computer to computer.
    That may come as a shock to you, Senator Minchin.
    What actually happens is that it gets as close as it can
    to its destination, gets sucked down into the ground—
    and guess how it travels once it goes underground? Via
    a fibre optic cable!'

    http://www.aph.gov.au/hansard/senate/dailys/ds240908.pdf (p71)

  47. 497
    ShowsOn
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 1:06 am | Permalink

    Once again ShowsOn has avoided the broadband debate.

    Oh! SO SORRY! I forgot that I’m your slave and I have to do whatever you say.

    No 492

    Your definitions of rich and poor are arbitrary.

    Your definition of “arbitrary” seems to be arbitrary.

  48. 498
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 1:07 am | Permalink

    I will have to go into ‘Get Up’ and give Fielding a decent raz with no doubt many others. And will add Scullion to that as well.

  49. 499
    ShowsOn
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 1:10 am | Permalink

    I will have to go into ‘Get Up’ and give Fielding a decent raz with no doubt many others. And will add Scullion to that as well.

    I can’t believe that at least one Lib or Nat wasn’t sensible enough to understand they had the chance to vote on a giving a heap of people in their electorate a tax cut.

  50. 500
    Generic Person
    Posted Thursday, September 25, 2008 at 1:10 am | Permalink

    Commsday published this piece on Henry Ergas, chairman of Concept Economics, which details his new book criticising the ACCC’s oversight of telecoms:

    Ergas is particularly critical of the ACCC’s ongoing reductions in regulated access prices given they started from a point of a theoretical optimised network. Even though prices were originally set for a fully optimised network they have been reduced annually by an average 30% for line sharing services and 13% for unbundled local loop, he claims. He points out that it would be difficult for an optimised network to achieve such levels of productivity growth, concluding “this makes it even more implausible that the declines mandated by the ACCC have any sensible basis in costs.”

    “It is consequently unsurprising that access seekers now so clearly prefer to ‘cheap ride’ on Telstra’s network rather than upgrade, much less further deploy, networks of their own. It is also unsurprising that Telstra refuses to throw good investment dollars after bad.”

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